1 / 62

risk management

2. ????? ??????? ?????? ????? ???? ??????? ?? ????? ??? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ??? ? ???? ?? ???? ?????? : . ????? ?????? ???? risk management ????? ???? ?? ??? ??????? uncertainty ?? ?????? ????? chance of loss????? ???? ???? pure risk ?? ???? ??? ? ???? speculative risk????? ??????? ??????? ???

zuleika
Download Presentation

risk management

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


    1. Dr. Naser Mohammadie Pakhsh Raze company Scientific Development & Market research center Email: nmohammadie@razico.com ?????? ???? risk management

    2. 2 ????? ??????? ?????? ????? ???? ??????? ?? ????? ??? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ??? ? ???? ?? ???? ?????? : ????? ?????? ???? risk management ????? ???? ?? ??? ??????? uncertainty ?? ?????? ????? chance of loss ????? ???? ???? pure risk ?? ???? ??? ? ???? speculative risk ????? ??????? ??????? ????? ?? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ???? ???? ?? ?????? tradeoff ?? ?????? ????

    3. 3 ???? ????????? ?? ?????? ????? ??????? ????? : ?? ??? ???? ????? ??? risk factors ???? ???? ??? ???? ???? ???? ?? ????? ???? ??????? ?????? : ??? ?????? ???? ? ????? ?? ?????? ??????? ?? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?????? : ???????? ? ??????? ????? ?? ?????? ?????? ?? ?????? ???? ?????? ? ???? ????? ?? ???????

    4. 4 ??? ????? ??? ?? risk factors ??? ????? ??? ???? ???? ????? ? ?????? ??? ???? ????? ??? ????? ????? ????? ? ?????? ????? ?????? ??? ???? ???? ? ????? ??? ???? ???? ??????

    5. 5 ???? ????? ? ?????? ?????? ???? ??? ?? ???? ?????? ???? ????? ??? ?? ????

    6. 6 ?????? ???? risk : ???? ????? ??? ?? ?????? ?? ????????? ???? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ???? ???? ???? ????? ??? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ???? ???? ?????? ? ???? ??? ?????? ???? ?? ??? ? ?? ?????? ?? ????? ???????? ???? ?? ?? ??? ?? ?? ?????? ?????? ???? ????

    7. 7 ?????? ?????? ???? : ?????? ??????? ? ??????? ? ????? ??????? ?????? ? ????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ?? ??? ?? ????? ????????? ???? ?? ????? ?? ??? ????? ?? ??? ????? ?? ???? Defining, Assessment, Control and Treatment of outcomes to decisions

    8. 8 ?????? ??? ??????? – ??? ????? ?? uncertainty : ??? ??????? ??? ??? ?? ??? ?? ?????? ?? ??????? ???? ???? ??? ???? ?????? ?? ????????? ????? ?? ????? ?? ????? ???? ??? ??????? ???????? ??? ?? ???? ?? ????? ???? ?? ????

    9. 9 ?????? ????? ???? ?? ??? ????? ? ????? ???? : ????? ????? ????? ???? ?? ????? ?? ????? ????? ????? ????? ?? ????? ??? ???? ???? ????? ??? ???? : ?????? ???? ?? ?????? ????? ????? ?? ??? ????? ???? ???? ???? ?? ??? ?? ????? ???? ?? ??????

    10. 10 ?????? ????? ???? ?? ??? ????? ? ????? ???? : ????? ??? ???? ???? ?? ???? : ?? ????? ??????? ????? ???? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ???? ????? ???? ?? ?????? ???? ?? ???? ? ?? ?????? ???? ????? ????? ??? ??????? ????? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ??????????? ????? ???? ?? ???? ???? ?????? ?? ???? ??????? ?????

    11. 11 ?????? ????? ???? ?? ??? ????? ? ????? ???? : ????? ??? ??????? ???? ?? ???? : ??????? ?????? ???? ????? ?? ? ????? ?????? ???? ????? ? ????? ????????? ???? ????? ????????? ???? ????? ?? ??????? (?? ?????) ?? ????? ? ??????? ????????? ? ?????? ? ?????? ????

    12. 12 ?????? ????? ???? ????? ?? ???? ????????? ?? ??? ? ???? : ???? ????? : ???? ????? ????? ??? ?? ?????? ??? ???? ???? ??? ?????? ??? ???? ????? ???? ????? ????? ????????? ? ???? ?? ????? ??? ??? ????? ???? ????? ?? ???? ????? ??? ? ???? ??? ??? ????? ???? ??? ?? ???? ??? ???

    13. 13 ?????? ????? ???? ????? ?? ???? ????????? ?? ??? ? ???? : ???? ????????? ?? ??? ? ???? : ?? ???? ????????? ?? ?????? ??? ? ?? ???? ???? ???? ???? ????????? ?????? ????? ???? ?????? ?? ???? ??? ??? ???? ??? ?? ?? ???? ???? ??????? ?? ????? ?? ?????? ????????

    14. 14 ????? ??? ?????? ???? ????? ????? : ?? ?????? ??????? ??????? ? ????? ????? ???? ????? ??? ????? ????? ???? ?? ?????? ? ??????? ????? ? ?????? ??? ????? ????? ???? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ??? ????? ????? ????? ??? ???? ??? ???? ? ??? ????? ????? ??? ??? uncertainty ???? ??????? ???????? ? ????? ????? ???? ?? ???? ? ?? ????? ???? ?? ?????? ???? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ?? ???? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ? ????? ???? ?????? ??? ? ???? ?? ???? ?? ?? ????? ?????

    15. 15 ????? ?????? ???? ???? : ??? ????? ?? ??? ?? ????? ?? ????? ???? ?? ?? ?????? ???????? ???? ???? : ?? ???? ??????? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ????? ?? ?????? ???? ??????? ????? ??? ???? ????? ?? ?????? ? ?????? ???? ?????? ?? ??????? : ????? ??? ???? ????? ?? ?????? ?? ????? ????? ??????? ??? ???? ???? ?? ??????? ?? ??????? ???? ???? ?? ??????

    16. 16 ????? ?????? ???? ??? ???? ?????? ? ?? ????? ????? ??????? ??? ????? ? ????? ?????? ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ?? ?????? ????? ???? ? ????? ????? ?????? ?? ??????? ? ???? ??????? ? ??????? ? ????? ????? ?????? ??????? ????? ?????? ? ????? ????? ?? ???? ? ???? ??????? ?????

    17. 17 ????? ?????? ????

    18. 18 ????? ?????? ???????? ??? ???? ?????? ???? ???? ????? ????? ????? ? ??????? ?????? ? ?????? ????? ???? ?????? ???? ???? ??????? ????

    19. 19 ????? ???? ?? ??????? ?????? ???? ??? ???? ?? ????? ? ??? ???? ??? ???? ?????? ???? ????? ????? ??? ???? ? ???? ????? ?????? ? ????? ???? ??????? ????? ?? ????? ?????? ??? ???? ? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ?????? ??? ?????? ??????? ?? ???? ? ??? ??????? ????? ??????? ???? ?????? ????? ????? ?????? ?? ?? ????? ?? ?????? ???? ?????? ??? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ?? ???? ??????? ? ????? ?????? ?? ? ???? ?????? ??????? ?????? ???? ??? ????? ????????? frame main ?? ???? ? ???? ?????? ?????? ?....................................

    20. 20 ?????? ???? ???? ?? ???? ?? ???? ?? ?? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ?? ????????? ?????? ?? ?????? ????? ? ?? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ?????? ? ???? ?????? ? ?????? ????????? ?????? ??? ?? ????? ??? . ?????? ???? ?? ?? ???? ?????? ?? ?? ????? ???? ???? ?? ????? ????? ???? ?????

    21. 21 ????? ??? ????? ???? ????? ?????? ???? ??? ?????? ????? ???? ?????? ???? ?? ???? ???? ??? ????? ???? ??? ?????? ?????? ??? ?????? ????? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ???? ???? ?? ????????? ???? ????? ????? ? ???? ???? ????? ???? ?? ??? ? ?????? ?? ???? ?? ??????? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ?? ?????? ?? ????? ? ?????? ???? ???? ??? ???? ?? ??????

    22. 22 ????? ??? ????? ???? ????? ?????? ???? ????? ??? ?? ?? ?? ????? ?? ??????? ?????? ? ?? ????? ??? ??????? ?? ????? ?? ???? ? ??? ?????? ??? ?????? ??? ????? ??? ????? ??? ??? ??? ? ??? ??? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ????? ???? ?????? ????? ?? ????

    23. 23 ?????? ?? probability ?????? ???? ?? objective probability ?? ??????? ????? ????? ?? ?? ????? ????? ? ?????? ????? ???? ????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ??? ? ????? ???? ?? ?????? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ???????? ? ?????? ??? ????? ? ?? ???? ?????? ??????? ??????? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ???? ?? subjective probability ?? ??????? ????? ????? ?? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ??? ??????? ?? ???? ??? ???? ????? ? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ???? ????? ???? ????? ????? ?????

    24. 24 ?? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ???? ???? ?? ???? ?? ????? ????? ???? ?? ??? ?? ???? ????? ??? ?? ?? ???? ??? ? ????? ???? ????? ??? ??????? ???? ?? : ??? ???? ????? ???? ???? ????? ??? ??????? ?????? ??? ???? ??? ??? ?? ?????? ?????? ??????? ????? ?????? ?? ?? ?????? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ??? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ??????? ??????? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ?????

    25. 25 ?? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ?????? ???? ?????? ????? ?????? ?? ?????? ?????? ?? ???? ???? ?????? ???? ?????? ? ?????? ???? ??????? ?? ????? ?? ?????? ?????? ?? ??? ???? ??? ?????? ???? ?? ??????? ? ?? ???? ????? (?????? ??? ???? ???) ????? ????? ???? ?? ???? ????? ?????? ???? ???? ???? ??????? ???? ??? ? ??????? ?? ?????? ???? ?? ????? ??????? ????? ?? ??? ???????

    26. 26 ????? ??????? ?????? ????? ???? ??????? ?? ????? ??? ?? ??? ?????? ???? ??? ? ???? ?? ???? ?????? : ?????? ???? ?????? ?? ????? ??????? ????????? ?????? ???? ?????? ??? ?????? ???? ?? ???? ????? ???????

    27. 27 ?????? ????? ? ?????? ????

    28. 28 ????????? ???? ?????? ?? ?????? ????? ????????? ??? – ???? ?????? ????????? ???????? – ????????? ???? ? ???? ? ?????? ????????? ???? – ??????? ????? ?? ????? ????????? ????? – ????? ?? ????? ? ????? ?????? ????????? ???????? – ???? ???? ? ???? ???? ????????? ??????? – ???? ????? ?????? ?????

    29. 29 ????????? ???? ?????? ?? ?????? ????? ????????? ??? – ???? ?????? ????????? ???????? – ????????? ???? ? ???? ? ?????? ????????? ???? – ??????? ????? ?? ????? ????????? ????? – ????? ?? ????? ? ????? ?????? ????????? ???????? – ???? ???? ? ???? ???? ????????? ??????? – ???? ????? ?????? ?????

    30. 30 ?? ?? ?????? ???? (?? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ) ?? ???? ?? ?? ???? ????? ????

    31. 31 ????? ??????? ???? ?????? ???? ?? ?????? ?????? ??? ???? ? ????? ?????

    32. 32 ?????? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ?? ??? ????

    33. 33 ?????? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ?? ??? ????

    34. 34 ?????? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ?? ??? ????

    35. 35 ????? ?? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ????? ????? ???? ?????? ????? ?? ????? ?????

    36. 36 ?????? ?????? ???? ?? ???? ???? ????? ??? ?????? ???? ????? ????? ? ???????? ??????? ????? ?? ????? ???? ?? ????? ????????? ?? ?????? ????? ???? ???? ????? ? ????? ?????? ?? ???????? ??????? ? ????? ???????? ????? ????? ? ???? ?? ????

    37. 37 ?????? ?????? ?????? ???? ?? ???? ?????? ???? ??????? ??????? ?????? ???? ???? ???? ?????? ???? ?? ??? ?????? ?????? ?? ???? ? ????? ?? ??????? ??????? ????? ?????? ??? ?????? ???? ?? ?????? ??????? ????

    38. 38 ?????? ???? ?? ??? ????? ?????? ?????? ????

    39. 39

    40. 40

    41. 41

    42. 42

    43. 43

    44. 44

    45. 45 ?????? ???? ?? ????? ????

    46. 46 ?????? ????? ? ???? ?? ???? ??? ?? ?????? ??? ? ????? ?? ???? ???

    47. 47 ????? ?? ???? ?????? ?? ??????? : 1-???????? 2-?????? ?? 3-??????

    48. 48 ????? ?? ???? ????? ?? ?????? ???? : 1-?????? 2- ???????

    49. 49 ???? : ?????? ????? ?? ???

    50. 50 ???? : ?????? ????? ?? ???

    51. 51 ???? : ?????? ????? ?? ???

    52. 52 ???? : ?????? ????? ?? ???

    53. 53 ???? : ?????? ????? ?? ???

    54. 54 ???? : ?????? ????? ?? ???

    55. 55 ????? ? ??????? ???? ? ???? ???? ???????

    56. 56 ???? : ?????? ????? ?? ???

    57. 57

    58. 58

    59. 59

    60. 60

    61. 61

    62. 62 ??????

More Related