ICES work 2015 and beyond

1. ICES work 2015 and beyond NSAC EXCOM 23rd September 2014 Poul Degnbol

2. Recurrent advice: • Elasmobranchs (incl rays and skates in the NS) 16/10; Norway pout 3/10, Pandalus • Update based on Q3 surveys in 2014 mid nov • Special requests: • NS Haddock (EU/Norway) – not feasible anymore • Crangon (Germany/Netherlands) ICES work in 2014

3. Benchmarks early 2015: • WKNSEA • cod-347d, wit-nsea, Mur-347d, Sol-nsea • 2-6 February 2015, Data compilation 10-13 November 2014 • WKPLE • ple-eche, ple-skag, ple-2123, Ple-24-32 • 23-27 February 2015 • Recurrent TAC advice • Sandeel end february • NS main package 30/6 • Sharks 30/9 • Approach and methods development – w implications for advice • Risk based approach to by-catch species • Landing obligation – methods for survival. WKMEDS process • FMSY as ranges • New advice format for fisheries focus and integration • Popular advice • Publication of ‘popular advice’ sheets shortly after main advice • Further development of overview and availability • Feed back and suggestions very welcome! • ICES work can be followed • On the external webpage http://www.ices.dk/community/Advisory-process/Pages/default.aspx • In details /real time on sharepointhttp://groupnet.ices.dk/Workplan/default.aspx ICES work in 2015

4. WKNSEA • cod-347d, wit-nsea, Mur-347d, Sol-nsea • 2-6 February 2015, Data compilation 10-13 November 2014 • WKPLE • ple-eche, ple-skag, ple-2123, Ple-24-32 • 23-27 February 2015 Benchmarks NS 2015

5. Low risk – No immediate regulation, observe High risk – technical measures/ mitigation Risk based approach to by-catch species - PSA WKLIFE 2013 + 2014

6. Data & knowledge provisionfor biodiversity & ecosystem function high medium low Integrating mixed evidence & objectives Cat 1 Cat 2 Cat 3 Cat 4 Cat 5 Cat 6 Data & knowledge provision for yield Data for classical fisheries assessments AND ecosystem impact assessment

7. 2009 2012 Bottom trawl, beam trawl, seines and dredges. Not including Spanish, Icelandic, Faroese, Russian data VMS data - Bottom gear activity 2009 and 2012.

8. Workshop on Methods for Estimating Discard Survival (WKMEDS) • Develop guidelines and where possible identify best practice for undertaking discard survival studies (using the framework detailed in the report of STECF Expert Working Group EWG 13-16) (2014 Workshop); • Identify approaches for measuring and reducing, or accounting for, the uncertainty associated with mortality estimates; • Critically review current estimates of discard mortality, with reference to the guidelines detailed in 1, and collate existing validated mortality estimates; • Conduct a meta-analysis, using the data detailed in 3, to improve the understanding of the explanatory variables associated with discard mortality and identifying potential mitigation measures; • Resulting in guidelines • Meetings 2014 (february and november), 2015 and 2016 developing sections of guidelines Landings obligation – survival guidelines

9. The effects of discard ban not predictable • ICES advice will • Be based on historical data (past practices) including past discards in advice • As data under the new regime become available advice will be based on those Landings obligation - advice

10. Commission will incorporate FMSY as a range in future management plan proposals • Ranges cannot be established on basis of science • ICES can advice on candidate ranges based on • ‘Pretty good yield’ (say more than 95% of MSY) • Limited by precautionary reference points • ‘Placeholder’ ranges have been proposed for Baltic stocks, to be updated based on actual assessments / benchmarks in March 2015 • Expect Commission to ask for ranges prior to further management plan proposals FMSY as ranges

12. New advice format • Address fisheries issues (mixed fisheries issues, bycatch, ecosystem impacts) • Integrate with ecosystem advice (interactions between fisheries and other sectors) • Simplification • Multiple communication uses • Efficiency

13. Structure of recurringadvice • For each ecoregion • Ecosystem overviews with Ecosystem advice • Advice linked to interaction between economic sectors • Fisheries advice • Single stock advice qualified by • Interactions between fisheries, mixed fisheries and ecosystem impacts of fisheries • Single stock background information

14. Includes an overview of the stock advice with links to the latest single stock advice sheets Stockadvice

15. MSFD advice • Commission is reviewing the decision on descriptors • ICES provides input regarding D3 (fish stocks), D4 (foodwebs) and D6 (benthic habitats) • Inputs regarding monitoring • Upcoming: measures

16. Next steps towards EAF support - ICES • Fisheries: • Incorporate species interactions – 'considerations' • Incorporate drivers and impacts • Baltic cod as demonstration case • Integrated assessments • IA groups now established for all east Atlantic ecoragions (incl NS and Baltic) plus NW Atlantic • Demonstration integrated advice • ICES contributes to MSFD development • Descriptor updates • Integrated monitoring • Main challenge: the institutions we speak to do not communicateefficiently nor have matchingcompetemces

17. MIRAC meeting 2015: During week 3 (12 – 16 / 1 2015, ICES HQ) General stakeholder meeting plus a meeting with specific CFP focus Thanks