National economic indicators
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National Economic Indicators. Ray Owens May 20, 2014. Real Gross Domestic Product. Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate. Q1 0.1%. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics. Real Gross Domestic Product. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics.

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National Economic Indicators

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National economic indicators

National Economic Indicators

Ray Owens

May 20, 2014


National economic indicators

Real Gross Domestic Product

Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate

Q1

0.1%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Real Gross Domestic Product

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Personal Saving Rate

Percent of disposable personal income

March

3.8%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Nonfarm Payroll Employment

Millions of Persons

April

138.3 mil.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Nonfarm Payroll Employment

Quarterly average of monthly changes, thousands of persons

Apr.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Civilian Unemployment Rate

Percent

FOMC Forecast

April

6.3%

Notes: FOMC forecast is the central tendency for the Q4 levels, from the March 19, 2014 meeting.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics & Board of Governors via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Civilian Labor Force Ratios

Percent of Population

Labor Force

April

Employed

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics/Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Labor Productivity, Nonfarm Business

Year over Year % Change

Quarterly Change at Annual Rate

Post-War Average

Q1

1.4%

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Disposable Personal Income & Expenditures

12 Month % Change

March

Real Disposable Personal

Income

Real Personal

Consumption Expenditure

*Adjusted to remove tax-induced income shifting near end of 2012.

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Existing Single-Family Home Sales

Millions of Homes

March

4.0 mil.

Average Annual Existing Home Sales:

1990 through 1999

Source: National Association of Realtors via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

New Single-Family Home Sales

Millions of Homes

Average Annual New Home Sales:1990 through 1999

March

0.38 mil.

Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Real Nonresidential Fixed Investment

Percent change from previous quarter at annual rate

Q1

-2.1%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Balance of International Trade

Current $, Billions

March

-$40.4 bil.

Six-Month Moving Average

Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index

12 Month % Change

FOMC Forecast

2% Longer-run Target

March

1.1%

Notes: FOMC forecast is the central tendency for Q4/Q4 percent changes, from the March 19, 2014 meeting.

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis & Board of Governors via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

TIPS Inflation Compensation

Percent

5-Year

5 Years Ahead

May 2nd

5-Year

Source: Board of Governors Research Series via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Monetary Policy Instruments

Percent

Federal Funds Target Rate

Primary Credit Rate

May 9th

Interest Rate Paid on Reserves

Federal Funds Rate

Target Range

Source: Board of Governors via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Federal Reserve System Assets

$, Billions

Total: $4,342

Miscellaneous: $314

Agency

Debt: $45

Agency MBS: $1,632

Total: $2,865

Miscellaneous: $282

Agency

Debt: $87

Agency MBS: $844

Treasury Securities:

$2,352

Treasury Securities:

$1,652

Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

Source: Board of Governors via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Treasury Yield Curve

Percent

Time to Maturity

Source: Board of Governors via Haver Analytics


National economic indicators

Capital Market Rates

Percent

Corporate BBB

Bond Rate

30 Year

Conventional

Mortgage Rate

May 9th

10-Yr. Treasury

Bond Rate

Corporate AAA

Bond Rate

Source: BofA Merrill Lynch & Board of Governors via Haver Analytics


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