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Lucy McTernan Deputy Chief Executive SCVO. Budgetary Scenario 2010-15 – threat or opportunity…. State of the sector…. 45,000 voluntary organisations 23,000 registered charities £4.1 billion turnover in 2007/8 64% have less than £25,000 turnover

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Lucy McTernan

Deputy Chief Executive

SCVO


Budgetary Scenario 2010-15

– threat or opportunity…..


State of the sector…

  • 45,000 voluntary organisations

  • 23,000 registered charities

  • £4.1 billion turnover in 2007/8

  • 64% have less than £25,000 turnover

  • 62% of resources go to the biggest 5% of the sector

  • 130,000 paid staff, equivalent to 5% of Scottish workforce

  • 1.3 million volunteers



Public and Charity Perspectives: OSCR’s 2009 Surveys

0 = no trust and 10 = trust them completely

The University of Nottingham


Quality

“The Care Commission has provided figures to the Scottish Parliament's Local Government and Communities Committee meeting in June, showing that 89-92% of voluntary sector care at home services receive only high gradings (4s, 5s and 6s) whereas this is achieved by only 65-72% of services operated by local authorities and the private sector. Taking into account the likely unit costs of such services, this appears to indicate that voluntary sector care at home services may be the optimum Best Value option.”


Challenges ahead…

Public spending cuts

Donations

Legacies

Grant-making trusts

Europe

Lottery


SCVO Annual Members’ survey

In coping with the recession, 65% of respondents either said they had done ok but not great (47.2%) or that it had been difficult (17.7%).

51.8% of respondents felt either unsure or concerned about their job prospects, compared with 12 months ago.

67.7% were unsure or concerned about the prospects for future funding of their organisation.

And almost half (48%) felt either unsure or concerned about the overall future of their organisation.


Opportunities ahead…

Public spending cuts!

Improvement agenda

Policy thinking (eg JRF, Lottery)

Recognition of quality & trust

Innovation, replication and upscale


Some areas of opportunity

Alternatives to custody

Health and ageing

Early years

Curriculum for Excellence

Environment

Transport


The scale of the challenge care of older people
The scale of the challenge - care of older people

  • By 2031, numbers of those aged 85+ will go up by 144%

  • By 2020, notionally, 40% of school-leavers needed in the care sector to cope with demand

  • By 2031, a new 50-bed care home needed every two years to meet demand

    (all data: ISD, SGHWD)


The scale of the challenge mental health depression
The scale of the challenge: mental health - depression

  • By 2020, depression the second greatest disease burden western world (WHO)

  • Scotland 2003, GP consultations for depression = 719,000; prescription costs 2004/05 £58m (all data: ISD)


The scale of the challenge long term conditions
The scale of the challenge: long-term conditions

  • In Scotland, 1million people with long term conditions (LTCs), disability

  • LTCs account for 80% GP consultations

  • LTCs account for over 60% of hospital bed days

  • Costs – enormous, hard to estimate, but:

    • COPD £98.5m (2004/05)

    • Epilepsy £38m

      (all data: Audit Scotland)


Partnership with Scottish Government

SCVO-SG strategic partnership

SG cross-directorate group

Wider engagement

Co-production

What’s the best way to work together?


Moving forward

Need to move from concept to practice

Co-production

Where does the investment come from?

Demonstration and incubation

Investment and bending spend

Concordat and community planning – a help or an inhibitor?


Role of Scottish Parliament

Scrutinise and question!

Encourage wider engagement

Promote co-production

Oversee localism



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