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Zambia National Malaria Indicator Survey 2008: Summary of results

Zambia National Malaria Indicator Survey 2008: Summary of results. National Malaria Control Centre, Lusaka Zambia http://www.nmcc.org.zm. Collaborations . Ministry of Health National Malaria Control Centre, District and Provincial Health Offices Central Statistics Office PATH MACEPA

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Zambia National Malaria Indicator Survey 2008: Summary of results

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  1. Zambia National Malaria Indicator Survey 2008:Summary of results National Malaria Control Centre, Lusaka Zambia http://www.nmcc.org.zm

  2. Collaborations • Ministry of Health • National Malaria Control Centre, District and Provincial Health Offices • Central Statistics Office • PATH MACEPA • PMI, USAID, CDC • World Bank • WHO • UNICEF • University of Zambia (UNZA) • GFATM • RBM MERG

  3. Progress in malaria control measured in household surveys

  4. Progress on; • Malaria Prevention; ITNs, IRS • Malaria Diagnosis, Treatment and Care • Malaria In Pregnancy; through Intermittent Preventive Therapy (IPTp)

  5. Progress as of 2008 - interventions

  6. Progress since 2006 - interventions

  7. Progress - impact • Malaria incidence – improvements in measuring incidence occurring • Malaria parasitemia prevalence decreased: • National = 54% decrease • Urban: 4.6% to 4.3% = 7% decrease • Rural: 29.0% to 12.4% = 57% decrease • All cause mortality for children under age 5 (U5MR) • 29% decrease comparing the periods ~1998-2002 to 2002-2007 (ZDHS)

  8. How does Zambia NMCP decide where to go next? • With interventions? We know that… • Getting close, but have not hit any population-based targets for ITNs, IRS, IPT2 • ITN – remove bottlenecks in procurement • Catch up, keep up, hang up - quantify the replacement needs nationally • IRS being applied more to urban, less malarious areas, • To date not able to measure impact through HH surveys like MIS • SP supply continuity • Not really measuring prompt effective treatment well nationally • Smaller-scale assessments available • Facility versus household measurement • Due to fever versus ‘true’ malaria measurement • Drug diagnostic quantification, procurement and supply management

  9. How does Zambia NMCP decide where to go next? • With impact? Some issues to consider… • Impact to date is likely a result of applying multiple interventions consistently • In rural areas, mostly a combination ITNs + having an effective drug for facility-based treatment • Impact from ITNs has mostly been measured • Not likely to be able to measure as much of its contribution again as we already have • Easier to measure a change from 22% to 10% than from 10% to 5% (or less) parasitemia • Must wait another ~5 years for U5MR measurement

  10. What should the Zambia NMCP do? • Continued focus on increasing coverage of prevention interventions • Hit a target! especially with ITNs, IRS, IPT • Consider applying IRS to areas with more malaria • IRS targeting during spray campaigns based on incidence (?) • Make treatment and diagnosis more available • Scaling up treatment • What does this mean? Moving into communities? • Home management of malaria • Active case detection • Moving to treating ‘real’ malaria and parasitic infections • Training, training, training • Combination of interventions • At least 2 simulatenously

  11. What should the Zambia NMCP do? • Measurable impactgoing forward • Another MIS will only be useful if additional measures to reduce parasitemic infections are undertaken • And even then, MIS will only be useful down to ~5% level of parasite prevalence • Countries/areas below ~5% level should transition to surveillance and case reporting • The majority of Zambian population (in urban areas) already needs this • Development of a more robust surveillance system for malaria incidence monitoring and foci detection

  12. Important points • Households surveys are critical to measure progress against national/local coverage and impact targets, especially during scale up and maintenance phase of malaria control • Quality surveys attempt to strengthen design and measurement issues to maximize inference and validity • Luckily, many procedures and methods have been standardized to help simplify the process • Zambia NMCP has many tools/equipment available to help • Remarkable progress has been made in Zambia and has been documented in MISs in 2006 and 2008

  13. References • The MIS 2006 and 2008 reports and lessons learned are available on the National Malaria Control Centre website • http://www.nmcc.org.zm • RBM Monitoring and Evaluation Reference Group website • http://www.rollbackmalaria.org/merg

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