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A history of the future of the Internet Ian Graham IT Strategy & Planning

A history of the future of the Internet Ian Graham IT Strategy & Planning www.iangraham.org/talks/. history innovation banking. 1790. Optical Telegraph. Codes. Networks. “WAN” circa 1810.

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A history of the future of the Internet Ian Graham IT Strategy & Planning

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  1. A history of the future ofthe Internet Ian Graham IT Strategy & Planning www.iangraham.org/talks/

  2. history innovation banking

  3. 1790

  4. Optical Telegraph

  5. Codes

  6. Networks

  7. “WAN” circa 1810 • In the early 19th century, it was possible to send a short message from Amsterdam to Venice -- in one hour. • …but was limited to military and government communication – not for business, individuals • Did send lottery tickets, though. • Monopolistic • Monolithic

  8. Monolithic application transport network / addressing data link physical

  9. the end... ... electric telegraph terminology still with us, and other legacies...

  10. Nuclear Disarmament N D

  11. 1838

  12. Telegraph

  13. Telegraph and Railways coordinate traffic synergy value-add resale

  14. Culture abbreviated messages --AB BFT CK IF CHN ATE social networking technology subculture

  15. ...and also pre-1914 The “1891” World Network

  16. Separation application transport network / addressing data link physical

  17. 1877

  18. Explosive Growth

  19. application transport network / addressing data link physical

  20. Internet

  21. History

  22. key ideas transport-agnostic computer-agnostic peer-to-peer layered extensible simple

  23. Telnet tcp IPv4 ethernet coax Five Layers application transport network / addressing data link physical

  24. slow growth Number of Domains <100

  25. 1993 ....

  26. ...it became easy web browser HTML, URLs Web server 1993 – ~56,000 ‘domains’

  27. innovation on all layers application layer transport layer physical and data link layers .... “business” apps on top

  28. N=et 1.2 billion internet users 160 million domains No. of ‘responding’ domains 18,000 342,000

  29. App-layer evolution

  30. ( 1275 DVDs / second ) Physical layer evolution

  31. Data link evolution

  32. morecustomers Cost ↓ bandwidth ↑ newservices synergy innovation in and betweenlayers

  33. XML, HTML, ....Web “apps” TCP, UDP, RSVP, .... HTTP, SOAP, VOIP,SSH, IMAP..... IPv4/6, IPSec,.... Ethernet, WiMAX, WiFi, 802.11, ADSL... Fiber, coax, RS-232, twisted pair … birds... Innovation application transport Network... data link physical

  34. Why? independent layers innovation on all layers partnering between layers open standards leverages what’s there customer-focus competition

  35. Lessons? independent layers  innovation “right” layers takes time critical threshold unpredictable

  36. The future.....& Banking?

  37. Today 1 MBPS home access 50 kBPS wireless 200 GB home storage Tomorrow 100 MBPS home access 10MBPS wireless 10 TB home storage Implications real-time video, everywhere store every second of your life digital ‘web’ overlapping everything

  38. How can we innovate like the Internet?

  39. Monolithic Financial Services Innovative ‘layered’ services

  40. Way out of time!! Questions? http://www.iangraham.org/talks/

  41. From http://www.ipbusinessmag.com/departments.php?department_id=17&article_id=335

  42. Optical Telegraphs

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