Cops has built sinoterm a chinese multi regional model based on term
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CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM. To investigate issues such as: regional development planning food security trade policy national/provincial financial relations energy/greenhouse policy internal migration

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CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM

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Cops has built sinoterm a chinese multi regional model based on term

CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM

To investigate issues such as:

  • regional development planning

  • food security

  • trade policy

  • national/provincial financial relations

  • energy/greenhouse policy

  • internal migration

  • cost/benefit analysis of transport infrastructure


China is the country most suited to term

China is the countrymost suited to TERM

  • Big: 30+ provinces

  • Regional Issues

  • Environmental problems

  • Important inland and hinterland regions

  • A tradition of planning

  • Fairly good technical and data resources


Advantages of term framework for modelling china

Advantages of TERM framework for modelling China

  • The only way to model 30+ regions “bottom-up”

  • A data strategy which preserves commodity detail and delivers results in finite time.

  • Simulation-specific commodity aggregation to suit particular issues

  • Allows detailed representation of transport costs

    • Better roads in Anhui increase trade between Henan and Zhejiang.


Cops has built sinoterm a chinese multi regional model based on term

30+ is a large number of regions for a CGE model

Climate change

Regional differences in industrial structure

Income from port activity servicing other regions

Transport costs

Regional Income differences


Features of sinoterm

Features of SinoTERM

  • Database: size 31 provinces x 137 sectors

  • Based on 2002 Input-Output table, with agriculture disaggregated by CoPS

  • And using a variety of regional data

  • For simulations, usually aggregated to approx 31 provinces x 45 sectors


More features of sinoterm

More Features of SinoTERM

  • 2 household types: Rural and Urban

  • Future Improvements: additional equations and data to model:

    • more detail in energy and agriculture sectors

    • labour migration

    • direct taxation

    • transfers between provincial and central government


Cops seeks chinese partners

CoPS seeks Chinese partners:

  • able to participate in model-building process, by gathering data and suggesting best modification of TERM equations to Chinese priorities.

  • able to locate funds either from Chinese or foreign sources.

    CoPS has no independent funding to pursue this project.


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