Cops has built sinoterm a chinese multi regional model based on term
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CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM. To investigate issues such as: regional development planning food security trade policy national/provincial financial relations energy/greenhouse policy internal migration

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Cops has built sinoterm a chinese multi regional model based on term
CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM

To investigate issues such as:

  • regional development planning

  • food security

  • trade policy

  • national/provincial financial relations

  • energy/greenhouse policy

  • internal migration

  • cost/benefit analysis of transport infrastructure


China is the country most suited to term
China is the country based on TERMmost suited to TERM

  • Big: 30+ provinces

  • Regional Issues

  • Environmental problems

  • Important inland and hinterland regions

  • A tradition of planning

  • Fairly good technical and data resources


Advantages of term framework for modelling china
Advantages of TERM based on TERM framework for modelling China

  • The only way to model 30+ regions “bottom-up”

  • A data strategy which preserves commodity detail and delivers results in finite time.

  • Simulation-specific commodity aggregation to suit particular issues

  • Allows detailed representation of transport costs

    • Better roads in Anhui increase trade between Henan and Zhejiang.


30+ is a large number of regions for a CGE model based on TERM

Climate change

Regional differences in industrial structure

Income from port activity servicing other regions

Transport costs

Regional Income differences


Features of sinoterm
Features of SinoTERM based on TERM

  • Database: size 31 provinces x 137 sectors

  • Based on 2002 Input-Output table, with agriculture disaggregated by CoPS

  • And using a variety of regional data

  • For simulations, usually aggregated to approx 31 provinces x 45 sectors


More features of sinoterm
More Features of SinoTERM based on TERM

  • 2 household types: Rural and Urban

  • Future Improvements: additional equations and data to model:

    • more detail in energy and agriculture sectors

    • labour migration

    • direct taxation

    • transfers between provincial and central government


Cops seeks chinese partners
CoPS seeks Chinese partners: based on TERM

  • able to participate in model-building process, by gathering data and suggesting best modification of TERM equations to Chinese priorities.

  • able to locate funds either from Chinese or foreign sources.

    CoPS has no independent funding to pursue this project.


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