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Violence: New Developments in Risk Assessment, Formulation, and management

Introduction and Overview. Stephen D. Hart, PhD. Violence: New Developments in Risk Assessment, Formulation, and management. Risk Assessment: Task Analysis. Multiple Goals. Multiple Stakeholders. Multiple Steps. Risk Assessment as Prediction . Actuarial Approach. Multiple Steps.

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Violence: New Developments in Risk Assessment, Formulation, and management

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  1. Introduction and Overview Stephen D. Hart, PhD Violence: New Developments in Risk Assessment, Formulation, and management

  2. Risk Assessment: Task Analysis

  3. Multiple Goals

  4. Multiple Stakeholders

  5. Multiple Steps

  6. Risk Assessment as Prediction

  7. Actuarial Approach

  8. Multiple Steps

  9. Problems with ARAI Predictions

  10. Niels Bohr • “Predicting is very difficult, especially about the future.”

  11. Prevention Through Planning

  12. Planning

  13. Advantages

  14. Approaches to Planning

  15. Dwight D. Eisenhower • “Plans are nothing; planning is everything.”

  16. Conclusions

  17. Evidence-Based Decisions “[T]he conscientious, explicit and judicious use of current best evidence in making decisions” – David Sackett

  18. Evaluating Plans

  19. Alan Kay • “The best way to predict the future is to invent it.”

  20. Correspondence • Stephen D. Hart, PhDDepartment of PsychologySimon Fraser University8888 University DriveBurnaby, BCCanada V5A 1S6Tel: +1 (778) 782 3996E-mail: hart@sfu.ca

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