Application of moment expansion method to options square root model
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Application of Moment Expansion Method to Options Square Root Model. Yun Zhou Advisor: Dr. Heston. Approach. Heston (1993) Square Root Model. vt is the instantaneous variance μ is the average rate of return of the asset. θ is the long variance, or long run average price variance

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Application of moment expansion method to options square root model

Application of Moment Expansion Method to Options Square Root Model

Yun Zhou

Advisor: Dr. Heston


Approach
Approach Root Model

  • Heston (1993) Square Root Model

vt is the instantaneous variance

μ is the average rate of return of the asset.

θ is the long variance, or long run average price variance

κ is the rate at which νt reverts to θ.

is the vol of vol, or volatility of the volatility


Approach continued
Approach Continued Root Model

  • Heston closed form solution

    • based on two parts

      1st part: present value of the spot asset before optimal exercise

      2nd part: present value of the strike-price payment

    • P1 and P2 satisfy the backward equation, thus their characteristic function also satisfy the backward equation

  • Measure the distance of these two solutions to determine the highest moment need to use


Approach continued1
Approach Continued Root Model

  • Moment Expansion

    terminal condition

  • With the SDE of volatility, formulate the backward equation

  • Solve the coefficients C


Approach continued2
Approach Continued Root Model

  • To get coefficients C

    1) Backward equations give a group of linear ODEs:

    Initial conditions:


Approach continued3
Approach Continued Root Model

2) Recall matrix exponential

has solution with initial value b


Moments
Moments Root Model

  • 1-3rd Moments

  • E(x^3)=6. mu3-9. mu2 v+k2 x (v (3. -1.5 x)+theta (-3.+1.5 x))+v (4.5 rho sigma v-0.75 v2+sigma2 (-3.-3. rho2+1.5 x))+k (v (v (9. -4.5 x)+theta (-9.+4.5 x))+rho sigma (theta (3. -3. x)+v (-6.+6. x)))+mu (v (-9. rho sigma+4.5 v)+k (theta (9. -9. x)+v (-9.+9. x)))

  • Due to computation limit, only 3rd moments get in Mathematica, will use MATLAB in numerical way.


Option price from moments
Option Price from Moments Root Model

  • European call option payoff, K is the strike price

  • Corrado and Su (1996) used Skewness and Kurtosis to adjust Black-Scholes option price on a Gram-Charlier density expansion

n(z) is probability density function


Black scholes solution with adjustment
Black-Scholes Solution with Adjustment Root Model

Base on Gram-Charlier density expansion, the option price is denoted as

(1)

Where is the Black-Scholes option

Pricing formula, N(d) is cumulative distribution function

represent the marginal effect of nonnormal skewness and

Kurtosis


Implement the moments
Implement the Moments Root Model

  • Get moments from the Moment Function by

  • After get

  • (2)

  • (3)

  • Implement (2) and (3) into (1), will get Option price based on Gram-Charlier Expansion


Heston closed form solution test
Heston Closed Form Solution Test Root Model

Parameters

Mean reversion k=2

Long run variance theta =0.01

Initial variance v(0) = 0.01

Correlation rho = +0.5/-0.5

Volatility of Volatility = 0.1

Option Maturity = 0.5 year

Interest rate mu = 0

Strike price K = 100

All scales in $


European call option price
European Call Option Price Root Model

Same parameters on p11


Test on volatility of volatility
Test on Volatility of Volatility Root Model

Parameters

Mean reversion k=2

Long run variance theta =0.01

Initial variance v(0) = 0.01

Correlation rho = 0

Option Maturity = 0.5 year

Interest rate mu = 0

Strike price K = 100

All scales in $


Test on corrado s results
Test on Corrado’s Results Root Model

Parameters

Initial Stock Price = $100

Volatility = 0.15

Option Maturity = 0.25 y

Interest rate = 0.04

Strike Price = $(75~125)

Red line represent -Q3

Blue line represent Q4

In equation (1) (p9)


Next semester
Next Semester Root Model

  • Implement the moments into European Call Option Price (Corrado and Su)

  • Continue work on solving ODEs for any order of n

  • Test on Heston FFT solution

  • Compare moment solution with FFT solution


References
References Root Model

  • Corrado, C.J. and T. Su, 1996, Skewness and Kurtosis in S&P 500 Index Returns Implied by Option Prices, Journal of Financial Research 19, 175-92.

  • Heston, 1993, A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options, The Review of Financial Studies 6, 2,327-343


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