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Phase Two Results

Phase Two Results. Phase 1 conclusions disseminated, discussed, and confirmed Both WB and country strategies and plans based on more thorough assessment of exposure, impacts, capacity, and vulnerabilities

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Phase Two Results

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  1. Phase Two Results • Phase 1 conclusions disseminated, discussed, and confirmed • Both WB and country strategies and plans based on more thorough assessment of exposure, impacts, capacity, and vulnerabilities • Hydromets, MOA, Academy of Sciences, and other official stakeholders gained improved understanding of benefits of participation and coordination • How to implement strategies: incorporate into strategy and project creation process

  2. Mainstreaming CAS/CPS/PRSP • Impact already noted: “exogenous shock” in Armenia, Georgia, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan • Not always considered, even for some highly exposed countries • Disaster mitigation included into matrix as environmental measure: mandate for drought management and mitigation projects under this framework, but little specific linkage

  3. Poverty Studies • Many drought-prone areas are also among the most highly impoverished • If drought and other disasters can be considered as a factor, easier to target measures • Methodological challenge: expand or incorporate into attempts at integrating cross-cutting issues into poverty studies, e.g. water in Armenia

  4. Projects • Related areas: water (irrigation, hydropower, municipal, fisheries), agriculture, rural and community development, environment, disaster management, transportation and other infrastructure • More coherent and specific framework (CAS/CSP/PRSP) may help to maximize benefits for drought (and flood) management and mitigation in projects; consider specific conditions of drought-prone areas and populations at risk • Specific linkage within projects, e.g. targeting drought prone areas with appropriate mitigation interventions, community participation in disaster management • ERR: limitations of impact assessment data and risk analysis in countries

  5. Harmonization • Cross-cutting frameworks: UNFCCC, UNCCD, CIDA Climate Change, CACILM, UNDP Disaster Management, WFP • Sector projects: SDC IWRM, USAID South Caucasus WRM, ICARDA • Meteorological and hydrological projects: WMO, NOAA • Limitations: sequencing, incongruent funding mechanisms and procedures, centralization of donors/IFIs, domestic governance (budget disclosure) • Importance of country leadership • Focus on future: new aid vehicles and instruments, e.g. pooled funding, multi-donor trust funds, shared analytic work, training material, etc.

  6. Armenia - Profile • Highly exposed, with impacts every year upon agricultural production: 12-40% losses annually in most marzes • Exposure will grow with climate change: arid zone expands, water resources decline 15-20% • Observation and early warning network in need of an upgrade • Water infrastructure dilapidated, institutions reforming • Agriculture is recovering, yet still vulnerable • 36% of population lives in drought-prone marzes with 50% of higher incidence of poverty

  7. Armenia - Strategy • Re-equip observation network and create new early warning institutions • Continue with IWRM and water improvements • Demarcate zones of soil moisture vulnerability and disseminate appropriate farm practices • Integrate drought into disaster management frameworks

  8. Azerbaijan - Profile • Exposure mainly in Kura-Araz and other lowland areas • Downstream water supply: 70% inflow • Many water-using sectors are vulnerable: irrigation, hydropower, fisheries • No formal disaster management structure

  9. Azerbaijan - Strategy • Continue with observation network upgrade • Resolve transboundary water issues • Begin IWRM and creation of water Shortage Response Plan • Establish unified disaster management agency, with integrated contingency plans

  10. Georgia - Profile • High exposure: drought more frequent in east, floods more common in west • Observation and early warning network in poor condition, owing to lack of resources • Impacts: 5-6% of GDP in 2000; wide range of impacts upon communities • Irrigation and hydropower/reservoir management are in need of an upgrade • Agriculture is vulnerable

  11. Georgia - Strategy • Upgrade observation and early warning network • Include drought management and mitigation into broader ag and water strategies • Integrate drought and flood management • Improve contingency plans through Working Group

  12. Caucasus - Strategy • Regional climate change assessment • Reduce trade restrictions • Drought Monitoring Center, parallel with national programs: political economy challenges? Combine with capacity-building measures? • Regional initiatives in land and water management • Support study of drought linkages with desertification, deforestation, and erosion

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