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Brussels – 29 November 2006. www.oag.com. Agenda. About OAG Global & Regional Outlook Performance of Key Routes Low Cost Trends Top line Facts & Figures. Global & Regional Outlook. Frequency Trend 2001-2006: All Carriers. Worldwide: +4% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05).

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Agenda
Agenda

  • About OAG

  • Global & Regional Outlook

  • Performance of Key Routes

  • Low Cost Trends

  • Top line Facts & Figures



Frequency trend 2001 2006 all carriers
Frequency Trend 2001-2006: All Carriers

Worldwide: +4% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Within Europe: +3% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Source: OAG MAX


Within europe december 2006 vs december 2005
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005

+3%

+14,700 additional flights

26% contributed by AEA members



Seat capacity trend 2001 2006 all carriers
Seat Capacity Trend 2001-2006: All Carriers

Worldwide: +5% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Within Europe: +5% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Source: OAG MAX


Within europe december 2006 vs december 20051
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005

+5%

+2.9m additional seats

30% contributed by AEA members




December 2006 outlook vs december 2005
December 2006 Outlook vs. December 2005

6%

2%

2%

9%

11%

5%

12%

Frequency Growth For Selected Routes


Year on year growth december 06 vs december 05
Year on Year Growth: December 06 vs. December 05

Europe – US/Canada (+6%)

+1,250 flights per month

(400 contributed by AEA carriers)

Europe – Asia/Pacific (+9%)

+1,900 flights per month

(460 contributed by AEA carriers)

Europe – Middle East (+11%)

+1,250 flights per month

(410 contributed by AEA carriers)



Frequency trend 2001 2006 low cost carriers
Frequency Trend 2001-2006: Low Cost Carriers

Worldwide LCC: +14% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Within Europe LCC: +13% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Source: OAG MAX


Within europe december 2006 vs december 20052
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005

+13%

+10,100

additional low cost flights


Seat capacity trend 2001 2006 low cost carriers
Seat Capacity Trend 2001-2006: Low Cost Carriers

Worldwide LCC: +16% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Within Europe LCC: +16% (Dec. 06 vs. Dec. 05)

Source: OAG MAX


Within europe december 2006 vs december 20053
Within Europe: December 2006 vs. December 2005

+16%

+1.9m

additional low cost seats


Worldwide low cost penetration december 2001
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2001

Number of flights

Number of Seats on LCC flights


Worldwide low cost penetration december 2002
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2002

Number of flights

Number of Seats on LCC flights


Worldwide low cost penetration december 2003
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2003

Number of flights

Number of Seats on LCC flights


Worldwide low cost penetration december 2004
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2004

Number of flights

Number of Seats on LCC flights


Worldwide low cost penetration december 2005
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2005

Number of flights

Number of Seats on LCC flights


Worldwide low cost penetration december 2006
Worldwide: Low Cost Penetration December 2006

Number of flights

Number of Seats on LCC flights



Low cost frequency penetration in december 2006
Low cost frequency: Penetration in December 2006

US: 19% = 152K low cost flights

Europe: 17% = 89K low cost flights

Asia/Pacific: 11% = 55K low costflights



Low cost capacity penetration in december 2006
Low cost capacity: Penetration in December 2006

US: 27% = 20.5m low cost seats

Europe: 24% = 14.3m low cost seats

Asia/Pacific: 11% = 8.2m low cost seats


Outlook for selected countries december 06 vs december 05
Outlook for Selected Countries December 06 vs. December 05

+ 1,015%

+ 1%

China Domestic

US Domestic

+ 53%

+ 262%

+ 14%

Japan Domestic

India Domestic

+ 25%

Mexico Domestic

Brazil Domestic

Frequency Growth Within Selected Countries


Outlook for selected eu countries december 06 vs december 05
Outlook for Selected EU Countries December 06 vs. December 05

+ 27%

+ 5%

+ 16%

+ 16%

+ 28%

+ 38%

+ 22%

+ 60%

International Frequency Growth For Selected EU Countries


Baltic states frequency trend 2001 2006 lcc carriers
Baltic States - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers 05

+350 more Low Cost Flights

December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+60%)

Source: OAG MAX


Poland frequency trend 2001 2006 lcc carriers
Poland - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers 05

+1,200 more Low Cost Flights

December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+38%)

Source: OAG MAX


Germany frequency trend 2001 2006 lcc carriers
Germany - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers 05

+2,200 more Low Cost Flights

December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+16%)

Source: OAG MAX


Uk frequency trend 2001 2006 lcc carriers
UK - Frequency Trend 2001-2006: LCC Carriers 05

+1,700 more Low Cost Flights

December 2006 vs. December 2005 (+5%)

Source: OAG MAX


Top lccs in terms of monthly volume of flights
Top LCCs in Terms of Monthly Volume of Flights 05

Source: OAG MAX – December 2006



Busiest routes based on number of available lcc flights
Busiest Routes based on Number of Available LCC Flights 05

Cologne – Berlin Tegel (dba – Hapag Lloyd Express)

Cologne – Munich (dba – germanwings)

Hamburg – Munich (dba – germanwings)

Dublin – Stansted (Ryanair)

Oslo – Trondheim Vaernes (Norwegian)

Bergen – Oslo (Norwegian)

Stuttgart – Berlin Tegel (dba – Hapag-Lloyd Express)

Munich – Berlin Tegel (dba)

Dusseldorf – Munich (dba)

Hamburg – Stuttgart (dba – germanwings)

Source: OAG MAX – December 2006


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