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THE RED INVASION

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THE RED INVASION. Pavin Chachavalpongpun Fellow, ISEAS. The Emergence of the RED. Why RED? Versus Yellow – People’s Alliance for Democracy Red = Rebellious Red = Colour of the Communists? Born in 2006 Opposing military coup As a substitute for the old regime?.

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THE RED INVASION

Pavin Chachavalpongpun

Fellow, ISEAS

the emergence of the red
The Emergence of the RED
  • Why RED?
  • Versus Yellow – People’s Alliance for Democracy
  • Red = Rebellious
  • Red = Colour of the Communists?
  • Born in 2006
  • Opposing military coup
  • As a substitute for the old regime?
development of the red network
Development of the Red Network
  • Backed by rural masses
  • Backed by the opposition party: Puea Thai
  • Pro-Thaksin agenda?
  • Creating a modern institution
  • Provider of legitimacy to Thai political system
  • Weaken the power of the ruling elites
means and methods
Means and Methods
  • Relying on street protests
  • Working with political parties
  • Operating on behalf of the grassroots
the may crisis
The May Crisis
  • The Thaksin Court Case of February 2010
  • Protests began in March
  • 10 April First Clash
  • PM Abhisit offered early election, rejected
  • Khattiya Sawasdipol assassinated 13 May
  • Crackdown 19 May
  • City burned
objectives
Objectives
  • Adopting a pro-democracy ideology
  • Denouncing the military intervention
  • Calling for election and Abhisit’s resignation
  • Calling for constitution amendment
  • Creating the ungovernability situation
  • Pattaya Saga
  • May 19, 2010
leadership
Leadership
  • Moderate voices
  • Radical voices
  • Second generation
  • Smaller cells in the provinces
  • Lower and middle classes in the rural areas
funding
Funding
  • Thaksin?
  • Donation
  • Rich urbanites
  • Rich military men?
obstacles
Obstacles
  • Dealing with anti-monarchy sentiment
  • Stripping itself of Thaksinised image
  • Reconfiguring the political domain
  • Battling with the military
what s next
What’s next?
  • Radicals gone underground?
  • Accusation of a terrorist network
  • Election
  • Reconciliation, Unilateral plan
  • Is Abhisit a proxy?
  • Thaksin still fighting, war on global stage
  • Those in the rural areas still have resentment
  • Extension of emergency rule
  • End of Thai conflict?
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