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Any Questions?

A Look Into the National Drought Mitigation Center : Providing 15 Years of International Drought Services. Any Questions?. Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln.

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Any Questions?

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  1. A Look Into the National Drought Mitigation Center: Providing 15 Years of International Drought Services Any Questions? Mark Svoboda, Climatologist Monitoring Program Area Leader National Drought Mitigation Center University of Nebraska-Lincoln Global Drought Assessment Workshop, Asheville, NC, April 21-22, 2010

  2. National Drought Mitigation Center Founded: 1995 at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln by Dr. Don Wilhite (Dr. Mike Hayes is the current Director) (IDIC Founded and preceded NDMC in 1988) Mission: To lessen societal vulnerability to drought by promoting planning and the adoption of appropriate risk management techniques.

  3. NDMC Program Objectives • Improve the science of drought monitoring, planning, and mitigation • Build awareness of drought and its impacts on society and the environment, and how human actions affect our vulnerability to drought • Focus the attention of policy makers on the importance of drought policy and planning in the wise stewardship of natural resources RESEARCH, OUTREACH, AND TRAINING

  4. The Cycle of Disaster Management

  5. NDMC Distribution of SPI Provided to over 65 countries 150 + scientists Over 50+ visiting scientists

  6. Lincoln Declaration on Drought Indices

  7. Australia • Progressive approaches in dealing w/ drought • First National Drought Policy • Exceptional Circumstances (like our Farm Bill 2008) • Drought in a Changing Climate: Sharing Management Approaches Workshop Nov. 2008 (Bureau of Rural Sciences) • NIDIS-NAMS comparison for DEWS • Murray-Darling/Colorado River Basin Comparisons • Policy comparisons • Adaptation/response strategies

  8. China-U.S. Workshop on Drought Monitoring and Assessment Workshop • Beijing, China , November 15-17, 2005 Five key joint working activity areas were identified: • drought indices; • 2) assessment of drought impacts; • 3) to build a drought monitoring network in northwest China; • 4) drought prediction and early warning system; • 5) expanded collaboration.

  9. Drought Monitor Exercises • China 2005 • Mali 2009

  10. A Hands-onU.S. Drought Monitor Exercise Drought Monitoring Workshop, Bamako, Mali, Sept. 14-17, 2009

  11. Monday

  12. What has happened since last week? • Comments from last week’s author • Last week’s changes • Advance comments from experts • Rain/snow in D0-D4 areas? • No rain in D0-D4 areas…AND other areas? • Weighing Short-term vs. Long-term

  13. Suggestions from ExpertFriday, July 24, 2009 • “I just wanted to give a little input on the recent rainfall in parts of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico for next week’s drought monitor. After a very dry start to the year, heavy rain has fallen across much of the area since June. Midland International has reported 8.73 inches of rainfall so far his year which is 1.56 inches above normal. Since June 1st Midland has received 7.17 inches which is more than double the normal amount of 3.12. Currently the monthly total for July in Midland is 4.84 inches while Odessa has received 4.32 inches. Odessa’s yearly total is up to 8.74 inches. One of our forecasters reported 3.78 inches of rainfall at his house over a 24 hour period Wednesday. Attached is a map depicting radar estimated rainfall totals across the area for the month of July.” • “Recommend removal of D0 from this region. I hope this has been helpful and please let me know what your thoughts are on these improvements.” (NWS Field Office)

  14. Suggestions from Experts in the FieldFriday, July 24, 2009 • “Hi Mark,Wanted to second Christopher's comments favoring improvements along the West Texas/Eastern New Mexico border. This area has been very wet now for a couple of months. On the other hand, the D0 circle covering parts of Lubbock, Lynn and Garza counties is real and is still supported by longer term 90/180 day deficits. There were earlier crop losses from drought in this area, which has still not fully recovered.” (NWS Field Office)

  15. Monday continued • Short-term and Long-term Blends • Are there any areas where the Drought Monitor map is different from the Blends? Why?

  16. Monday DM Inputs • 5 days of data available since last map release

  17. Precipitation and Indicators • Typically look at the following suite of products at 30-, 60-, and 90-days, Year-to-date, Water Year-to-date, 12-months and 24 months.

  18. Tuesday DM Feedback and Indicators • 6days of data available since last map release • The iterative process begins again like it did on Monday and this continues on Wednesday (full 7 days of data finally available) as well before releasing the map on Thursday mornings.

  19. Future Opportunities and Challenges • Climate change • Vulnerability changes • Public health issues • Transboundary issues • Food and water security • Global Water Institute/Water for Food • Risk management • Mitigation applications • Planning activities • Improved monitoring and prediction • Decision support • Global Integrated Drought Information System? • Global “Drought Info Services” • Listen/Learn/Leverage

  20. Thank You! • Please contact me at: • Mark Svoboda • National Drought Mitigation Center • 402-472-8238 • msvoboda2@unl.edu Any Questions?

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