Threat Evaluation & Weapon Assignment Centre of Excellence

1. Threat Evaluation & Weapon Assignment Centre of Excellence Jaco Roux* & JH van Vuuren* 27 November 2008 STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY LEDGER Conference ‘08

2. OVERVIEW • Context of Work • TEWA Decision Support • Collaborators • Past & Current Activities • Future Activities • Medium Term Objectives

3. Context of Work (GBAD) Targets Assets Radar Sensors Weapon Systems HQ

4. What is TEWA?

5. Collaborators Centre of Excellence STELLENBOSCH UNIVERSITY UDDC Military Academy TFDC

6. 2 x Honours Projects • Design of a weapon assignment system • Francois du Toit • Completed October 2006 • The assignment problem • Grant van Dieman • Completed October 2006 Francois du Toit Grant van Dieman

7. Masters Project 1 • Real-time TE of Fixed Wing Aircraft in the GBAD environment • Jaco Roux • Completed April 2006

8. Masters Project 2 • Measuring the Threat Value of Fixed Wing Aircraft in a Ground Based Air Defence Environment • AndriesHeyns • Completed March 2008

9. Masters Project 3 • Real-time Weapon Assignment in a Ground Based Air Defence Environment • Cobus Potgieter • Completed March 2008

10. Masters Project 4 • The Dynamic Weapon Target Assignment Problem in a Ground Based Air Defence Environment • Francois du Toit • To submit December 2008

11. Masters Project 5 • Modeling Rigid Body Kinematics with Splines • Jacques du Toit • To submit December 2008

12. Masters Project 6 • Solution methodologies for the classical assignment problem • Grant van Dieman • To submit February 2009

13. Masters Project 8 • Aircraft Membership Estimation in a Ground Based Air Defense Environment • Willa Lotz • To submit September 2009

14. Contract Research [1]Roux JN & van Vuuren JH, 2007, Threat evaluation and weapon assignment decision support: A review of the state of the art, ORiON, 23(2), pp. 151-187. [2] Roux JN & van Vuuren JH, 2008, Real-time threat evaluation in a ground based air defence environment, ORiON, 24(1), pp. 75-101.

15. Conferences • ORSSA 2004 (1 presentation) • ORSSA 2005 (5 presentations) • LEDGER 2005 (1 presentation) • LEDGER 2006 (4 presentations) • ORSSA 2007 (8 presentations) • LEDGER 2007 (4 presentations) • IFORS 2008 (5 presentations)

16. Workshops I • Attack Technique Workshops • TFDC/OTB Workshop (2006) • Presented TEWA work • Lecture Lance Wellington • Obtained flight profile data • US Workshop I (2007) • Presented TEWA work • Presentations by Jan Durandt • Sensitizing of flight profile data • Langebaanweg Workshop (2007) • Introduction to simulator • Informal discussion pilot • US Workshop II (2008) • Lecture John Erasmus Military Academy TFDC

17. Workshops II • Asset Assessment Workshops • RRS Workshop (2006) • UDDC Workshop (2006) • Scenario Workshops • RRS Workshops (2005-2008) • DPSS Workshops (2006-2008) • UDDC Workshops (2008) • Operator in the Loop Workshops • IMT/Ergotec Workshop UDDC

18. Future Masters Project 1 • Evaluation of a fully fledged TEWA system in a GBADS environment • Basie Kok • To submit Junie 2009

19. Future Masters Topics • Masters 2 (2009/10): Topic: Data management and pattern recognition in an AWARENET environment • Management, filtering and evaluation of intelligence data. • Masters 3 (2009/10): Topic: Threat evaluation with respect to poaching in a marine and coastal management environment • The design of a decision support system to recognize poaching activities. • Masters 4 (2010/11): Topic: Design of a resource assignment decision support system in a law enforcement environment • Implementation of a decision support system to aid the law enforcement authorities with the assignment of resources. • Masters 5 (2011/12): Topic: Design of a resource assignment system on ADA regiment level • Use of utility and assignment theory to design a decision support system for operators on ADA regiment level.

20. Future PhD Project 1 • The Design of a TE Subsystem • Jaco Roux • To submit September 2009

21. Future PhD Topics • PhD 2 (2009/10/11): Topic: Design of a weapon assignment system in the GBAD environment • A decision support system is designed to propose possible engagement between threats and effectors in real-time. • PhD 3 (2010/11/12): Topic: Design of a multi-timescale threat evaluation decision support system with respect to drug trafficking and poaching in a marine and coastal management environment • The design of a system to monitor and identify threats during real-time or larger periods of time (i.e. 1 month)

22. Other Future Activates (2009-2012) • Contract Research & Interest Development Projects • Further build Centre of Excellence • Computing Facilities • Postgraduate research laboratory containing 12 workstations • Maintain and update equipment • Workshops • Workshops with various military partners • Workshops with various industry partners • Conferences • LEDGER 2009-2012 • ORSSA 2009-2012 • IFORS 2011

23. Medium Term Objectives • Medium term planning, 4 years, to create a sustainable centre of excellence • Main objective, in cooperation with RRS, to develop the first South African TEWA DSS product for future GBADS phases (Ph2+) • Secondary objectives to develop or support development of DSSs: • TEWA on higher levels of ADA • TEWA or TERA in the JAD environment • TE DSS during Operations Other Than War (OOTW) • Soccer World Cup 2010 • Peace Keeping • Task force assignment of SAP • TE DS for coastal surveillance