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COP 16

COP 16. Portfolio Committee Presentation 17 November 2010. OVERVIEW OF PRESENTATION. Overview of status of negotiations and political dynamics Progress in negotiations under Convention and Kyoto Protocol (KP). Current Status of the UNFCCC negotiations.

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COP 16

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  1. COP 16 Portfolio Committee Presentation 17 November 2010

  2. OVERVIEW OF PRESENTATION • Overview of status of negotiations and political dynamics • Progress in negotiations under Convention and Kyoto Protocol (KP)

  3. Current Status of the UNFCCC negotiations • Loss of momentum; recognition that COP 16 / CMP 6 will not achieve final agreement • Deep divisions between developed and developing countries • No agreement on shape and legal form of final outcome; one or two treaties or just operational decisions • As President of COP 17 / CMP 7, SA needs to push for clarity on this • Momentum to “balanced set of decisions”

  4. Not much progress was achieved in 2010 • So far, 4 meetings (April, June, Aug, Oct) • General agreement that focusing on the Adhoc Working Group on Long-term Cooperative Action (AWG-LCA) text will not yield immediate results • The meeting in Tianjin therefore decided to focus on AREAS where there might be general consensus.

  5. Current Dynamics • USA not passed its climate and energy legislation; not ready to enter their target and financial pledges into legally binding treaty • Other developed countries not prepared to take on internationally binding targets for Second Commitment Period (CP2) • Some developed countries (Japan, Canada) insistent on their targets NOT in KP • China will not agree legal form till US signals • G77 & China fractured but united on 2 track framework; retains KP track; disagree legal form

  6. Scenarios • Current pledges mean: over 70% of mitigation effort by developing countries • What are the scenarios: • Comprehensive package: 2 track Legally Binding Agreements (LBA) • Fragmentation: abandon prospects of LBA, focus on operational decisions, incremental. • Two step: middle road; accept that for now cant deliver global agreement; national action for now • Trend is to fragmentation: no movement on increasing ambition, on legal form, multiple forums

  7. Progress in LCA and KP • LCA: Limited progress in negotiations under Convention AWG- LCA Chair proposed issues for decisions in Cancun: adaptation committee, new fund, technology mechanism, REDD mechanism, sectoral approach for agriculture, inscribing targets for Annex 1 (AI); actions Non-Annex 1 (NAI) Parties • KP: No progress, pledges remain the same; AI Parties insisting on establishing the LULUCF rules before reviewing their level of ambition

  8. THANKS!

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