Microsimulation in decision support The latest news about our results. József Csicsman [email protected] Contents. Introduction Microsimulation Research Group in BUTE Formal presentation at IFIP WS-s Microsimulation theory Microsimulation in practice Research data sets from 2004
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Models simulate large representative populations of these low-level entities(using probabilities, laws, rules or empirical facts)
2001-2003: Common development group for the technical background of Microsimulation
Real applications from 2003
Microsimulation has been used for decades in economics and other areas.
The microsimulation procedure examines social and economic changes by assessing the effect of each provision with small units and the description of the overall effects is derived from these assessments.
It has essential role in decision support.
Demographic, social and economic impacts of various measures
Improving the quality of statistical surveys
Aging of datasets (bringing data of former surveys up-to-date)
More accurate forecast of probable events
International comparisons (competitiveness, tax and subsidy systems…)
Research data sets from 2004
Problems of modelling demographic changes
Done on the research dataset
The test examines the possible outcomes and effects of an unforeseen event
Failure rate in the income decimals
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