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The IP3 Research Network: Enhancing Understanding of Water Resources in Canada’s Cold Regions. Julie Friddell University of Saskatchewan. WWCRC Climate Change Forum 21-23 November 2007. IP3... ...is devoted to understanding water supply and weather systems in cold

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The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

The IP3 Research Network: Enhancing Understanding of Water Resources in Canada’s Cold Regions

Julie Friddell

University of Saskatchewan

WWCRC Climate Change Forum

21-23 November 2007


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

IP3...

...is devoted to understanding water

supply and weather systems in cold

Regions at high altitudes and high latitudes (Rockies and western Arctic)

...will contribute to better prediction

of regional and local weather, climate,

and water resources in cold regions, including ungauged basin streamflow, changes in snow and water supplies, and calculation of freshwater inputs to the Arctic Ocean

... is composed over about 40 investigators and collaborators from Canada, USA, and Europe

…runs from 2006-2010


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

IP3 Network Investigators

Sean Carey, Carleton University

Richard Essery, University of Edinburgh

Raoul Granger, Environment Canada

Masaki Hayashi, University of Calgary

Rick Janowicz, Yukon Department of Environment

Philip Marsh, University of Saskatchewan

Scott Munro, University of Toronto

Alain Pietroniro, University of Saskatchewan

John Pomeroy (PI), University of Saskatchewan

William Quinton, Wilfrid Laurier University

Ken Snelgrove, Memorial University, Newfoundland

Ric Soulis, University of Waterloo

Chris Spence, University of Saskatchewan

Diana Verseghy, Environment Canada

(people in bold are on Scientific Committee)


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

IP3 Collaborators

Peter Blanken, University of Colorado

Tom Brown, University of Saskatchewan

Doug Clark, Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, UK

Bruce Davison, HAL - Environment Canada

Mike Demuth, Natural Resources Canada

Vincent Fortin, MRD - Environment Canada

Ron Goodson, HAL - Environment Canada

Chris Hopkinson, Centre of Geographic Sciences, NS

Tim Link, University of Idaho

Newell Hedstrom, NWRI - Environment Canada

Richard Heck, University of Guelph

Joni Onclin, University of Saskatchewan

Murray Mackay, CRD - Environment Canada

Danny Marks, USDA - Agricultural Research Service Bob Reid, Indian and Northern Affairs Canada

Nick Rutter, University of Sheffield, UK Rob Schincariol, Univ. of Western Ontario

Frank Seglenieks, University of Waterloo Kevin Shook, University of Saskatchewan

Mike Solohub, University of Saskatchewan Uli Strasser, LMU, Munich, Germany

Brenda Toth, HAL - Environment Canada Bryan Tolson, University of Waterloo

Cherie Westbrook, University of Saskatchewan Adam Winstral, USDA - ARS


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

Partners

Alberta Environment

Cold Regions Research Centre, Wilfrid Laurier Univ.

Diavik Diamond Mines, Inc.

Environment Canada

Climate Research Division (CRD)

Hydrometeorology & Arctic Laboratory (HAL)

Meteorological Research Branch (MRB)

National Water Research Institute (NWRI)

Water Survey of Canada

GEWEX/GLASS

Indian and Northern Affairs Canada - Water Resources

International Polar Year (IPY) - Arctic Hydra

International Polar Year (IPY) - Cold Land Processes

Natural Resources Canada

Northwest Territories Power CorporationParks Canada

Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB)Saskatchewan Watershed Authority

USDA Agricultural Research ServiceYukon Environment


Ip3 governance

IP3 Governance

Board of Directors

Hok Woo - McMaster University

Vincent Fortin - Environment Canada

Dan Moore - University of British Columbia

Bob Reid - INAC, Water Resources

John Pomeroy - University of Saskatchewan

CFCAS


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

  • Why IP3?

  • Need to forecast changing flow regime of streams and rivers in the western cordillera and North

  • Increasing consumptive use of Rocky

  • Mountain water in Prairie Provinces

  • Uncertainty in design for resource (oil & gas, diamond, etc) development and restoration activities in small- to medium-sized, headwater ‘ungauged’ basins

  • Opportunity to improve cold regions snow, ice, frost, soil, and water processes in models to reduce predictive uncertainty at small spatial scales in:

    • Atmospheric impacts on snow, ice and water resources

    • Simulation of land-cryosphere-atmosphere interaction

    • Cycling and storage of water, snow and ice

    • Prediction of future climate change


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

Naturalized Flow of South Saskatchewan River entering Lake Diefenbaker

Natural flow: Decline of 1.2 billion m3 over 90 years (-12%)

Actual flow: Decline of 1.1 billion m3 over 30 years (-15%)Decline of 4 billion m3 over 90 years (-40%)Note: 70% of decline due to consumption, 30% due to hydrology

Upstream consumption: 7%-42% of naturalized flows in last 15 years


Ip3 science focus

IP3 Science Focus

  • Snow – redistribution, accumulation, sublimation, radiative transfer and melt

  • Forests – effect on radiative and turbulent transfer to snow and frozen ground

  • Glaciers – interactions with the atmosphere

  • Frozen ground – freezing, thaw, water transmission and storage

  • Lakes/Ponds – advection, atmospheric fluxes, heat storage, flow in drainage systems


Ip3 goals and theme structure

IP3 – Goals and Theme Structure

  • Theme 1 Processes:Advance our understandingof cold regions hydrometeorological processes

  • Theme 2 ParameterisationDevelop mathematical parameterisation of cold regions processes for small to medium scales

  • Theme 3 Prediction Evaluate and demonstrate improved hydrological and atmospheric prediction at regional and smaller scales in the cold regions of Canada

  • Ultimately – contribute to multiscale assessment of coupled climate system, weather and water resources in cold regions


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

IP3 Research Basins


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

Anticipated Results:

Processes

New soil physics parameters

for organic and frozen soils

Control of lateral flow established for various cold regions environments

Improved turbulent transfer relationships over snow and glacier ice in complex terrain

Improved short- and long-wave radiation relationships for vegetation canopies on snow-covered slopes and in gaps

Improved snow interception and unloading for forests


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

Parameterisation

Cold Regions Hydrological Model CRHM

 Scaling of hydrological processes

 Minimize model complexity while reproducing the essential behaviour of the system


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

Anticipated Results:

Parameterisation

  • Advection, evaporation, and ice on small lakes

  • Blowing snow redistribution between basinsand between landscape types

  • Upscaled radiation and turbulent fluxes to glacier ice & snow,

  • Snow-covered area depletion in mountains

  • Hillslope hydraulic conductivity over frozen ground

  • Runoff and streamflow, including hillslope flow and ‘fill and spill’


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

Prediction

 Water resources (storage, discharge, snow cover, soil moisture), atmosphere-ground interaction (evaporation), and weather and climate


Ip3 scaling methodology

IP3 Scaling Methodology

Integrating the TOP DOWN and BOTTOM UP approaches


Mod lisation environnementale communautaire mec

Modélisation Environnementale Communautaire, MEC

Atmospheric

model (3D)

with its own

surface scheme (1D)

Atmospheric

Atmospheric

model (3D)

On

On

-

-

line”

line”

Off

Off

-

-

line”

line”

mode

mode

mode

mode

Extracted atmospheric

model forcings

Surface

scheme (1D)

Hydrological model (lumped or 2D)

with its own LSS

Hydrological

Hydrological

model (2D)

MESH – MEC – Surface and Hydrology


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

  • Anticipated Results:

    • Prediction

  • MEC/MESH for cold regions –

  • developed and tested

  • CRHM for headwater northern and mountain basins

  • Improved prediction in ungauged basins – streamflow prediction with reduced calibration of model parameters from gauged flows

  • Improved weather prediction – quantify importance of land-atmosphere feedback in cold regions

  • Improved climate prediction – benefits from improved hydrology-land surface scheme physics and parameterisation

  • Ability to predict water resource response to climate and land use change with increased confidence


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

IP3 Final Outputs

  • Improved understanding of cold regions hydrological processes at multiple scales

  • Unique observational archive of research basin data

  • More effective incorporation of cold regions processes and parameterisations into hydrological and meteorological models at regional and smaller scales

  • Improved environmental predictive capability in cold regions in response to greater water resource demands:

    → Enhanced hydrological and atmospheric model performance at multiple spatial scales and at scales requested by users

    → Improved streamflow prediction in ungauged basins with less calibration of model parameters from gauged flows

    → Improved weather and climate prediction due to rigorous model development and testing


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

Users’ Advisory

Committee

Public and private:

community, government, industry,…

Goal is to provide information that can be used in regional planning/policy making, streamflow/flood forecasting, weather/climate forecasting, water management, environmental conservation, and northern development

Interactive workshops for outreach to practitioners and feedback on applicability of research


The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

  • Recent Activities

  • Field work began in spring

    • Several processes better understood

  • Parameterisation of several processes underway with good progress

  • Model development:

    • CLASS 3.3 finalized

    • CRHM – initialized for most basins,forest parameterisations added

    • MEC/MESH – initialized for several basins, training workshop

  • GEM Modeller, several students and postdocs started summer 2007

  • LiDAR surveys of all 8 basins completed August 2007

  • IPY Arctic Freshwater Systems: Hydrology & Ecology Network started


  • Ip3 in the world

    IP3 in the World

    • PUB – IP3 hosts Working Group #16 of the IAHS Decade for Prediction in Ungauged Basins

    • GEWEX GLASS – cold regions contribution to land surface scheme component of the Global Energy and Water Cycling Experiment of the World Climate Research Programme

    • CliC – Climate and Cryosphere Project – application being made to affiliate with Theme 1

    • Significant collaborations supported by USDA, NERC

      • North American Cordilleran Transect

      • Comparisons with European Arctic cold regions hydrometeorology


    The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

    • Upcoming Meetings

    • Planned Meetings :

      • Themes 2 Workshop (Parameterisation for Models, June 2008)

      • Monthly modelling teleconferences and annual meetings

      • CRHM training Workshops (Eastern, Western, Northern Canada)

      • Users' Advisory Workshop – Canmore, March 2008

      • Session at Canadian Geophysical Union with WC2N in May – Banff, Alberta


    The ip3 research network enhancing understanding of water resources in canada s cold regions

    Thank you!

    Please visit us at

    www.usask.ca/ip3

    Thank you to IP3 participants for providing photos!


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