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Jiang Shixue Chinese Academy of Social Sciences jiangsx@cass.org.cn

China’s Leadership Change and the Future of China-EU Relations European Institute of Asian Studies March 19, 2013. Jiang Shixue Chinese Academy of Social Sciences jiangsx@cass.org.cn. The “old wine” is still fragrant. The “old wine” for China’s foreign diplomacy will not be changed.

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Jiang Shixue Chinese Academy of Social Sciences jiangsx@cass.org.cn

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  1. China’s Leadership Change and the Future of China-EU Relations European Institute of Asian StudiesMarch 19, 2013 Jiang Shixue Chinese Academy of Social Sciences jiangsx@cass.org.cn

  2. The “old wine” is still fragrant. • The “old wine” for China’s foreign diplomacy will not be changed. • The Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence • To build a harmonious world • The four sentences (Big countries are the key; the neighboring countries are the priority; the developing countries are the foundation; and multilateral diplomacy is the stage.)

  3. Possible change • Deng Xiaoping’s strategy: Keep a low profile and do something. • Given the fact that China’s territorial integrity is under threat, many Chinese netizens suggest that China needs to be more assertive. • Many netizens also say that China’s wish to maintain regional peace and good relations with its neighbors should not be seen as a kind of weakness, and they ask the foreign minister to take more calcium.

  4. The new Chinese leaders are by no means strangers to Europeans, and they also know Europe quite well. This is very positive to the development of future’s China-Europe relations.

  5. Questions to ponder

  6. 1. How can the leaders from both Sides know each other better, particularly after 2014?

  7. 2. How to make the comprehensive strategic partnership more meaningful?

  8. 2013 will witness the 10th anniversary of establishing the “comprehensive strategic partnership” between China and the EU. • But it’s a pity that, with this “political marriage certificate”, the EU is not willing to grant China market economy status and the arms embargos is still there.

  9. A professor from the KU Leuven: “The EU and China have never created a strategic partnership, but it has been established as a goal, or even more, as a process, a long-term process.” (China Daily, October 12, 2012. p. 32)

  10. 3. In the post-crisis period, will the EU be tough again?

  11. 4. Will the EU grant the market economy status to China automatically in 2016?

  12. 4. Will the wish-lists be changed? • The EU’s wish-list: • To open the market • To ensure a level playing field • To protect intellectual property rights • To improve human rights • To behave with global responsibility, etc.

  13. China’s wish-list • China’s wish list: • Not to interfere in China’s domestic affairs such on human rights, political reforms, Tibet, Taiwan, etc. • To respect China’s own choice of economic and political systems

  14. 5. Is a China-EU FTA likely?

  15. February 11, 2009, Mexico City • Speaking to the Mexican Chinese at the Chinese embassy, Xi Jinping said, faced with the international financial storm, China can fundamentally solve the problem of feeding its 1.3 billion population. This is a great contribution to the mankind…

  16. But some foreigners, with full bellies and nothing better to do, engage in finger-pointing at us. First, China does not export revolution; second, it does not export famine and poverty; and third, it does not mess around with you. So what else is there to say?

  17. Thank you very much.

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