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Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities

The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing Advisory) 604-946-2035 www.seniorhome.com. Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities. Workplan to Confirm a Viable Tenant Cluster

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Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities

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  1. The Haugen Centre, Armstrong UBCM – Kelowna – Sept/04 Prepared by Seniorhome (formerly Seniors’ Housing Advisory) 604-946-2035 www.seniorhome.com Assessing Seniors’ Housing Needs in Small Communities

  2. Workplan to Confirm a Viable Tenant Cluster Regional Focus and an Open and Inclusive Process Overview – Interior Health Authority’s Offer of Property

  3. The Haugen Story(an example of small community project origins) • Existing lawn bowling green • Old de-commissioned hospital • Formerly donated to the town>>>to the Health Authority • Covenant for “health related uses”

  4. The Local Community Context • Existing Seniors’ Community Centre – threatened by competition? • OCP – Affordable and Special Needs Housing Policy Objective support was in place ahead of the subjective initiative Would encourage density bonusing, CD zoning, Council’s initiative thru dev’t. approval process

  5. Typical Small Community Factors • Everyone in town knows all that’s going on • Quick consensus and rallying of support • “Public lands” – School sites?>>>School Act asset disposition protocol • “Minor soccer vs. senior comforts” – competing interests? (a Kamloops story) • Smaller pop. = smaller constituencies>>>likelihood of blended user groups w/in seniors’ population • More land avail.>>>”campus of care” likely feasible>>>aging in place and flexible service programs • Urban and rural client groups and supports

  6. Vital steps to assessing need • Review existing and anticipated supply • Market segmentation to distinguish: • Housing types: Detached/ Attached/ Old/ New • Service programs: IL, Supportive, Congregate, AL, Licensed Care • Funded from private pay • Demographic analysis of regional population McGuire Lake facility, Salmon Arm

  7. Demographic analysis • A blend of precise measurement and intuition • Limited by quality of gross data • Beware the tempting assumptions and extrapolations Pioneer Place, Enderby

  8. Small Area Data by FSA • Regional Market Delineation and Map – Large Market Area & Small Market Area • Canada Post Forward Sortation Areas (“FSA’s”) • addition of FSA V1H in Vernon since data collected

  9. Armstrong-Spallumcheen Small Market Area Population ProjectionsSOURCE: Interior Health Authority

  10. Potential Unmet Demand for More Supported Independent Housing for Seniors and Others with Special Needs • Assumption that “Seniors’ Housing” Means “Supported Housing” • Potential New Housing Category: Ownership Tenure, with Support • Measuring Demand and Determining Project Magnitude • >>>Existing and Potential New Seniors’ Housing in the Region Outside Schubert Centre, Vernon

  11. 1.A.E.&S. Community Health Council-Juniper   500 George St.       Enderby, British Columbia    V0E 1V0     2.Enderby & District Memorial Hospital   500 George Street       Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6441     V0E 1V0     3.Marshall Meadows   559 Mable Lake Road       Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-7375     V0E 1V4 4.Oakside Manor   Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 832-6777   5.Parkview Place   707-3 Road Ave Box 129       Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-6176     V0E 1V0     6.Pioneer Place   Box 402 Enderby       Enderby, British Columbia phone: (250) 838-0037     V0E 1V0 List 1 ~ Seniors’ Housing Available in Vernon, Armstrong, Enderby and Salmon Arm – All Program Types

  12. Preliminary Market Depth Table for Large Market Area – Supply in 2003

  13. Preliminary Market Depth Table for Small Market Area – Supply in 2003

  14. Analyzing the Data Large Mkt.: • 18,000 over 75’s • 765/18,000 = 4% supply • 10% factor = 1,800 units Small Mkt.: • 1,147 over 75’s • 21/1,147 = 2% supply • 10% factor = 115 units Cantebury Court, Vernon

  15. Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Pop/Income

  16. Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Residency, House Value, Rent

  17. Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data – Homeowners’ Avail. Income for Housing

  18. Sample Custom Cross-Tab Data –Renters’ Avail. Income for Housing

  19. Final Supply/Demand Analysis (Preliminary*) * Requires further analysis of Small Mkt. Area, mobility trends etc. Owners 72+ with over $1,800 inc. for housing 6,425 Renters 135 Total qualified in the region 6,560 Existing units 57 Proposed 30 Total units 87 Participation rate: 87/6,560 = 1.3% Shuswap Lodge, Salmon Arm

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