Chastity The Foundational Virtue for Marriage And for Society Patrick F. Fagan, Ph.D.

1. Chastity The Foundational Virtue for Marriage And for Society Patrick F. Fagan, Ph.D. The Diocese of Arlington Catholic Charities Mental Health Seminar Nov. 13, 2013

2. Chastity: The Foundation of Marriage And The Family

3. CONTENTS • problems • solution • strategy • need to succeed

4. the big problem

5. PROBLEM statistic statistic statistic statistic statistic divorce has reduced the growth of us economy by 1/6th every year for 20 years when you factor in the marriage of parents there is little to no difference between incarceration rates of black and white youth 55% of American 17 year olds have grown up without mother and father most children in poverty now live in situations of cohabitation rather than in single parent family Because of abortion we loose $100B in income and $10B in taxes every year

6. FUNDAMENTAL INSTITUTIONS m a c r o – l e v e l m i c r o – l e v e l government school family church marketplace

7. STUDIES SHOW 27% life expectancy wealth income life expectancy 39% productivity crime

8. GPA English/Math by Family Structure Source: Adolescent Health Survey, Wave I. Adolescents grade 7-12. 2.90 2.9 2.80 2.70 2.6 Average GPA Enligsh/Math Combined 2.6 2.6 2.60 2.5 2.5 2.50 2.40 2.30 INTACT STEP COHABIT (BOTH COHABIT (ONE DIVORCED NEVER MARRIED NATURAL) NATURAL)

11. Source Antovics, K. & Town, R. Am Econ Review V 94, (2004) pp 317-321 $127 140 Marriage Premium in Male Income $100 120 100 80 Comparative Income % $27 60 + = 40 20 0 Average Unmarried Male Premium Average Married Male

12. Same Parents If Married Unmarried Parents 3.17 Million Children 3.93 Million Children Out ofPoverty InPoverty Children in Poverty 0.75 Million Children Source R Rector (Heritage Fdn) : Analysis of CPS 2001

14. US Total (Males) 1982-2010% “Unskilled” Not Working: single Cohab Married Married single Cohab

15. US Total (Males) “Not Working” Professional Class Unemployed single Cohab Married Fraction of Occupation Class Married single Cohab

16. Retreat from Marriage:Black Men (25-54)Unemployment DifferentialsMarriage (pink) andnon-Marriage (blue)

17. Proportion of MarriedHeads of Households 1960-1990

18. Growth in Productivity: Down MARRIED DIVORCED SINGLE

19. Male Employment 1962-2010Males aged 25-54; Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPS)

21. Family Structure: Comparative Rates Of Youth Incarceration 4 3.7 3.5 3 2.71 2.5 2.07 2 Comparative Rates of Incarceration 1.5 1 1 0.5 0 Raised in Intact Married Parent Raised in Mother-Only Family Raised in a Mother and Raised in a Stepmother Family Family Stepfather Family Source: C. Harper and S. McLanahan, “Father Absence and Youth Incarceration,” ASA Annual Meeting, San Francisco, August 1998. Data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth.

22. Relative Rates of Physical Abuse by Family Structure Source NIS-4, 2010 12 10.3 10 8 6 5.2 4.3 3.6 4 3.1 2 1.0 0 Step Cohabiting Step Married Always Intact Single Parent Not living with Intact Cohabiting Family Family Married Family Family either parent Family

23. Relative Rates of Sexual Abuse by Family Structure Source NIS-4, 2010 25 19.8 20 15 10.6 8.6 10 5 4.8 5 1 0 Single Parent Step Cohabiting Always Intact Intact Cohabiting Not living with Step Married Family Family Married Family Family either parent Family

24. U.S: Partner / Spouse Violence Against Mothers Over 20 With Children under 12 Source DOJ Nat Crime Victimization Survey 1999 35 33 30 25 20 15 Rate Per 1,000 15 10 6 4 5 0 Married Widowed Married+Div+Sep Never Married Combined

25. Number of Non-Marital Sexual Partners Versus Percent in a Stable Marriage Source: NSFG 1995

26. the solution

27. PASSING THE BATON

28. DROPPING THE BATON

29. SOLUTION Grow the young intact married family that worships God weekly

30. STRATEGY TO SOLUTION be a part of the conversation shape the conversation m a c r o – l e v e l m i c r o – l e v e l church govern- ment family market- place school

31. PROBLEM

32. STUDIES SHOW certain family behaviors cause positive national and personal consequences • family dinner • friendship • social fun (rather than digital) • teen chastity • pre-marriage preparation • pre-courtship preparation • mentoring newly married • Adoption • weekly worship • prayer • increased revenue from taxes • increased productivity • enhanced human capital • higher income and savings • higher education attainment • small business growth • better health

33. Need for success • The Children --- The Next Generation • The Economy • The Constitution • The Solution Natural Law

35. Annual Rejection Ratio: For Every 100 Children Born Sources: CDC/ NCHS report series 100.0 90.0 80.0 70.0 60.0 Divorce 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 OWB 0.0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 1998 2000

37. Charts from “Knot Now”, by Hymowitz, Carroll, Wilcox and Kaye, 2013

38. For many: Marriage is not in their future Charts from “Knot Now”, by Hymowitz, Carroll, Wilcox and Kaye, 2013

39. GPA Score Combined English/ Math Source Ad Health Survey Waves 1+2 1995 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.85 2.8 2.7 2.75 2.7 Combined English-Math Score 2.6 2.65 2.6 2.55 2.5 2.45 Weekly Weekly<Monthly Monthly<Yearly Never Frequency of Religious Attendance

40. WORSHIP: NEGATIVE

41. GPA

42. HIGH SCHOLL EDUCATION

43. CRIME: ASSAULT

44. HEAVY DRINKING

45. BACHELOR DEGREE

46. INTERCOURSE