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Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Modelling Project

School for Public Health Research. Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Modelling Project Kirk Allen, Martin O’Flaherty, Peter Diggle, Simon Capewell. Liverpool and Lancaster Universities Collaboration for Public Health Research.

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Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Modelling Project

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  1. School for Public Health Research Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Modelling Project Kirk Allen, Martin O’Flaherty, Peter Diggle, Simon Capewell Liverpool and Lancaster Universities Collaboration for Public Health Research Background: Poorer groups have higher CVD mortality and morbidity, largely due to modifiable risk factors Objective: Evaluate policies to improve lifestyle and dietary risk factors for cardiovascular disease, especially focusing on which policies could reduce CVD inequalities Methods: Epidemiological modelling of changes in risk factors due to policies linked to changes in CHD mortality. Analyses stratified by socioeconomic circumstance. • SALT • Reformulation • Labelling • Health Promotion • TRANS FAT • Reformulation • Labelling • Restaurant Ban • SMOKING • Taxes • Public Place Bans • Public Info Campaigns • Advertising Bans • Health Warnings • Plain Packaging • Treatment Paper submitted Paper being drafted Should reduce inequalities Might increase inequalities Neutral ? Developing model Groups with higher CVD burden should benefit more from reduction in risk factors. But, policies that fail to reach all groups might widen inequalities. • OTHER CONTRIBUTIONS • Projecting future CHD mortality by social group (paper submitted) • Estimating role of statins in reducing cholesterol inequalities (paper submitted) STRUCTURE vs AGENCY The National Institute for Health Research’s School for Public Health Research (NIHR SPHR) is a partnership between the Universities of Sheffield, Bristol, Cambridge, Exeter, UCL; The London School for Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; the LiLaC collaboration between the Universities of Liverpool and Lancaster and Fuse; The Centre for Translational Research in Public Health, a collaboration between Newcastle, Durham, Northumbria, Sunderland and Teesside Universities. This is an outline of independent research funded by the NIHR SPHR. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health.

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