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Changing Pattern Of Energy Demand in Glasgow Jim Whyte 16 th July 2013

Changing Pattern Of Energy Demand in Glasgow Jim Whyte 16 th July 2013. Background: UK Low Carbon Agenda. There is a Cunning Plan. Background: Translation to UK Energy Picture.

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Changing Pattern Of Energy Demand in Glasgow Jim Whyte 16 th July 2013

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  1. Changing Pattern Of Energy Demand inGlasgowJim Whyte16th July 2013

  2. Background: UK Low Carbon Agenda • There is a Cunning Plan.......

  3. Background: Translation to UK Energy Picture • Thank You National Grid For Scenario Analysis: http://www.nationalgrid.com/uk/Gas/OperationalInfo/TBE/Future+Energy+Scenarios/ • 3 scenario picture with built in Economic Growth Predictions, Axioms and Heroic Assumptions! • This is only one well laid out and coherent future energy picture created by National Grid (The Major Gas and Electric company in the UK)..... • The Devil is in the detail!

  4. Background: The City Energy Mix Implications • Heat • Domestic Heating transfer to Electrical Power • Industrial Heat use of Bio-fuels/Mass & Carbon Capture • Burning Fossil Fuels kept for ‘High Grade Heat’ • Transport • Cars (and Buses?) all Electric or Hybrid • Electric Mass transit systems • Burning Fossil Fuels kept for Aviation & Shipping

  5. Background: The future is Electric! • Things Don't Take off till Electricity is Cleaned up in the mid 20’s! • Reduction In Electrical Demand till Then • Concurrent Reduction In Gas Demand

  6. Glasgow Energy Changes: Energy Efficiency • Minimise Energy Requirement! • Devices • Background improvement in Energy Efficiency • Boilers • Appliances • Buildings • New Development: Managed by Building Regulations • Retrofit: Massive Encouragement In Building Improvement • Green Deal • ECO • Carbon Reduction Commitment scheme for large Commercial & Industrial Users • Building Energy Certificates

  7. Glasgow Energy Changes: Heat A Key area for Debate & Decision! Community Energy Systems V Continued Individual Building Installation • Individual Building Installation • Domestic Heat Pumps • Single Commercial Building Level Electrical Heat/Cooling Pump System’s • Biomass/Bio fuel Installations • Energy Mix Implications • Increased Electrical requirement • Smart Grids and Reinforcement of electrical system • Community Energy Systems • CHP & District Heating networks • Feeds Electrical Energy in & provides Heat • Taps into Waste/Process Heat and Geothermal Heat • Flexible Technology for Energy Centre • Adapt as Low Carbon Requirement Grows • Energy Mix Implications • New Energy Infrastructure: Heat Network • Minimise Requirement for Electrical Reinforcement Both Valid Solution’s For Low Carbon Requirement Create a Environment for Mixed Solution Driven by Heat and Building Density?

  8. Glasgow Energy Changes: Transport • Increased Requirement for Electrical Energy for Transport needs • Individual Car Use • Buses • Mass Transit Systems • But....lots of Smart Grid Potential (Smoothing out the Demand Profile) • Overnight Charging • Time of Use Tariffs • Predictable Car Usage : Use of Car Batteries for Energy Balancing Storage devices etc...

  9. Glasgow Energy Changes:Low Carbon Technology Penetration • Micro generation • Driven By FITS • PV prevalent in Cities • Community Scale generation • CHP: Dependant on Community Heating schemes penetration, • CHP: LCT Energy Technology Independent • Others at Low Level: Urban Wind • Micro Renewable Heat • Driven by RHI • Heat Pumps, Air & Ground Sourced • Biomass • Community Scale Renewable Heat • Waste & Process Heat • Geothermal • Large Scale Biomass • Bio-fuels & Anaerobic Digestion

  10. Glasgow Energy Changes: Summary • Now to 2030 • Little Change in Current Energy Mix • Decrease in Energy Use Due to increasing Energy Efficiencies (balanced by Increasing Population/GDP) • Drive for Building Improvement, LCT Penetration and Background Clean Up of Electricity • 2030 to 2050 • Move away from Hydrocarbon Sources (Gas and Petrol) to Electrical Energy • Drive for Electric Transport and Electrical Heating Systems (Heat Pumps) • Continued Drive for LCT Systems to support local energy Infrastructure • Need for Smart Grids to maximise LCT potential and minimise new Infrastructure DECC: Updated Energy & Emissions Projections 2012 • Decisions By the City To Influence Final Energy Mix Picture • How to Maximise Energy Efficiency Potential • Encouragement of Citizens LCT take Up • Mass Transit Transport Decisions • Strategic Decisions on Supply of Heat ?

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