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Short Stack Strategy: Odds & Outs - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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Strategy: No Limit. Short Stack Strategy: Odds & Outs. In this Video. What cards will help you? Learning to weigh risk against reward Not every helpful card really is helpful Outs Odds Pot odds. Outs – What cards will help me?. Example A. Your outs. Example B. Your outs.

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Strategy: No Limit

Short Stack Strategy: Odds & Outs


In this Video

  • What cards will help you?

  • Learning to weigh risk against reward

  • Not every helpful card really is helpful

  • Outs

  • Odds

  • Pot odds


Outs – What cards will help me?

  • Example A

  • Your outs

  • Example B

  • Your outs


Outs – More Examples

  • Flush draw9 outs

  • OESD8 outs

  • Two overcards6 outs

  • A pair with a chance of a 3oak / 2 pairs5 outs

  • Gutshot4 outs


Odds – What Probability does the Draw have?

  • Example A

  • Odds = unhelpful cards: helpful cards

  • Unhelpful cards = unknown cards – helpful cards

  • Flop/turn odds = (47 – outs) : outs



Pot Odds – Can I play my Hand profitably?

  • Example A

  • Pot before opponent’s bet: $10

  • Opponent’s bet: $2

  • Possible profit for you: $12

  • Bet you have to place for this: $2

  • Pot odds = possible profit : bet to be placed

  • If the pot odds are better than the odds of an incomplete hand, one will make long-term profit. If they are worse, one will make long-term loss.


Discounted / Modified Outs

  • Example A

  • Your Outs

  • Opponents

  • Your discounted outs

  • Opponent

  • Your discounted outs


Conclusion

  • OddsUnhelpful cards: Helpful cards

  • Pot oddsPossible profit: Bet

  • When is it profitable to play a draw?

Good Luck!


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