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MPU September 100901. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast. Figure 2. GDP with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data.

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Mpu september 100901

MPU September100901


Figure 1 repo rate with uncertainty bands per cent quarterly averages
Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent, quarterly averages

Source: The Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.


Figure 2 gdp with uncertainty bands annual percentage change seasonally adjusted data
Figure 2. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.


Figure 3 cpi with uncertainty bands annual percentage change
Figure 3. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.


Figure 4 cpif with uncertainty bands annual percentage change
Figure 4. CPIF with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.


Figure 5 gdp quarterly changes in per cent annual rate seasonally adjusted data
Figure 5. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent, annual rate, seasonally-adjusted data

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.


Figure 6 unemployment percentage of the labour force seasonally adjusted data
Figure 6. UnemploymentPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 years.


Figure 7 labour force and number of employed thousands seasonally adjusted data
Figure 7. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 year.


Figure 8 cpi cpif and cpif excluding energy annual percentage change
Figure 8. CPI, CPIF and CPIF excluding energyAnnual percentage change

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Figure 9 real repo rate per cent quarterly averages
Figure 9. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages

Source: The Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.


Figure 10 tcw weighted exchange rate index 18 11 92 100
Figure 10. TCW-weighted exchange rate Index, 18.11.92 = 100

Source: The Riksbank

Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.


Figure 11 oil price brent crude usd per barrel
Figure 11. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel

Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank


Figure 12. Development of GDP in different regions and countriesQuarterly changes in per cent, annual rate, seasonally adjusted data

Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Figure 13 comparison of recovery in sweden the euro area and usa gdp level index 2007 quarter 4 100
Figure 13. Comparison of recovery in Sweden, the euro area and USAGDP level, index 2007 quarter 4 = 100

Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, SCB and the Riksbank


Figure 14 estimated gaps percentage deviation from the hp trend
Figure 14. Estimated gaps and USAPercentage deviation from the HP trend

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table a1 repo rate forecast per cent quarterly average values
Table A1. Repo rate forecast and USAPer cent, quarterly average values

Source: The Riksbank


Table a2 inflation annual average annual percentage change
Table A2. Inflation, annual average and USAAnnual percentage change

Note. CPIF is CPI with fixed interest rate. HICP is an EU harmonised index

of consumer prices which does not include household mortgage costs.

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table a3 summary of financial forecasts annual average per cent unless otherwise specified
Table A3. Summary of financial forecasts and USAAnnual average, per cent, unless otherwise specified

* Per cent of GDP

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table a4 international conditions annual percentage change
Table A4. International conditions and USAAnnual percentage change

Note. The Swedish export market index is calculated as a weighted average of the imports of the 15 countries

which are the largest recipients of Swedish exports. They receive approximately 70 per cent of Swedish exports.

Sources: Eurostat, IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, OECD and the Riksbank


Table a5 gdp by expenditure annual percentage change unless otherwise specified
Table A5. GDP by expenditure and USAAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified

*Contribution to GDP growth, percentage points

Note. The figures show actual growth rates that have not been calendar-adjusted,

unless otherwise stated. NA is the National Accounts.

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table a6 production and employment annual percentage change unless otherwise stated
Table A6. Production and employment and USAAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise stated

* Per cent of labour force

Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


Table A7. Wages and unit labour cost for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, calendar-adjusted data

* Contribution to the increase in labour costs, percentage points.

Note. NMO is the National Mediation Office’s short-term wage statistics and NA is the National Accounts. Labour cost per hour

is defined as the sum of actual wages, collective charges and wage taxes divided by the seasonally adjusted total number of hours

worked. Unit labour cost is defined as labour cost divided by seasonally adjusted value added at constant prices.

Sources: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


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