Overview of accounting analysis
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Overview of Accounting Analysis. Evaluate the degree to which a company’s accounting captures its underlying business reality Evaluate the appropriateness of accounting policies and estimates Assess the distortion, if any, in the numbers see where distortions are and whether they can undone

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Overview of accounting analysis

Overview of Accounting Analysis

  • Evaluate the degree to which a company’s accounting captures its underlying business reality

  • Evaluate the appropriateness of accounting policies and estimates

  • Assess the distortion, if any, in the numbers

    • see where distortions are and whether they can undone

  • Goal: To improve the reliability of conclusions from financial analyses

Does accounting affect business strategy? (“positive accounting”)


Analysis of the income statement chapters 6 7

Analysis of the Income Statement (Chapters 6 & 7)

  • Goal

    • Assess earnings quality and persistence

    • Exclude components of reported income (regardless their accounting labels) that reduce predictive ability

    • Predict future income and cash flows

  • Remember

    • The income statement is just one part of an information set that should be examined to estimate future earnings


Income statement items and format

Continuing or recurring:

Revenues

– Expenses

= Operating income

+/– Other income and loss

= Pretax earnings from continuing operations

– Income tax expense

= After-tax income from continuing operations

Non-Recurring (net of tax):

Discontinued operations

Extraordinary items

Cumulative effect of accounting changes (mandatory, voluntary)

Income Statement Items and Format


Income statement items and format continued

Income Statement Items and Format (continued)

  • Net income

  • +/-Other: foreign currency translation gains/losses, unrealized changes in market value of AFS securities, etc.

  • = Comprehensive income

  • Earnings per share (basic and diluted)


Earnings management the revenue side

Earnings Management – the Revenue Side

  • Revenue Recognition:

    • Rule: (1) earnings process is complete or virtually complete (2) recognized or recognizable

    • Accrual basis is better than cash basis

  • Tendency to overstate revenue

  • Challenges:

    • Customers pay in advance

    • Products or services provided over multiple periods

    • Products or services sold, but seller retains the residual rights

    • Credit-worthiness of customers

    • Sales returns


Possible time points for revenue recognition

Possible Time Points For Revenue Recognition

  • At time of sale (“normal”)

    • When goods are delivered or services are rendered

  • Before time of sale

    • Long-term construction: percentage of completion, completed-contract

    • More “liberal”

  • After time of sale

    • Installment sales, cost recovery, cash basis

    • More “conservative”


How about sports clubs

How About Sports Clubs?

  • Sell memberships for cash or in installment contracts

    • One-time membership fee

    • When should revenue from memberships recorded? When the membership agreements are signed?

    • Are memberships refundable?

  • How about the associated costs?

    • marketing

    • potential collection losses from installment collection of memberships

    • facility improvements?


More about sports clubs

More About Sports Clubs

  • The Operating Cash Flow amount and trend in Statement of Cash Flow becomes very important for the analysis

    • Check the discrepancy between income and OCF

    • If the discrepancy becomes larger and larger, there are definitely problems!


Earnings management the expense side

Earnings Management – The Expense Side

  • Matching principle and conservatism

  • Tendency to understate expense or classify into non-returning category

  • Challenges:

    • COGS: use specific identification method

    • R&D: capitalized rather than expensed

    • Repairs and maintenance: capitalized, deferred, accelerated

    • Investments: classify as available-for-sale

    • Operating expense: classify as “other” or special items

    • Depreciation and amortization: change useful lives

    • Pension: change assumptions

    • Ignore cost items: e.g. contingencies, impairments


Recurring operating income

Recurring Operating Income

  • Needs to be subjectively determined

  • Not always disclosed neatly

  • Think about the types of revenue “earned” by Boston Chicken(4-20) and other franchise business:

    • One-time initial franchise fees: when the store opens

    • Royalties on gross revenues: when the stores generate sales

    • Service fees for advertising campaigns

    • Interest income from franchise developers

  • Are all revenue equally “persistent”?


Unusual or infrequent items

What are they?

special charge

non-recurring items

merger expenses

restructuring costs

and a whole lot more!

How are they disclosed?

usually a separate line item

Tendency to selectively highlight items

How are they described?

read MD&A, press releases

Tendency to report favorable items lumped in operations and unfavorable items listed separately?

I/S classification and quality of disclosure

Unusual or Infrequent Items


Does non recurring mean to ignore

Does Non-Recurring Mean To Ignore?

  • Maybe. Maybe not. Probably not!

  • What does the non-recurring item say about

    • prior accounting estimates

    • quality of prior management decisions

    • the economic environment

    • the quality of prior disclosures

    • impacts on cash flows


Discontinued operations

Discontinued Operations

  • Operating income and gains/losses from discontinued segments is shown separately, net of tax

    • Discontinue of a segment whose activities represent a separate major line of business or class of customer

      • Subjective

    • Determine gains/losses

      • Actual and expected

  • Impacts on future I/S


Extraordinary items

Extraordinary Items

  • Unusual AND Infrequent

    • Subjective

    • Gains and losses on early retirement of debt

    • Discretionary in timing

  • Varies by locations

  • Litigation settlements are sometimes included—depends on reason for lawsuit


Accounting changes

Accounting Changes

  • Analyst should distinguish between mandatory and voluntary changes

  • Most mandated changes require

    • footnote disclosures

    • sometimes restatements are made in the F/S

  • A lot have no cash flow implications


Prior period adjustments

“Prior Period Adjustments”

  • Usually relate to correction of accounting errors

  • Disclosed in Statement of Changes in Retained Earnings

  • Prior F/S resented together need to be retroactively adjusted


Other issues

Other Issues

  • Big Bath Theory

    • Make it worse when it is bad already

  • Income Smoothing

    • Reduce earnings volatility


Analysis of balance sheet chapters 4 and 5

Analysis of Balance Sheet(Chapters 4 and 5)

  • Asset Analysis

  • Liability and Equity Analysis

  • Impacts on I/S


Analysis of assets

Analysis of Assets

  • What are “assets”?

    (1) Future economic benefits (2) Owned (3) Past transactions

  • Challenges:

    • Ownership is uncertain

    • Future economic benefits are difficult to measure

      • Human capital

      • Goodwill, brand names

    • Changes in economic value

  • Criticism: Historical and conservative


Investment

Investment

  • Equity securities and debt securities

  • Classification:

    • Equity securities with controlling interest less than 20 to 25% and debt securities

      • Trading securities

      • Held-to-maturity

      • Available-for-sale

    • TS are short-term; HTM and AFS depend

    • Affect I/S due to

      • sale

      • changes in market value

        • TS  I/S

        • HTM  R/E


Disclosure of unrealized holding gains losses

Disclosure of Unrealized Holding Gains/Losses

  • Statement of SE

  • Comprehensive Income

    • E.g. Dell, page 32

    • For 1999, Income would be $559 million higher if the unrealized holding gains were included


Accounts receivable

Accounts Receivable

  • Amount expected to be collected from customers

    • Affected by when revenue is recognized

    • Quality of receivable: check whether they are genuine, due, and enforceable

      • Allowance for uncollectible accounts

    • Estimate cash collected from customers

      • Perfect information

        • Net A/R OB + Allowance OB + sales – Net A/R EB – Allowance EB – Write off

      • Imperfect information

        • Net A/R OB + Sales – Net A/R EB


Estimate cash collections from customers

Estimate Cash Collections from Customers

1999 Sales = $221,932

Bad debt expense = $1,403

Write off of A/R = $1,459

Estimated cash collection:

Most accurate: $25,282 + 221,932 – 1,459 – 28,074

= $217,681

Approximation: $24,049 + 221,932 – 26,897 = $219,084

Difference = $1,403, the amount of bad debt expense


Inventory

Inventory

  • Inventory accounting choices: first-in, first-out (FIFO), last-in, first-out (LIFO), average cost, specific identification

  • LIFO versus FIFO

    • When inventory prices are increasing and no severe inventory liquidation

    • Which assumption result in

      • higher inventory amount on B/S?

      • higher net income on I/S?

    • “LIFO conformity rule” in the U.S.


Accounting reporting for inventory

Accounting Reporting for Inventory

  • Balance Sheet

    • Inventory as a current asset

  • Income Statement

    • Cost of goods sold

    • Loss due to decrease in inventory value

  • Notes

    • Inventory method

    • Inventory composition: finished goods, work-in-process, raw materials


More inventory disclosure by lifo firms

More Inventory Disclosure by LIFO Firms

  • Philip Morris

  • Inventories: Inventories are stated at the lower of cost or market.The last-in,first-out (“LIFO ”) method is used to cost substantially all domestic inventories.The cost of other inventories is determined by the average cost or first-in,first-out methods.

  • Note 4. Inventories:

    The cost of approximately 47%and 50%of inventories in 1999 and 1998,respectively,was determined using the LIFO method. The stated LIFO values of inventories were approximately $0.8 billion and $1.1 billion lower than the current cost of inventories at December 31,1999 and 1998,respectively.


As if fifo adjustment

As-If FIFO Adjustment

  • Additional information for 1999:

    • Ending inventory = $9,028 million

    • Cost of sales = $29,561 million

    • Net income = $7,675 million

    • Effective tax rate = 40%

    • Adjustment:

      • As-If FIFO inventory = LIFO inventory + LIFO reserve = $9,028 + 800 = 9,828; an 8.9% increase

      • As-if FIFO COGS = LIFO COGS + Opening LIFO reserve – Ending LIFO reserve = $29,561 + 1,100 – 800 = $29,861; $300 more

      • As-IF FIFO income = LIFO income - (1-tax rate)x(Opening LIFO reserve – Ending LIFO reserve ) = $7,675 – 60% x 300 = $7,495; $180 LESS (?)


Property plant and equipment ppe

Property, Plant and Equipment (PPE)

  • Composition of PPE

    • E.g. Dell, page 47

  • Depreciation method and depreciable years

    • Mostly straight-line for financial reporting purpose

    • E.g.

      • Buildings: Cost is $1,000; Accumulated depreciation is $700; depreciated over 10 years

      • Depreciated years = Accumulated depreciation  Cost x Depreciable years = 700  1,000 x 10 = 7 years

      • Implication: Need to replace buildings in 3 years

  • Impairment


Analysis of liability

Analysis of Liability

  • What is a “liability”?

    (1) Future economic sacrifice (2) Owed (3) Past transactions

  • Challenge:

    • Not sure about the obligation

    • Amount and timing difficult to measure

    • Changes in economic value

  • Criticism: Off-Balance Sheet financing


Analysis of liability off balance sheet obligations

Analysis of Liability:Off-Balance Sheet Obligations

  • What is Off-Balance Sheet financing?

  • Why do companies engage in it?

  • How can analysts recognize it?

  • What should analysts do about it?


What is off b s financing

What is Off-B/S Financing?

  • An arrangement whereby a company is able to avoid reporting obligations on its balance sheet

  • The company may also avoid the recognition of

    • related assets

    • related expenses


Why do companies engage in off b s financing

Why Do Companies Engage in Off-B/S Financing?

  • To make their B/S look better

    • less liability, less expense, higher income

  • Because everybody else is doing it

  • Because it adds financial flexibility

    • Avoid debt covenant violations

    • Enhance ability to obtain new capital


Examples of off b s financing

Examples of Off-B/S Financing

  • Unrecognized Pension Obligations

  • Operating leases

  • “Sale” of receivables with recourse


Why should an analyst care

Why Should An Analyst Care?

  • The more debt a company has, the riskier it is

    • more fixed charges, lower income

  • Affect cost of capital computation

  • Affect the valuation analysis


Example leases

Example: Leases

  • Why do companies lease? Why Lease Assets? Why not just Buy them?

    • Avoid risks of ownership and obsolesce

    • Lower down payment

    • Tax reasons

      • Lessor can use depreciation write off, but lessee can’t

      • Lessor is in a higher tax bracket than lessee

    • Don’t want to report assets on the books

      • Higher return on assets

    • Don’t want liabilities on the books

      • Bond covenants


Capital lease versus operating lease

Capital Lease versus Operating Lease

  • Statement of FASB No. 13

  • Basic rationale: risks and benefits of ownership have been transferred from lessor to lessee

    • Transfer of title at end of lease term

    • Bargain purchase option at end of lease term

    • Lease Term is 75% or more of estimated useful life of the leased asset

    • Present value of lease payments is 90% or more of the fair market value of the leased asset


Comparison of operating lease and capital lease

Operating Lease

B/S: No asset, no liability

I/S: Rent expense

Capital Lease

B/S: Leased asset and Lease obligation

I/S:

Depreciation expense

Interest expense

Comparison of Operating Lease and Capital Lease

Capital lease:

Higher liability

Lower income in earlier years of lease term


Restatement of operating leases to capital leases

Restatement of Operating Leases to Capital Leases

  • Why capitalize operating leases?

    • To show true risks faced by the company

    • To make different companies comparable

    • To assess risk and fixed charges on a more consistent basis

  • Procedure

    • Determine the amount and timing of future lease payments

    • Determine discount rate

    • Calculate present value of future payments as estimate of off-B/S lease liability

      • similar amount should be capitalized as an asset


Example dell

B/S (p.29) : no leased assets, no lease liability

Note 10 (p. 43)—Lease Commitments

“master lease facilities”?

Other noncancellable lease

Minimum Lease Payments

200046

200134

200229

2003183

2004405

Thereafter26

Total723

Example—Dell


Lease adjustment dell 1999

When do lease payments end?

compare average payment and “thereafter” figure

Average = 139.4

Thereafter = 26; can be ignored

About 5 years

payment stream: 46. 34, 29, 183, 405

Discount rate

Note 3 (p.37)

About 7%

Present Value

461.07 +341.072 + 291.073 + 1831.074 + 405 1.075 = 524.7

Adjustment

Dr. PPE524.7

Cr. L-T debt524.7

future periods should depreciate assets and record interest

Lease Adjustment – Dell 1999


Lease adjustment dell 19991

Lease Adjustment—Dell 1999

  • Effect on 1999 earnings

    • Additional interest @7%: $36.73

    • Additional depreciation, assume straight line over lease term $524.7  5 = $104.9

    • Take off rental: $81

    • Capitalizing lease decreases 2000 NIBT by: $23.9

  • Effect on 2000 debt:

    • original: 507

    • adjusted: 1,031.7; a 103.5% increase


Example pension liability

Example: Pension Liability

  • Pension plan

    • Defined Contribution versus Defined Benefit

  • Actual pension liability

    • “Projected Benefit Obligation” (PBO) – Plan Assets

  • Reported pension liability

    • “Accrued Pension Cost”

  • Adjustments:

    • Actual - Reported


Off b s financing summary

Off-B/S Financing—Summary

  • Firms have incentives to keep obligations off their balance sheets

  • A variety of ways exist to do so

  • The FASB has plugged holes, but still possible

  • Be prepared to restate the F/S to get the debt back on the books


Framework four steps of analysis

Framework: Four Steps of Analysis

Business Strategy Analysis

Accounting Analysis

Financial Analysis

Prospective Analysis

Business Analysis and

Valuation Applications


Next step financial analysis

Next Step: Financial Analysis

Taxes Profitability Leverage

Interest Efficiency


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