Gems global reactive gases
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GEMS Global Reactive Gases. Guy P. Brasseur Martin Schultz Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Hamburg, Germany. GRG Objectives. To set up an operational data assimilation system for chemically reactive gases on a global scale, providing products to end-users on a day-by-day basis.

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GEMS Global Reactive Gases

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Gems global reactive gases

GEMSGlobal Reactive Gases

Guy P. Brasseur

Martin Schultz

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology

Hamburg, Germany


Grg objectives

GRG Objectives

  • To set up an operational data assimilation system for chemically reactive gases on a global scale, providing products to end-users on a day-by-day basis.

  • Coordinator: G. Brasseur, MPIMET


Gems global reactive gases

Atmosphere

Models

The Earth System

Unifying the Models

Climate / Weather

Models

Carbon Cycle

and Biogeochemistry

Water Cycle

The Predictive Earth System

Hydrology Process

Models

Ocean

Models

Land

Surface

Models

Natural Hazard

Prediction

Terrestrial

Biosphere

Models

Solid Earth Models

Megaflops

Gigaflops

Teraflops

Petaflops

Towards Operational Earth System Monitoring, Assimilation and Prediction Systems

2000

2010


Specific goals 1

Specific Goals (1)

  • Acquire satellite data for a few chemical species (ozone, NOx, CO, CH2O), assess the quality of these data, and implement these data into the GEMS 4-D var assimilation system.

  • Use 3 existing chemistry transport models at ECMWF to provide the chemical source terms required by the assimilation system, and calculate the concentration of chemical compounds that are not assimilated by the ECMWF system.


Specific goals 2

Specific Goals (2)

  • Develop prototype user services including

    • predicted global distributions of reactive chemical compounds in the troposphere and stratosphere

    • surface UV forecasts,

    • volcano plume forecasting system

  • Evaluate reanalysis simulations and assess the quality of the predictions using routine chemical observations and event-based case studies.

  • Provide information for regional air quality predictions


Gems global reactive gases

O3, Fishman: MAM 1979 - 2000

NASA/Fishman: SON 1979 - 2000

Space Observations of chemical species


Gems global reactive gases

Air Pollution becomes a global problem


Gems global reactive gases

Chemical Weather seen from Space


Gems global reactive gases

Chemical Weather seen from Space


Mexico city from satellites 1 gome no 2 december average

Mexico City from Satellites – 1GOME NO2 December average

Data courtesy J. Burrows, U. Bremen

Processing by S. Massie, NCAR


Gems global reactive gases

NOx and Lightning

GOME and SCIAMACHY will provide information

on NOx produced by lightning


Gems global reactive gases

Monthly Carbon Monoxide Emission Estimation for 2002

Hybrid remote sensing fire products: GOES WF_ABBA AVHRR and GOES (INPE) MODIS (NASA)

Freitas et al 2005 Duncan et al.2003 EDGAR 3.2

August

September


Gems global reactive gases

Carbon Monoxide (ppb 72 m)

Forecast for 3 and 4/September/2004

Carbon Monoxide Source Emission

(kg/m2s) - 3/September/2004

www.cptec.inpe.br/meio_ambiente


Gems global reactive gases

Carbon Monoxide (ppb 10700 m)

Forecast for 3 and 4/September/2004

GOES+METEOSAT IR

2100Z/4/September/2004

Upper troposphere transport associated to the a mid-latitude cold front approach


Net ozone production rate as a function of nox levels

OH+NO2

HO2+NO

HO2+O3

Net Ozone Production Rate as a function of NOx levels

summertime surface conditions


Gems global reactive gases

GRG in GEMS

Data

Data

evaluation

assimilation

MOCAGE

GEMS Global System

MOZART-3

P, L

synthesis

TM

initial condition

Tracer distributions

Products, User services


Workpackages

Workpackages

  • WP-GRG-1: Assimilation of gas-phase chemical species in the stratosphere and troposphere

    • Activity Leader: H. Eskes, KNMI

  • WP_GRG_2: Implementation of global chemistry-transport models in the ECMWF system

    • Activity Leader: G. Brasseur and M. Schultz, MPIMET

  • WP_GRG_3: Development of prototype user services

    • Activity Leader: A. Arola, FMI

  • WP_GRG_4: Evaluation of reanalysis and simulations

    • Activity Leaders: K. Law (SA_UPMC) and J.P. Cammas, CNRS-LA)


Wp grg 1 assimilation of gas phase chemical species in the stratosphere and troposphere

WP-GRG-1: Assimilation of gas-phase chemical species in the stratosphere and troposphere

  • 1.1. Extension of ECMWF assimilation system to include new tracers (O3, NOx, CO, SO2, HCHO)

  • 1.2. Evaluation of chemical formation and loss rates for chemical species.

  • 1.3. Addition of these chemical sources to the ECMWF assimilation system

  • 1.4. Assessment and delivery of satellite data for ozone and other tracers


Wp grg 1

WP-GRG-1

  • 1.5-1.7.. Collection of satellite data for ozone, NO2, SO2, HCHO, and CO , reformatting the use in the IFS, and monitoring the data against IFS.

  • 1.8-1.10. Assimilation of ozone, NO2, SO2, HCHO, and CO satellite data.

  • 1.11 Implementing a nudging capability for assimilated tracer fields into the CTMs

  • 1.11-1.14. Critical assessment of assimilated fields

  • 1.15. Review of inverse modeling techniques for non-CO2 gases


Wp grg 2 implementation of global chemistry transport models in the ecmwf system

WP_GRG_2: Implementation of global chemistry-transport models in the ECMWF system

  • 2.1-2.3. Implementation of 3 chemical transport models (MOZART3, TM5 and MOCAGE) on the ECMWF computer

  • 2.4-2.6 Test simulations with these models

  • 2.7. Definition of variables and quality criteria for model intercomparisions

  • 2.8. Model intercomparison

  • 2.9-2.10. Provision of the emission data for the GEMS CTMs


Wp grg 2

WP-GRG-2

  • 2.11 Preparation of data sets for first reanalysis simulations

  • 2.12. Implementation of short-term variability in emission fluxes

  • 2.13. Implementation of a global wildfire emission model on the ECMWF computer


The 3 chemical transport models

The 3 Chemical Transport Models

  • MOCAGE: Multi-scale CTM developed by Meteo-France (Peuch et al., 1999) using the RACM scheme to describe the chemistry of the troposphere. Advection is treated by a semi-Lagrangian algorithm.

  • TM5: CTM introduced in the Netherlands by KNMI with a tropospheric module adopted from the CBM4 scheme. Uses the Prather scheme for advection. Includes two-way nested zooming capability over Europe. (Krol et al., 2004)

  • MOZART-3: CTM developed by NCAR and MPI-M. Uses its own chemical scheme and treats advection using the Lin and Rood algorithm (Brasseur et al. 1998; Horowitz et al., 2003; Kinnison et al., 2005).


Wp grg 3 development of prototype user services

WP_GRG_3: Development of prototype user services

  • 3.1-3.3. Global distributions of background levels of pollutants.

  • 3.4. Consolidation of the results of the 3 CTMs.

  • 3.5. Selection of the appropriate methods for the effect of clouds and surface albedo on UV radiation.

  • 3.6. Implementation and comparisions of suitable parameterizations for clouds and surface albedo

  • 3.7. First version of look-up tables for surface UV irradiance


Wp grg 3

WP-GRG-3

  • 3.8. First versions of interpolation methods for the look-up tables.

  • 3.9. Development of validation software and tools

  • 3.10. Initial implementation of UV calculations within the ECMWF system.

  • 3.11. Preliminary validation of UV products against the ground-based UV data


Wp grg 4 evaluation of reanalysis and simulations

WP_GRG_4: Evaluation of reanalysis and simulations

  • 4.1. Inventory of community-accessible data sets

  • 4.2. Definition of parameters for model evaluation

  • 4.3. Preliminary evaluation of reanalysis runs

  • 4.4. Definition and preparation of case studies.


Major groups involved

Major Groups involved

  • WP_GRG_1: Assimilation of gas-phase chemical species

    • KNMI, ECMWF, MPI-M, BISA, IUP_UB, SA_UPMC, NKUA, Meteo-Fr

  • WP_GRG_2: Implementation of global chemistry transport models in the ECMWF system

    • MPI-M, KNMI, Meteo-Fr, ECMWF, SA-UPMC


Major groups involved1

Major Groups involved

  • WP_GRG_3: Development of prototype user services

    • FMI, DMI, ECMWF, MPIM, Meteo-Fr

  • WP_GRG_4: Evaluation of reanalysis simulations

    • CNRS-LA, SA-UPMC, DWD, NKUA, MPIM, BISA, Meteo-Fr


Total column ozone du september 25 2002

Total Column Ozone (DU)September 25, 2002

1.25 lon x 1.0 lat

1.9 lon x 1.9 lat

EPTOMS

MZ3/ECMWF


Ozone lindenberg may 2003

Ozone Lindenberg, May 2003


Comparison of haloe and mz3 waccm h 2 o ppmv

Comparison of HALOE and MZ3/WACCM H2O (ppmv)

100 hPa

Monsoon


Comparison of haloe and mozart3 waccm h 2 o park et al 2003

Comparison of HALOE and MOZART3/WACCM H2O – Park et al. 2003


Meridional cross section of nox in the south asian monsoon region 60 120e sept

Meridional Cross Section of NOx in the South Asian Monsoon Region (60-120E), Sept

TP ht based on PV criteria

TP ht based on ECMWF lapse rate

Retrieval Artifact

Lightning NOx Penetration into the LS??


Ozone change 2000 2100 a2

Ozone Change 2000-2100 A2


The end

The End


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