Transportation storage risk management futures and government programs
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TRANSPORTATION, STORAGE, RISK MANAGEMENT, FUTURES, AND GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS. Transportation costs and consideration Storage needs Futures, contracts, and hedging Government programs. Transportation. Estimated to contribute 6-11% of food costs

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Transportation storage risk management futures and government programs
TRANSPORTATION, STORAGE, RISK MANAGEMENT, FUTURES, AND GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Transportation costs and consideration

  • Storage needs

  • Futures, contracts, and hedging

  • Government programs

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Transportation
Transportation GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Estimated to contribute 6-11% of food costs

  • Transportation through processing chain and distribution channel

  • Issues

    • Consumption and production widely dispersed

    • Variability in production

    • Need for specialized equipment (e.g., live cattle transport, refrigeration)

    • Unequal load opportunities in each direction

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Transportation in the food industry
Transportation in the Food Industry GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Perishability calls for speed that leads to less efficient shipping methods

  • Bulkiness

  • Food and Feedgrains require high-capacity equipment

  • Live animal need special equipment

  • Supply and demand factors

    • Increasing food prices

    • Capacity and planning

  • Freight forwarders as coordinators

    • Improved information systems and capacity utilization

  • Technological progress (e.g., “piggy-backing”)

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Transportation example
Transportation Example GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

WHEAT

FARMER

TRUCK

RAILROAD

STATION

MANUFACTURER

PROCESSOR

WAL-MART

DIST CTR

WHOLESALER

WAREHOUSE

TRUCK

OTHER

MFGR

TRUCK

TRUCK

WAL-MART

STORE

TRUCK

WAL-MART

STORE

LOCAL

WHOLESALER

TRUCK

RETAILER

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Major transportation modes in the u s
Major Transportation Modes in the U.S. GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Railways

  • Trucks

    • Local

    • Long distance

  • Water—cheap but slow and inflexible

  • Air

  • Intermodal

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS


Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS


Transportation regulation and freight rates
Transportation Regulation and Freight Rates GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Interstate Commerce Commission

    • Regulate freight rates

    • Competition

    • Transportation routes

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Railroad freight rates
Railroad Freight Rates GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Class rates

    • Broad category

  • Commodity rate

    • Large volume low valued 90%

      c.l., l.c.l, unit trains, transit privilege, diversion and reconsignment privilege ( produce)

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Trucking rates
Trucking Rates GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Common carriers

  • Regular trucking

  • Truck broker

  • Freight forwarder

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Improving efficiency
Improving efficiency GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Information technology advances have helped improve efficiency in transportation since shippers going in opposite directions during the same time period can now be more readily identified.

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Improving efficiency1
Improving efficiency GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Parties within the value chain may be located at railroad locations to minimize transportation and transfer costs.

  • As bulk is removed (e.g., as corn is moved from the cob), the value/bulk ratio improves and transportation costs decline.

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Freight costs
Freight Costs GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Perishability calls for speed that leads to less efficient shipping methods

  • Supply and demand factors

    • Increasing food prices

    • Capacity and planning

      • Full load, eliminate empty return trip

  • Freight forwarders as coordinators

    • Improved information systems and capacity utilization

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Technological progress
Technological progress GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Piggyback - a system of transportation requiring the transfer of containers from truck to rail.

  • Birdyback - a system of transportation requiring the transfer of containers from truck to aeroplane.

  • Fishyback - a system of transportation requiring the transfer of containers from truck to ship.

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage
Storage GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Types

    • Queuing

    • Seasonal food stocks harvest in short time-consumed year around

    • Carryover –from one-year-next

    • Reserve (“Buffer”) Stocks

    • Speculative stocks

    • working inventory

      • Economic order quantity

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage1
Storage GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Voluntary (EFFIECENCY SPECULZATIVE)

  • involuntary (HARVEST GULT)

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage operation
Storage Operation GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Storage locations and capacities

  • Changing seasonal storage patterns

    • Eggs

    • Meat

    • technology

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage operation1
Storage Operation GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Public warehouse supervision

    • Quality

    • Quantity

    • Insurance

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage2
Storage GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Storage is needed for certain products for purposes such as:

  • · Awaiting processing while a backlog exists during a harvest season;

  • · Maintaining safety or other stocks;

  • · Storing a food for use outside its season or for a time of heavy consumption (e.g., cranberries at Thanksgiving); or

  • · Keeping unsold quantities from a previous period.

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Efficiency
Efficiency GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Efficiency is important here, too, but costs must be weighted against the quality of storage provided. Some products may require cooling to avoid spoilage, for example.

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage issues
Storage Issues GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Cost

  • Quality

  • Title to goods

  • Capacity trends

    • Greater growth among

      • Processors

      • Wholesalers

    • Less growth with retailers

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Improving food storage
Improving Food Storage GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • The cost of the physical storage

  • Interest

  • Deterioration

  • Fresh vs. stored

  • Price risk

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Food stocks carryover and reserves
Food Stocks, Carryover and Reserves GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Working inventory

  • Seasonal food stocks

  • Carryover stocks

  • Buffer food stocks

  • Speculative stocks

  • Voluntary and involuntary

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage operations
Storage Operations GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Storage locations and capacities (80% in cans bottles and packages)

    • Processing plants

    • Perishable

    • On farm storage

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage operations1
Storage Operations GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Changing Seasonal Storage patterns

    • Changes technological development production and utilization patterns

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Storage operations2
Storage Operations GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Public warehouse supervision

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Who should store
Who Should Store GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Costs are not necessarily the same

  • Each level tries to push much of storage function

  • Should farmer store hid own product

  • The Commodity Credit Corporation

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Food storage cost
Food Storage Cost GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Maintenance cost (repair, deprecations, Insurance)

  • Interest cost

  • Quality deterioration and shrinkage

  • Poor consumer acceptance of the stored vs fresh product

  • Price risk

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Increasing productivity of storage
Increasing Productivity of Storage GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Labor efficiency

  • Product development (frozen orange concentrate)

  • Improve in business management

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Risk management
Risk Management GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Risk types

    • Product deterioration

    • Deterioration of value

      • Market price fluctuations due to supply and demand

      • Impact of limited and unequal market information and forecasts

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Futures markets
Futures Markets GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Contracts to buy and sell at a given time for a given price

  • Allows parties to

    • Attempt gains by speculation (can be very risky)

    • Curtail risks by settling price in advance

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Futures trading

Parties GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

Sellers of product (e.g., farmers)

Users of products (e.g., manufacturers)

Speculators

Hedgers

Margin requirements

Eligibility

Trading types

“Long”: Actually hold what will be exchanged

“Short:” Effectively selling assets not held (high leverage and risk)

Payment timing

Futures Trading

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Hedging and options
Hedging and Options GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Types

    • Storage

    • Pre-harvest

  • Premium costs

  • Options

    • Right to buy or sell

    • No obligation

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Risks and return
Risks and Return GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

Farmer ends up worse off than without contract. Option cost lost.

Cost of option or contract

Farmer ends up better off with futures contract or sell option

Profitable to exercise option to buy if market price exceeds exercise right

Party who sold option loses

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor

Range of price outcomes

“Expected” price


Why buy or sell options or futures contracts
Why Buy or Sell Options or Futures Contracts GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Speculation

    • “Bulls”

    • “Bears”

  • Balancing other investments (a buy and sell option can cancel each other out)

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Political philosophies of agriculture and government
Political Philosophies of Agriculture and Government GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

Commu-nism—government control of economy

Laissez-faire—no government involvement; purely free market

Fiscal policies within market economy (government programs)

Agriculture as public utility—strong regulation

U.S. Europe China Cuba

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Recurring political concerns about agriculture
Recurring Political Concerns about Agriculture GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

  • Instability of prices

  • Foreign imports

  • Loss of family farms

  • Environmental damage

  • Conversion of farmland to residential and industry use

  • Food affordability

  • Stability of supply

  • Public health

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


Government programs
Government Programs GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS

EXPORT

ASSISTANCE

TAX

BREAKS

LOAN

PROGRAMS

FOR BENEFIT

OF INDIVIDUAL

FARMERS

GOVERNMENT

AGRICULTURE

PROGRAMS

EXTENSION

SERVICE

PRICE

SUPPORTS

FOR BENEFIT

OF INDUSTRY

FOR BENEFIT

OF

CONSUMERS

RESEARCH

ANTI-DUMPING

ENFORCEMENT

HEALTH AND

SAFETY

REGULATIONS

FAIR

TRADE

REGULATIONS

FOREIGN

MARKET

DEVELOPMENT

SUPPLY

CONTROL

(QUOTAS)

WELFARE

AND

FOOD STAMPS

Dr. Sabry Shehata Professor


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