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“Anyone who thinks the ANC is going to run South Africa is living in cloud cuckoo land”

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“Anyone who thinks the ANC is going to run South Africa is living in cloud cuckoo land”. Margaret Thatcher, 1987. “The phonograph is of no commercial value”. Thomas Edison, 1880. Internal Sales forecasts for PCs for the 1980s: 295,000. IBM, projections made in 1979.

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anyone who thinks the anc is going to run south africa is living in cloud cuckoo land

“Anyone who thinks the ANC is going to run South Africa is living in cloud cuckoo land”

Margaret Thatcher, 1987

internal sales forecasts for pcs for the 1980s 295 000

Internal Sales forecasts for PCs for the 1980s:295,000

IBM, projections made in 1979

Actual Sales of PCs in the 1980s: 25,000,000

slide5

They’ll be waiting for us with flowers….

a rough paraphrase of Vice President Cheney…

to understand the logic s of international politics means
To understand the logic(s) of international politics means:
  • try to make the logics explicit,
  • clarify the assumptions,
  • explore the internal structure as arguments,
  • then evaluate arguments in the context of historical evidence
core dynamics of ir
Core dynamics of IR
  • the simple version
slide8

Who are the

actors?

What are their

interests?

What resources

can they bring

to bear?

slide10

Who are the

actors?

What are their

interests?

What resources

can they bring

to bear?

slide11

Who are the

actors?

What are their

interests?

What resources

can they bring

to bear?

slide12

Who are the

actors?

What are their

interests?

What resources

can they bring

to bear?

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