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PARTNERING FOR GROWTH Working together towards a sustainable future Northwest Province 23 June 2011. CONTENTS. 1.INTRODUCTION 2. 2010 OVERVIEW The Construction Economy CESA: Consulting Engineers South Africa Industry Issues and Events Non-events 3. THE WAY FORWARD: 2011 & BEYOND

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slide1

PARTNERING FOR GROWTH

Working together towards a sustainable future

Northwest Province 23 June 2011

contents
CONTENTS

1.INTRODUCTION

2. 2010 OVERVIEW

  • The Construction Economy
  • CESA: Consulting Engineers South Africa
  • Industry Issues and Events
  • Non-events

3. THE WAY FORWARD: 2011 & BEYOND

  • Global Trends
  • Economic Growth Path
  • Service Delivery Framework
introduction
INTRODUCTION
  • Spotlight on Infrastructure/service delivery challenges
    • T Manual : “Fail to deliver services despite adequate funding”

CESA

  • 2009 : Talk 2010 : Walk 2011 : Work
  • Focus on participating to grow SA
  • “PARTNERING FOR GROWTH”
industry confidence
Industry Confidence

Source: CESA BECS, BER

slide7

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2010

Question:

What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

Source: CESA BECS

slide9

Provincial Market Share: December 2010

Vs change in market share from December 2009

Income distribution per province

GAIN

market share

slide10

Fee income earned by type of client

% Share

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

slide11

Competition in tendering

During July – December 2010 competition for work was (Tick selection)

slide12

Bursaries

% of Salary / Wage bill

slide14

Industry Capacity Utilisation

Of existing technical staff

2010 construction economy2
2010 Construction Economy
  • Competition
  • Tender prices
  • Explore alternative markets

N

  • R809 billion 3 year budget ??
  • Public sector technical capacity
  • Consulting Engineering Reserve Capacity
cesa overview
CESA OVERVIEW
  • Small/New firms joining CESA
    • 78 new since 2009 Ave size = 12 members
  • Transformation
    • 2009 - 38% ; 2010 - 42% : 2011 to date - 55%
    • YPF
    • SABTACO
  • Mergers and Acquisitions amongst Firms
  • Globalisation of SA Firms
  • Young Professionals Forum
cesa overview1
CESA OVERVIEW
  • Infrastructure Research
    • Water: Supply & Quality
      • Prof Grant Cawthorn: “most imminent challenge”
    • Energy (Cost ?)
    • Transportation
cesa overview2
CESA OVERVIEW
  • Procurement-Procurement-Procurement-Procurem..
    • Procurement Road Show : Successful
    • 600 Reports from members
    • Bring back Quality ! !
    • CESA acting as CIDB agent : MOU signed
cesa overview3
CESA OVERVIEW
  • Conference on Alternative Delivery Mechanisms
  • Business Integrity
    • Talking talking ..... but walking ?
    • CESA code of conduct
    • Integrity pact : Commit to good Governance (Busa + CIDB)
  • Sustainability guidelines
  • Small Company Workshop
cesa overview4
CESA OVERVIEW
  • School of Consulting Engineering
      • 124 courses
      • 2 000+ delegates
      • Candidate Academy for Mentors & Mentees
      • Certificate in Consulting Engineering Management
  • Client Liaison & Access to Decision Makers
  • Panels of Expert Members
  • Media Coverage (R5 million)

---

2010 industry events issues
2010 Industry Events/Issues
  • Soccer World Cup
    • Engineering Excellence
    • Legacies & Lessons
      • Co-operation/Partnerships
      • Strategic and capital project planning
  • National Planning Commission
    • CESA keen to participate
2010 industry events issues1
2010 Industry Events/Issues
  • The Green Wave
    • 83% of SA emissions from energy sector
    • 30 Facilities contribute 95% of all SA emissions
    • SA carbon intensity > China, India
    • SA contributes 0,98% globally
2010 industry events issues2
2010 Industry Events/Issues
  • The Green Wave (cont)
    • Climate Change Conferences : Cancun (2010), Durban (2011)
    • Green house gas emissions : (Cop 15)
      • Carbon credits : 18 CDM (Clean Dev. Mechanisms) Projects
    • Carbon taxes on vehicles (Right reasons?)
    • Green Building Council
    • Green Infrastructure body ?
2010 industry events issues3
2010 Industry Events/Issues
  • BRIC + S
    • Population : 3,5 / 6,9 Billion ( 51%)
    • 40% of World economy
    • C =2; B=7; I=10; R=11; SA=28th biggest globally
    • Commodity driven
2010 non events
2010 Non - events
  • Construction Industry Charter
  • Municipal Systems Amendment Bill (in the “Z” file)
  • Service Delivery
    • Protests
    • Unspent budgets: Job losses ..... R12.4 bn
    • Turn around interventions
    • Professional Technical Leadership 5 100 1 800
2010 non events1
2010 Non - events
  • Register of Built Environment Professionals (CIDB)
  • Identification of Work (ECSA/CBE)
  • CETA Governance /Value ?
2011 the way forward
2011: The Way Forward

According to Thomas Malthus

“ World is fast heading for a food crisis leading to mass starvation. ”

Circa 1750

Oxfam International Report

“Who will feed the World?”

5 May 2011

2011 the way forward1
2011: The Way Forward
  • Global Trends
    • West East (G7 E7)
      • Examples visible
      • Future alliance partners
      • Global Competition in SA
  • Africa
    • Increased world focus on Africa
    • Strong growth
    • Corridor developments
2011 the way forward2
2011: The Way Forward
  • South Africa
    • Acc to Int’l Fin Corp: “Doing business”: 34th /183
    • SA Economic Growth Rate below average
    • Skills
    • Municipal Elections : delays
    • Corruption is out of hand
2011 the way forward3
2011: The Way Forward
  • New Growth Path
    • Infrastructure is cornerstone
      • Jobs during Construction : 7 jobs per R1 million
      • Jobs to operate and maintain over lifespan
      • Improves Productivity
      • Attracts investment : more jobs
    • Unease about kicking the goals
2011 the way forward4
2011: The Way Forward
  • 30 000 engineering graduates 2014 ?
    • 2010 : 2 500 engineering graduates pa
    • Enhance Quality of Educators
    • Private sector will respond

33

28

23

18

13

8

Number of graduates

GFCF as a % of GDP

Civil Engineering graduations - UCT South Africa’s GFCF as a % of GDP

2011 the way forward5
2011: The Way Forward

Service Delivery Framework : 5 frames

  • Professionalise Public Service
    • Deployment
    • Technical professionals for technical positions
    • 5 Year Contracts
slide38

2011: The Way Forward

2. Infrastructure planning/programming

  • 1.Too few South Africans work
  • 2.The quality of school education for most black people is sub-standard
  • 3.Poorly located and inadequate infrastructure limits social inclusion and faster economic growth
  • 4.Spatial challenges continue to marginalise the poor
2011 the way forward6
2011: The Way Forward
  • 5.South Africa’s growth path is highly resource-intensive and hence unsustainable
  • 6.The ailing public health system confronts a massive disease burden
  • 7.The performance of the public service is uneven
  • 8.Corruption undermines state legitimacy and service delivery
  • 9.South Africa remains a divided society
2011 the way forward7
2011: The Way Forward

3.Innovative Planning by Government

2011 the way forward8
2011: The Way Forward

4. Appropriate construction procurement models

2011 the way forward9
2011: The Way Forward

4. Appropriate construction procurement models (cont)

  • PPP’s
  • Framework Agreements

(CIDB Procurement Note 15 of 2008/10)

  • Target Cost Contracting
    • International Experience
    • S A Experience
        • Reduce Client Management Resource Needs
        • Meet social objectives
2011 the way forward10
2011: The Way Forward

5. Cultivate a mutually trusting relationship between Private and Public Sector

slide44

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Can we Succeed?

?????????????????????????????????????????????

slide46

?????????????????????????????????????????????

If she can, we can!

Bit by Bit

?????????????????????????????????????????????

conclusion
CONCLUSION
  • Outlook improving after World Cup Paralyses
  • Shortage of Technical leadership
  • CESA Members employ 21 200 experienced infrastructure design and management experts
  • CESA is keen to partner with its clients to grow South Africa

Let’s WORK TOGETHER

‘KOM ONS WERK SAAM’

slide50

33

28

23

18

13

8

Number of graduates

GFCF as a % of GDP

Number of graduates

Civil Engineering graduations - UCT South Africa’s GFCF as a % of GDP

slide54

SbuNdebele’s infrastructure R1 trillion

  • Ministers of finance Africa
  • DBSA loans Zambia annual investment R1 billion
  • Cabinet discussing AMD
  • S’hambaSonkaWalking together?
  • Masibambisane” Let’s work together
  • Thomas Malthus 1700’s : Food catastrophy
  • CeesBruggema 2007: Paradigm shift Stelth bomber infrastructure spend to 2015 ?
way forward
Way Forward ?
  • To forecast is always dangerous especially into the future
  • PPP’s
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