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Economic Update. Kevin Lings, STANLIB June 2014. United States GDP performance. Index, Q1 2006 = 100. US. United States retail sales. %y/y, nominal. United States light vehicle sales. Seasonally adjusted, annualised , million. United States house prices.

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Economic update
Economic Update

Kevin Lings, STANLIB

June 2014


United states gdp performance
United States GDP performance

Index, Q1 2006 = 100

US


United states retail sales
United States retail sales

%y/y, nominal


United states light vehicle sales
United States light vehicle sales

Seasonally adjusted, annualised, million


United states house prices
United States house prices

US House prices,%, y/y, nominal, S&P Case Shiller



United states manufacturing employment
United States manufacturing employment

Million


United states federal budget
United States Federal Budget

$ trillion, 12-month running total

Expenditure

Revenue


United states federal budget1
United States Federal Budget

$bn, 12-month running total


Us defense activity contribution to annual gdp growth
US defense activity contribution to annual GDP growth

Contribution to quarterly GDP growth, %, 4 quarter moving average

War in Iraq

War in Afghanistan


United states official interest rates
United States official interest rates

%

US


Euro area gdp vs us gdp index
Euro-area GDP vs US GDP (index)

Index Q1 2006 = 100

USA GDP

Euro-area GDP



China exports

% y/y, 3mnth ave


South africa consumer confidence ber
South Africa consumer confidence (BER)

Index



Rate of growth in consumer credit in south africa
Rate of growth in consumer credit in South Africa

%y/y

Consumer credit

+4.8%y/y


South Africa growth in mortgage lending

%y/y


South africa business confidence ber
South Africa business confidence (BER)

Index


South Africa manufacturing production as % of GDP

% of total


South africa growth in exports dollars
South Africa growth in exports (Dollars)

%y/y


South africa trade balance with key regions
South Africa trade balance with key regions

R billion: Jan to April 2014


South africa travel receipts
South Africa travel receipts

R Billions

World Soccer Cup 2010


South africa percentage of population without a matric by age
South Africa percentage of population without a matric by age

%


South africa university graduation rates
South Africa university graduation rates

%, Percent graduation rate


South africa age of national road network
South Africa age of national road network


South africa public sector infrastructural spending
South Africa public sector infrastructural spending

Rbn

R847.1bn


South africa government gross loan debt as of gdp
South Africa government gross loan debt as % of GDP

%


SA real effective (trade-weighted) exchange rate

Rand is currently 9.5% under-valued on a trade-weighted basis.

Fair value is currently R9.64/$ (6 June 2014)

Index

Over-valued

Fair value = 100

Under-valued


South africa headline cpi forecast
South Africa headline CPI forecast

% y/y



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