Economic update
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Economic Update. Kevin Lings, STANLIB June 2014. United States GDP performance. Index, Q1 2006 = 100. US. United States retail sales. %y/y, nominal. United States light vehicle sales. Seasonally adjusted, annualised , million. United States house prices.

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Economic Update

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Economic update

Economic Update

Kevin Lings, STANLIB

June 2014


United states gdp performance

United States GDP performance

Index, Q1 2006 = 100

US


United states retail sales

United States retail sales

%y/y, nominal


United states light vehicle sales

United States light vehicle sales

Seasonally adjusted, annualised, million


United states house prices

United States house prices

US House prices,%, y/y, nominal, S&P Case Shiller


United states employment total

United States employment total

Million


United states manufacturing employment

United States manufacturing employment

Million


United states federal budget

United States Federal Budget

$ trillion, 12-month running total

Expenditure

Revenue


United states federal budget1

United States Federal Budget

$bn, 12-month running total


Us defense activity contribution to annual gdp growth

US defense activity contribution to annual GDP growth

Contribution to quarterly GDP growth, %, 4 quarter moving average

War in Iraq

War in Afghanistan


United states official interest rates

United States official interest rates

%

US


Euro area gdp vs us gdp index

Euro-area GDP vs US GDP (index)

Index Q1 2006 = 100

USA GDP

Euro-area GDP


Consumer inflation in the euro area

Consumer inflation in the Euro-area

%

Euro-area


Economic update

China exports

% y/y, 3mnth ave


South africa consumer confidence ber

South Africa consumer confidence (BER)

Index


South africa vehicle sales

South Africa vehicle sales

%y/y


Rate of growth in consumer credit in south africa

Rate of growth in consumer credit in South Africa

%y/y

Consumer credit

+4.8%y/y


Economic update

South Africa growth in mortgage lending

%y/y


South africa business confidence ber

South Africa business confidence (BER)

Index


Economic update

South Africa manufacturing production as % of GDP

% of total


South africa growth in exports dollars

South Africa growth in exports (Dollars)

%y/y


South africa trade balance with key regions

South Africa trade balance with key regions

R billion: Jan to April 2014


South africa travel receipts

South Africa travel receipts

R Billions

World Soccer Cup 2010


South africa percentage of population without a matric by age

South Africa percentage of population without a matric by age

%


South africa university graduation rates

South Africa university graduation rates

%, Percent graduation rate


South africa age of national road network

South Africa age of national road network


South africa public sector infrastructural spending

South Africa public sector infrastructural spending

Rbn

R847.1bn


South africa government gross loan debt as of gdp

South Africa government gross loan debt as % of GDP

%


Economic update

SA real effective (trade-weighted) exchange rate

Rand is currently 9.5% under-valued on a trade-weighted basis.

Fair value is currently R9.64/$ (6 June 2014)

Index

Over-valued

Fair value = 100

Under-valued


South africa headline cpi forecast

South Africa headline CPI forecast

% y/y


South africa prime interest rate

South Africa prime interest rate

%


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