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NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 9, 2004

NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 9, 2004. Stephen G. Whitley Senior Vice President & COO. Agenda. System Operations Market Operations Winter Outlook Summer 2004 Outlook Back-Up Detail. System Operations. Operations Highlights.

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NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 9, 2004

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  1. NEPOOL Participants Committee Meeting Boston, MA January 9, 2004 Stephen G. Whitley Senior Vice President & COO

  2. Agenda • System Operations • Market Operations • Winter Outlook • Summer 2004 Outlook • Back-Up Detail

  3. System Operations

  4. Operations Highlights • Boston & Hartford Weather Pattern: • The first half of December was very cold and snowy; the rest of the month was above normal without snow. • Peak load of 20,698 MW at 18:00 hours on December 15. • During December: • OP #4 declared on December 5 – system wide. Loss of multiple units within a 1-hour timeframe of the peak hour. • M/S2 declared on December 2 (computer virus), December 5 (capacity deficiency), December 24 (System wide – ICCP link failure). • Minimum Generation declared on December 10, 23, 24 and 25. • NPCC Shared Activation of Reserves Events on December 4, December 5 (2) and December 7.

  5. Market Operations

  6. Day–Ahead & Real-Time Prices, ISO Hub:

  7. Day-Ahead–LMP Average by Zone & Hub:

  8. Real-Time-LMP Average by Zone & Hub: 97.4%

  9. Day Ahead Market vs. Forecast Load Note: All data represents entire month.

  10. Day Ahead LMP

  11. Real Time LMP

  12. Settlement Data – Real Time & Balancing Market Percentage of Real-Time Load Fully Hedged Through ISO-NE Settlement System*

  13. Winter Outlook

  14. Winter 2004 Capacity Assessment Conditions for Week of Lowest Operable Capacity Margin Week beginning January 17th MW Projected Peak (50/50) 22,010 Operating Reserve Required 1,700 Total Operable Cap. Required 23,710 Projected Capacity 30,670 Assumed Outages 3,400 Total Capacity 27,270 Operable Capacity Margin 3,560

  15. Winter 2004 Capacity Assessment Conditions for Week of Lowest Operable Capacity Margin Week beginning January 17th MW Projected Peak (90/10) 22,896 Operating Reserve Required 1,700 Total Operable Cap. Required 24,596 Projected Capacity 30,670 Assumed Outages 3,400 Total Capacity 27,270 Operable Capacity Margin 2,674

  16. Summer Outlook

  17. Summer 2004 Capacity Assessment Conditions for Week of Lowest Operable Capacity Margin Week beginning June 5th MW Projected Peak (50/50) 25,690 Operating Reserve Required 1,700 Total Operable Cap. Required 27,390 Projected Capacity 31,680 Assumed Outages 4,500 Total Capacity 27,180 Operable Capacity Margin (210)

  18. Summer 2004 Capacity Assessment Conditions for Week of Lowest Operable Capacity Margin Week beginning June 5th MW Projected Peak (90/10) 27,263 Operating Reserve Required 1,700 Total Operable Cap. Required 28,963 Projected Capacity 31,680 Assumed Outages 4,500 Total Capacity 27,180 Operable Capacity Margin (1,783)

  19. Back-Up Detail

  20. New Generation Update • No new resources were added in December. • Status of Generation Projects as of January 1, 2004: No.MW In Construction 2 521 with 18.4 approval Not in Construction 6 1,444 with 18.4 Approval

  21. Demand Response(as of December 31, 2003)

  22. Demand Response(as of December 31, 2003) * Includes former Type 2 - Interruptible Loads ** SWCT assets are included in CT values and are not included in Total (SNEW 7 was in 2-Hour, now retired)

  23. Winter 2004 Capacity Assessment

  24. Winter 2004 Capacity Assessment

  25. Winter 2004 Capacity Assessment

  26. Winter 2004 Capacity Assessment

  27. Summer 2004 Capacity Assessment

  28. Summer 2004 Capacity Assessment

  29. Summer 2004 Capacity Assessment

  30. Summer 2004 Capacity Assessment

  31. RTEP Update • The next TEAC Meeting (TEAC19) will be held on Friday, January 16, at the Radisson Hotel in Marlborough, MA beginning at 9:30 A.M. to address the following topics: • RTEP03 Update • Transmission Project Listing Process Update • To be updated March 2004 • Draft to be available for TEAC review by mid-February • Interregional Planning Process Update • Draft planning protocol nearing completion • Stakeholder comments will then be sought • Presentations on RTEP04 Planning Assumptions • Fuel Diversity Working Group Report • Boston Area Transmission Planning Studies Review • Reports to be posted and technical sessions to be scheduled to discuss: • SWCT • Monadnock • ME-NE • SEMA-RI • Boston/North Shore Areas • Other items of interest to TEAC

  32. RTEP Projects Update - NEMA

  33. RTEP Projects Update - SEMA

  34. RTEP Projects Update - SWCT

  35. SWCT Emergency Capability RFP • Issued 12/1/03 for up to 300 MW for 2004 to 2008 • Five years covers reasonable worst cases of generation and transmission project delays • Soliciting • New quick-start peaking capacity • Incremental quick-start at existing units • Demand response resources • Emergency generation and • C&LM that reduces on-peak load • Bids due 1/21/04 • Winning proposals announced on 2/16/04

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