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Regional Strategic Concept Caucasus Region

Regional Strategic Concept Caucasus Region. Mission Statement. Who, What, When, Where, How, Why Could be just a problem statement

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Regional Strategic Concept Caucasus Region

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  1. Regional Strategic Concept Caucasus Region

  2. Mission Statement • Who, What, When, Where, How, Why • Could be just a problem statement • USEUCOM Theater Mission Statement 2010: US European Command conducts military operations, international military partnering, and interagency partnering to enhance transatlantic security and defend the United States forward. • How do you translate the Theater Mission Statement into one for the Caucasus Region?

  3. Overview • Key Regional Players - Who are the key players? - What are relations-bilateral and multilateral-among the states? - What other states play a role or influence the region? What factors underlie their influence? • Other Regional Phenomena that have an impact on the states of the region (eg, demographics, resources) • General Overview of Recent Key Events • Flash Points for Potential Conflict

  4. Issues • Identify potential problems requiring a United States decision or military, diplomatic, or economic action

  5. US Interests, Objectives, Activities • US National Interests and Objectives • US Regional Interests • US Regional Objectives • US Domestic Considerations • Recent US Activities in the Region • Diplomatic • Economic • Military(including security cooperation) • Informational

  6. Assumptions • An assumption is a supposition on the current situation or a presupposition on the future course of events, either or both assumed to be true in the absence of positive proof, necessary to enable the commander in the process of planning to complete the estimate of the situation and make a decision on the course of action (option)

  7. Regional Analysis: Country Actor For each country/actor with a stake in the situation • General (consider factors such as, but not limited to: Population and Demographics, History, Current or Potential Conflicts, Ethnic Groups, Religion, Cultural Attitudes, Economy, Key Individuals/Groups, Government/Politics, Communications and Media, Impact of Factors on Relations with other countries) • Interests • Objectives (make the distinction from interests) • Current US Programs (Security Coop, Economic Assistance, ets) • COA (most likely) • COA (most dangerous) • Consider the actor’s degree of interest in the outcome • Does the actor have the power to influence the outcome? • Will the actor use power to influence the outcome?

  8. US Option # (1,2,3,etc) • Each option Adequate, Feasible, Acceptable, Distinguishable, and Complete (screening criteria) • Options should integrate all the elements of National Power – DIME • Include Flexible Deterrent Options (FDOs) • Develop a balanced range of options • Define option in terms of: • The mix of power resources to be applied (given the advantage and disadvantage of each instrument) • How the instruments of national power will be applied (negative, positive, unilateral, multilateral, etc) • How the use of the instruments will be phased • Risks involved

  9. Evaluate and Compare Option • Again each option must be - Adequate, Feasible, Acceptable, Distinguishable, and Complete - Don’t show the JFC something which will obviously not work, is too costly, is clearly unacceptable or one dimensional…but you can work close to the margin • Apply criteria developed from a variety of sources • Address relative risk among the options

  10. Recommendation • Why do you recommend this option? • What caveats affect the option (include impact of assumptions)?

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