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(Bio-)energie 1984 2009 2034

(Bio-)energie 1984 2009 2034. Dr. Maarten Arentsen Universiteit Twente Faculteit Management en Bestuur. Gebruik van biomassa in de wereld. Bron: Shell. Industriële organisatie Nederlandse elektriciteitsvoorziening 1990. Giant industrial consumers.

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(Bio-)energie 1984 2009 2034

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  1. (Bio-)energie 1984 2009 2034 Dr. Maarten Arentsen Universiteit Twente Faculteit Management en Bestuur

  2. Gebruik van biomassa in de wereld Bron: Shell

  3. Industriële organisatie Nederlandse elektriciteitsvoorziening 1990 Giant industrial consumers Small and medium industrial and private consumers Distribution Central production, import and transport Decentral production CHP Renewables EPON UNA EZH EPZ SEP Decentral import (neglectable) Germany France Belgium

  4. “If what you are selling is illumination and you want to make it as economical as possible, you have to optimize the entire system - the generator, the network and the light bulbs - as a system, because it all works together, moment by moment” Thomas Edison

  5. Central Station Electricity SystemAchter liggende principes • Obtaining economies of scale with large generation units • Generation units near load centers • Transmitting electricity through high voltage lines • Cultivating mass consumption by low and differentiated rates: supply creates demand • Interconnection of plants to optimize on different characteristics (natural resources) • Interconnection loads to optimize on diversity in demand • Central coordination: technical and economical dispatch • Lowering reserve capacity by power plant interconnections • Accept governmental regulation to establish natural monopoly (Hughes, 1983)

  6. Waarom ogenschijnlijk trage ontwikkeling decentrale duurzame elektriciteitsvoorziening. • Grootschalig technologisch systeem • Cummulatieve kennisontwikkeling • Grootschalige productietechnologie • Specifieke kennis en vaardigheden • Pad afhankelijkheid • Lock-in

  7. Inherente systeemweerstand leidt tot: • Groene innovaties in het gecentraliseerde elektriciteitssysteem • Groene innovates buiten het gecentraliseerde elektriciteitssysteem • Tempo en technologie van de innovaties verschillen

  8. Groen innovatie binnen gecentraliseerde elektriciteitsvoorziening • Schoon fossiel • Bijstook van biomassa • Windparken op zee • Nucleaire energie (?)

  9. Duurzame bronnen

  10. Biologie: Survival of the fittest Technologie: De best passende technologie wordt dominant Evolutionaire mechanisme Variatie en selectie Charles Darwin

  11. Ontwikkelingspatroon productietechnologie Coal Oil Natural gas Nuclear (Co-)firing biomass • Onshore wind • Offshore wind Biogas Green CHP Solar PV

  12. Toekomst

  13. Tenslotte

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