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Wrap-Up

Wrap-Up. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics. Let’s start with a brief overview of the models we focused on: Hawk-Dove Costly Signaling Repeated-PD CWOL Common Knowledge.

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Wrap-Up

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  1. Wrap-Up

  2. Our approach: game theory + evolutionary dynamics = ultimate explanation for people’s puzzling preferences, beliefs, ideologies, and heuristics

  3. Let’s start with a brief overview of the models we focused on: Hawk-Dove Costly Signaling Repeated-PD CWOL Common Knowledge

  4. Hawk-Dove Puzzle Where do rights come from? Are they God-given, natural, absolute? Model Two players compete for a contested resource Each can play Hawk, Dove, or Bourgeois (H if arrive first, D o/w) It is an equilibrium to attend to uncorrelated asymmetries Key insight Our sense of rights isn’t God-given, natural, absolute. Rather, it implements this equilibrium

  5. Costly Signaling Puzzle Why do North Indians find long fingernails beautiful? Why do we find white shoes beautiful? Where does our sense of beauty come from? Model Two kinds of senders: low/high Can’t convey quality; can send otherwise useless signals of different “strengths” Receivers decide whether to match w/ senders based on signal It is an equilibrium for senders to send these wasteful signals Key insight We find costly signals beautiful

  6. Repeated Prisoner’s Dilemma Puzzle Why do we give so much, but “weirdly”? Model Can pay cost c to benefit other by b; c < b Repeat w/ probability δ Any cooperative equilibrium has two traits: reciprocity and b/c > δ Key insight Altruistic preferences implement cooperative equilibrium; they exhibit these two traits AND not other traits, like efficiency

  7. Cooperating Without Looking Puzzle Why are people principled? Model (Envelope Game) Low or high temptation chosen Player 1 chooses whether to look at temptation Player 1 chooses whether to cooperate Player 2 chooses whether to continue CWOL/Attend to Looking is a Nash equilibrium Key Insight People that don’t look can be trusted. Principles, taboos, etc. keep us from looking

  8. Common Knowledge Puzzles Why do we care so much about symbolic gestures? Why do we consider omission less bad than commission? Why do we use innuendos? Why do we have norms against chemical weapons? Model In game with multiple equilibria, can only condition behavior on events that are common p- believed (CPB; I.e. when there is ~CK) Key Insights Symbolic gestures create CPB Discrete norms condition behavior on events that are CPB An act of commission is CPB but an act of omission is not Innuendo is not CPB

  9. We provided evidence for these explanations from a variety of sources For example…

  10. Animal evidence

  11. Examples from history, current events, literature, media

  12. Laboratory experiments

  13. Field experiments

  14. Simulations

  15. Looking back on all these models, it is apparent how powerful the framework is…

  16. Taught us about… -rights -emotions -beauty -altruism -symbolism -ethics -communication Not just posthoc explanation, but also… -novel predictions -prescriptions -clarifies age old debates

  17. Examples of new predictions: The uncorrelated asymmetries we condition rights on have to be CPB (e.g., not size but who comes first) We will care if people are “principled” when temptation is large but rare, and harmful “Explicit speech while bus goes by” works differently than innuendos

  18. Examples of new policy implications: Taboos should not be respected in public policy Domestic law should ignore omission/commission

  19. Examples of debates the framework clarifies: Is our sense of rights God-given, natural, absolute? Is beauty completely culturally construed? Why don’t we use efficient norms? Can altruism ever be “authentic”? Or is it always self-interested?

  20. In short… game theory + evolutionary dynamics = awesome

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