1. Evaluating the Sustainability of Energy Pathways Balance & Flow
Inspirations for This Talk
My research projects over the last 3 years.
A relatively new scientific field: sustainability.
The recent ITS Board of Directors meeting.
My (two) encounters with Paul MacCready.
Recent ITS Board of Advisors Meeting
Mostly, the Board seemed pleased with
ITS research and enthusiastic about future
work. However, some members (e.g. Jan
Sharpless and Wendy James) raised concerns
about ITS research into sustainability and equity.
4. STEPS Program
Arne Jacobson and Daniel Kammen (along with many others) urge the shift to a new scientific paradigm of sustainability.
Buckminster Fuller sometimes called himself a “Comprehensive Anticipatory Design Scientist” Solutioneering
The Story of My Life
Model developed by McKenna,
Kelley, Taylor, & Sheliak.
Based on the mathematical and
numerological manipulations of the I-
Ching to measure “novelty” and “habit”, two
relatively undefined terms.
Use of “numerical mysticism” (see Pythagoras) and obscure metrics renders the model non-testable. Timewave Zero: Time as a Measure of Chaos and Order
Chaotic systems- often difficult to describe, explain, or predict
Ordered systems- simpler to describe, explain, and predict, but only tend to be accurate over small temporal and spatial differences
Natural systems- exhibit features of both order and chaos Chaotic vs. Ordered Systems
Even in the controlled environment of a flume, sediment transport calculations are often inaccurate by a magnitude of more than 100% their actual value.
My friend leans over and says “I bet we could describe its turbulent nature using fractals.” Complexity of a Riverbed
Other Examples of Natural Complexity
The “Three Es” of Sustainability
Ecology, Economy, Equity
“A goal, that aims towards preserving quality interactions with the local environment, economy, and social system.” – Genecor
“Sustainability takes forever. That’s the point.” – William McDonough
Can STEPS work to reach consensus as a group on how to set up a sustainability framework?
Can we agree upon standard measures of efficiency, effectiveness, and sufficiency?
Are any sustainability indicators being left out of the framework?
Will such a framework help attain sustainability?
Call to Action!
Have A “Novel” Thanksgiving!