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Boom, Bust + Echo

Boom, Bust + Echo. Demographic Groups in Canada. USA 2007. Population Pyramid: Canada 2010. The Baby Boom. 1944 – 1966 Very high birthrate Became a force to be reckoned with Age of economic prosperity Suburbia Child centered Sought social and political change Sexual revolution.

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Boom, Bust + Echo

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  1. Boom, Bust + Echo Demographic Groups in Canada

  2. USA 2007

  3. Population Pyramid: Canada 2010

  4. The Baby Boom • 1944 – 1966 • Very high birthrate • Became a force to be reckoned with • Age of economic prosperity • Suburbia • Child centered • Sought social and political change • Sexual revolution

  5. Causes of the Baby Boom • End of WWII • One in Five Canadian soldiers came back with a war bride – almost 50,000 women and children • Men were anxious to resume their lives – marriage rates were double pre-war rates • Notion that marriage and family was the quickest route to respectability – failure to marry proved immaturity, parental complex, inferiority complex and narcissism

  6. Causes Con’t • Immigration • More than two million people came to Canada from 1945 – 1960 • Most immigrants came from Western Europe and USA • Many immigrants were young couples seeking a better life, adventure, and to start a family

  7. Bringing up the Boomers • Post war economic boom meant that Boomers were raised in a prosperous time • Suburban Culture – huge demand for family housing • Car became a necessity –car culture… drive in restaurants, theatres, shopping centres, etc. • Young families: 1961 census – nearly 50% of the population of the suburbs was under 15, less than 10% was over 55 • Nuclear family – grandparents lived elsewhere • Overcrowded hospitals, schools, universities… solution was to expand – created national debt that we still have

  8. A Child Centred Universe • Dominance of young families meant that the focus was largely on the kids – Brownies, Scouts, etc. • Psychological approach to child rearing – Dr. Spock (behaviourism) • Permissive parenting – trust your children, don’t worry about spoiling them, give them lots of attention • Critics say this created a self centred generation • Progressive education – John Dewey

  9. Counterculture • Did permissive parenting + child centred education create a generation of long haired rebels? • Boomers didn’t seem to follow the rules – hippies, drugs, The Beatles, Vietnam, “Sit-ins”, peace symbols, Trudeau-mania, Woodstock, etc. • Had large collective voice… and used it! • Many interested in political activism - Vietnam War, Civil Rights Movement, Nuclear Technology, Environment – Green Peace, Women’s Rights, Minority Rights, etc.

  10. Sexual Revolution • Bye bye pre-war morality! Behaviour, social norms and morals changed drastically • More couples cohabiting, engaging in pre-marital sex – illegitimate births increased from 4% in 1955 to 9.5% in 1968 • Canadians emphasized personal + sexual freedom • “The Pill” – enabled sexual freedom • Women stayed in school longer + began to pursue careers • Led to declining birth rates… and an end to the Baby Boom

  11. The Impact of the Boomers • Filled the job market – made it difficult for the next cohort (Baby Bust) to find jobs • Finally they are retiring, but… • The dependency load is increasing (pop’n under 15 and over 65) • Healthcare? Pension plans? Social services? • Many boomers are pursuing a second career • Create trends in industry – travel, tourism, retirement homes/condos, recreation, etc. • Large disposable income – big box stores

  12. The Baby Bust: Generation X • Baby Bust follows the Baby Boom • Children born between 1966 + 1979 • Sometimes the term "baby busters" • used interchangeably with "Generation X," typically for those born starting in 1965, with various dates offered for its end year, the most common being 1978 or 1980.

  13. Origins of the term Generation X: • was first used in a 1964 study of British youth by Jane Deverson. • study revealed a generation of teenagers who "sleep together before they are married, don't believe in God, dislike the Queen, and don't respect parents" • In 1976, the phrase was picked up as the name of a punk rock band featuring Billy Idol, which released three albums before disbanding in 1981. • However, the term Generation X was used to describe the early British punks more generally with their nihilism, rejection of earlier generation's values, and the feeling that they were a lost generation that meant nothing to society, and vice versa.

  14. In a Canadian Context… • Popularized by Canadian novelist Douglas Coupland in Generation X: Tales for an Accelerated Culture • describes the angst of those born between roughly 1960 and 1965, who felt no connection to the cultural icons of the baby boom generation • in Coupland's usage, the X referred to the namelessness of a generation that was coming into an awareness of its existence as a separate group but feeling overshadowed by the Boomer generation of which it was ostensibly a part

  15. Characteristics of Baby Busters/Gen Xers • Readily-accessible birth control • Legalization of abortion on demand • Increase in divorce • Increase in mothers in the work place • The Zero population movement • "Devil-child films" • Lack of optimism for the future, nihilism, cynicism and lack of beliefs and trust in traditional values • Grunge Music

  16. Characteristics Con’t • Media portrayed Generation X as a group of flannel-wearing, alienated, overeducated, underachieving slackers with body piercings, who drank franchise-store coffee and had to work at McJobs • Grew up during the Cold War, the fall of the Iron Curtain and USSR, the oil crisis of the 70’s, economic recession and outsourcing of jobs to developing countries, layoffs, AIDS, globalization • Increasingly flexible and varied gender roles for women contrasted with even more rigid gender roles for men (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generation_X)

  17. The Echo Boom: Generation Y • children of the Baby Boomers (born between 1980 and 1995) • consists of approximately 7 million people, a reflection of the declining birth rates of the Baby Boomers • variously called Generation Me, Internet Generation, Echo Boomers, the Boomlet, Nexters, the Nintendo Generation, the Digital Generation, and, in Canada, the Sunshine Generation.

  18. Impact of the Echo Kids • put a large strain on the education system – many new schools have been built, however, many schools are overcrowded • Will be able to step into jobs more easily than Gen X’ers since many of the Boomers are retiring • However, education requirements have increased in almost all fields.

  19. Economic Impact • Echo kids are one of the first group of youth to work en masse • L Large disposable income and • huge buying power – as influential as Boomer parents • “… what some marketers call the six pocket phenomenon – kids getting cash from two parents and four grandparents – explains why many Echo kids can afford to spend $50 for a Nike sweatshirt…” • “The brand name is increasingly important. Echo kids have been saturated in television since birth and, as a result, they are the most brand conscious cohort in the history of the planet” (David Foot, 1998)

  20. Media • Where media was previously focused on the Boomers, it has shifted toward the Echo kids • They’re the first generation to grow up post 9/11, surrounded by digital media: electronics, computers • Fashion • Focus on experiences – Reality TV, Extreme sports, You Tube • Obsession with celebrity

  21. Social Impact • The global generation; the connected generation • Belief that Youth can make a positive social impact • Concerned with issues such as terrorism, global warming, AIDS, poverty, cancer, environmental degradation, war, depleting resources, etc. • Full of potential and ability to act • Free the Children • Kenya Build • Relay for Life

  22. What do you think? • Many people have negative views of teenagers and youth: • Obnoxious, selfish, lack of respect for parents, teachers and the law (out of control?) • Increasing rates of youth violence, school shootings, girl gangs • Promiscuous behaviour, drinking, drug use What does David Foot think? (Boom, Bust, Echo) http://www.cbc.ca/archives/categories/economy-business/the-media/the-media-general/david-k-foot-the-young-people-problem.html • Do you agree? Where do these opinions come from? Be prepared to argue your position based on readings provided by the “expert Gen Ys”.

  23. Canada in 2050

  24. World in 2050 • Life in 2050 March 2010 http://bigthink.com/ideas/19349 • A forum where top experts explore the big ideas and core skills defining the 21st century • Question to Joel Cohen: What will the world’s population look like in 2050?

  25. First of all, a bigger population by somewhere between 1 and 3 or 4 billion. • So bigger population in poor countries and cities. • Secondly, the rate of growth of new young people is going to continue to fall and in some scenarios, the world will actually level off and begin to decline by 2050. • The third thing is: more cities…all of the increase will be in cities. • And the fourth and last change is we're going to get older.

  26. Now what about the things we don't know? • We don't know how big international migration will be. • We don't know too much about is what will families be like • Let me tell you my secret hope for this time. We're going to have so few young people that we're not going to squander them on wars. Instead of spending our best young men to go kill

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