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Coface Country Risk Conference 2009 Trading Safely…Globally PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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Coface Country Risk Conference 2009 Trading Safely…Globally. 11 th June 2009. BAFTA, London. Speakers from:. François David Chairman, Coface. Coface Global Analysis of Country Risk. Coface Country and Sector Ratings. @Country rating

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Coface Country Risk Conference 2009 Trading Safely…Globally

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Coface country risk conference 2009 trading safely globally l.jpg

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009Trading Safely…Globally

11th June 2009

BAFTA, London

Speakers from:

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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François David

Chairman, Coface

Coface Global Analysis of Country Risk

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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Coface Country and Sector Ratings

  • @Country rating

    • Assesses the average risk of payment defaults by companies in a given country

    • To rate Countries, Coface combines

      • Economic and Political prospects of the Country

      • Coface Payment Experience

      • Business Climate Assessment

    • Ratings are available for 155 countries, with 7 rating grades:A1, A2, A3, A4, B, C, D

  • @Sector Rating

    • Assesses the average risk of payment default by companies in a given sector

    • To rate Sectors, Coface combines

      • Economic prospects of the sector

      • Companies' financial situation

      • Coface payment experience

    • There are ten different grades from A+ to D, regularly updated for 15 sectors

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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"Business Climate" Rating

Introduced in 2008, this rating is intended to assess overall business environment and more precisely whether corporate information is available and reliable and whether the legal system provides fair and efficient creditor protection

This rating is based on a yearly survey filled by Coface entities in the world and has seven grades: A1, A2, A3, A4, B, C, D

Various Coface Ratings, Payment Incident Index and Assessments of Sector and Country Risks are available onwww.cofacerating.com

Coface Rating

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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The 5th Credit Crisis:Credit Crises last 18 to 24 months

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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A major shock between 2007 and 2009

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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Propagation of the Credit Crisis:"Bubble Burst Countries": the Epicenter of the Crisis

Iceland

United Kingdom

Ireland

United States

Spain

January 2008

March 2008

June 2008

September 2008

January 2009

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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"Bubble Burst Countries": Recession shock and microeconomic vulnerabilities

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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"Bubble Burst Countries": Significant increase of non-payments

Payment Incident Index

- 2009 evolution

Western Europe

North America

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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Propagation of the Credit Crisis: "Neighbours of the Epicentre"

Iceland

Canada

United Kingdom

Ireland

Spain

United States

Portugal

Mexico

January 2008

March 2008

June 2008

September 2008

January 2009

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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Propagation of the Credit Crisis:‘Soft Growth Countries’ are hit

Iceland

Canada

United Kingdom

Germany

Ireland

France

Belgium

United States

Japan

Spain

Italy

Portugal

Mexico

January 2008

March 2008

June 2008

September 2008

January 2009

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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‘Soft Growth Countries’: Increase of non-payments and sectors’ vulnerabilities

Payment Incident Index

2009

evolution

Western Europe

Japan

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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Industrialized Countries :@Country and Business Climate Ratings

Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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Coface Country Risk Conference 2009


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