Sharing knowledge and information three views of the future
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Sharing knowledge and information: three views of the future. David Bawden City University London. A view over the next 20 years. based on reality - current trends with some prediction - futurology imagination - science fiction. Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future

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Sharing knowledge and information three views of the future

Sharing knowledge and information: three views of the future

David Bawden

City University London


A view over the next 20 years

A view over the next 20 years

  • based on

    • reality - current trends

  • with some

    • prediction - futurology

    • imagination - science fiction


Sharing knowledge and information three views of the future

Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future

(Niels Bohr)


Dangers of prediction

Dangers of prediction

  • failure of imagination

  • failure of nerve

    (Arthur C Clarke)


Current trends

Current trends

  • economic situation

  • a digital world

  • web 2

  • new generations

  • the ‘cloud’


Economic situation uk

Economic situation (UK)

  • generally bad for information services

    but

  • some sectors do well (law, health ..)

  • ‘library brand’ flourishes

  • renewed enthusiasm for the ‘real’

  • and for sharing of knowledge and expertise


A digital world

A digital world

  • digital is now the normal form of information

    (particularly, reference, business, academic)

  • most information is born digital, and lives and dies digital

    but

  • the real book and the physical ‘library place’ do not go away


Information commons sheffield university

‘Information Commons’ (Sheffield University)


Discovery centre winchester

‘Discovery Centre’ (Winchester)


Web 2 0

Web 2.0

  • ‘to Google’ is a verb in the English language

  • Amazon.com is ‘the bookshop’

  • Wikipedia is ‘the encyclopedia’

  • Facebook, Twitter and blogs are the natural way of communicating information

  • Will all books soon be e-books ?


Libraries and web 2

Libraries and Web 2

  • Fight ?

  • Collaborate ?

  • Copy ?

  • Ignore ?


New generations

New generations

  • Gen X, Gen Y, Google generation

  • young people’s information behaviour is totally different

  • or is it ?


The cloud

The ‘cloud’

  • Information resources and software held on networks, with wireless access from any place

  • Where then is

    • The collection

    • The ‘information place’

    • ‘my’ information


Summary of trends

Summary of trends

  • a mixed picture

  • some clear trends

  • but also counter-movements

  • the future is not as clear as some commentators tell us


Three scenarios

Three scenarios

  • Business as usual

  • Changing landscapes

  • Into the clouds


Business as usual

Business as usual

  • rely on library ‘brand image’

  • build on continuing desire for the collection and the ‘information place’

  • establish consensus (truce ?) with newer forms of information communication


Changing landscapes

Changing landscapes

  • changing image and name

    • Information Commons, Discovery Centre, Idea Store

  • some services close, others expand

  • greater integration with wider institution

    • Business (KM), education, culture

  • creative balance physical / digital


Into the clouds

Into the clouds

  • new concept of ‘collection’

  • no physical ‘information place’

  • preservation ?

  • information specialists become

    • consultants / advisers / educators

    • researchers / ‘publishers’

      R Fox, Library in the clouds, OCLC Systems and Services, 2009, 25(3), 156-161


Conclusions

Conclusions

  • the future is not certain

  • it will not be as we expect

  • It will be more important then ever to share knowledge effectively

  • library / information services will survive and thrive (but not as they are now)

  • we can influence our future


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