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To the International Wuppertal Colloquium on

To the International Wuppertal Colloquium on „Sustainable Growth, Resource Productivity and Sustainable Industrial Policy – Recent Findings, new Approaches for Strategies and Policies” Wuppertal, Sep 17 – 19, 2008. Welcome. Issue and Scope.

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To the International Wuppertal Colloquium on

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  1. To the International Wuppertal Colloquium on „Sustainable Growth, Resource Productivity and Sustainable Industrial Policy – Recent Findings, new Approaches for Strategies and Policies” Wuppertal, Sep 17 – 19, 2008 Welcome

  2. Issue and Scope • Management of resources: implications for growth, development and industry • Contribution of increasing resource productivity to sustainability • Colloquium accompanies a large research project on “Material Efficiency & Conservation of Resources” • Designed as expert meeting with selected young researchers • Focus on economics • Eight Sessions with invited presentations and time for discussion and conclusions Wuppertal Colloquium

  3. Perspective • Three years perspective (2008, 2009, 2010) • Next years likely to focus on • drivers and barriers, rebound effect, industrial dynamics, visions and possible lighthouses (2009) • Sustainable industrial policy, incentives, governance, economic impacts, international mechanisms (2010) • Publication of proceedings intended (Springer Publishing House) • Additional journal publication (central findings co-authored by participants) desirable Enjoy our colloquium! Wuppertal Colloquium

  4. Evidence for decoupling GDP from resource use in Europe: trends and drivers Prof. Dr. Raimund Bleischwitz Sören Steger Research Group „Material Flows and Resource Management“ Presentation at the International Wuppertal Colloquium on • „Sustainable Growth, Resource Productivity and Sustainable Industrial Policy – Recent Findings, new Approaches for Strategies and Policies” • Wuppertal, Sep 17 – 19, 2008

  5. Contents Definition Country results Rotterdam-Effect: why measurement may matter Competitiveness and Resource Productivity EU: costs for importing raw materials and resource use Conclusions Wuppertal Colloquium

  6. Definitions / Measurements of RP • Resource productivity = Y / M M = physical indicator for resources Y = monetary (economic) indicator DMI = Direct Material Input DMC = Domestic Material Consumption TMR = Total Material Requirement EMC = Environmentally weighted Material Consumption … GDP = Gross Domestic Product GVA = Gross Value Added Final use Production value … MFA-Methodology (OECD 2008, Eurostat, WI) Methods: Empirical Analysis Economic Policy Analysis Wuppertal Colloquium

  7. MFA Methodology (OECD 2008) Wuppertal Colloquium

  8. Resource Productivity 1980 + 2004 compared: huge differences in level and performance Wuppertal Colloquium

  9. Resource Productivity 1992 + 2000 compared for EU 25 and USA Wuppertal Colloquium

  10. Correlation GDP and DMC (pc 2000) Wuppertal Colloquium

  11. Clustering countries according to RP / cap (2000) Poor RPFinland Greece[NMS] Fair RP[Ireland], Portugal, Sweden, Denmark Good RPA, BE, DE, [ES] Top-RunnerUK, I, FR, NL 1 2 3 4 Wuppertal Colloquium

  12. Countries 4: Top-Runner in RP Performance Wuppertal Colloquium

  13. Countries 3: Good Performer Wuppertal Colloquium

  14. Countries 2: Fair Performer Wuppertal Colloquium

  15. Countries 1: poor performance Wuppertal Colloquium

  16. 2.3. Rotterdam-Effect: why measurement may matter DMC is favourable to export-oriented countries such as BE, NL Wuppertal Colloquium

  17. Competitiveness and RP – some positive correlation (with exceptions) Wuppertal Colloquium

  18. Resource intensity differs among economies Potential performance improvement towards Top - Runners by a factor 4 Wuppertal Colloquium

  19. Will be updated

  20. EU costs for importing selected raw materials: 135 bn € in 2004, about 12,38 % of total imports Wuppertal Colloquium

  21. Conclusions • Good evidence for relative decoupling and increase of resource productivity over time. • Poor evidence for absolute decoupling and „Dematerialisation“ so far. (Germany and a few others may have encountered specific factors). • RP performance measurement offers rich insights (compared to status quo). • Huge differences exist among countries which might be interpreted as potential to catch up to top runners: a factor 4 for underperformers and a factor 2 for others seem plausible. • There seems to be a minimum level of DMC / cap in the order of 12 t / cap for OECD countries (Japan not yet checked). • Few countries with excellent competitiveness rankings perform poor in resource productivity (Scandinavian states) – however in general both factors are positively correlated. Wuppertal Colloquium

  22. For further information please visit our website: www.wupperinst.org Many thanks for your attention !

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