Finance and Trade

1. Finance and Trade

2. Money in Early National Period • Bimetallic Standard • Set up by Alexander Hamilton first Secretary of Treasury • Justification is to increase the money supply • Foreign silver and gold coins accepted • Silver content of Spanish dollar is unit of account • Equal weight of gold = 15 time weight of silver

3. Bimetallic Standard does not work • Why? Value of gold to silver is fixed • Market value fluctuates • Once market value moves away from fixed ratio, anyone can make money buying up one or the other currency, only one will circulate • Gresham’s Law

4. As supply of gold increased after gold rush in 1840 most silver disappeared from circulation • Was Bimetallic standard necessary to increase money supply? • No, Banks create money

5. Banks in Early National Period • Financial Intermediaries are financial institutions through which savers can indirectly provide funds to borrowers. Banks • take deposits from people who want to save and use the deposits to make loans to people who want to borrow. • pay depositors interest on their deposits and charge borrowers slightly higher interest on their loans.

6. Bank notes • Banks also had the right to issue bank notes or bank money • Promise to pay the holder specie on demand • By 1860 there were more than 9,000 different kinds of bank notes circulating • Personal checks were rare

7. Two Types of Banks • State Chartered Banks • Chartered by State legislatures • Private investors provide assets • Make loans in form of bank notes • National Bank • First National Bank 1791 • Set up Alexander Hamilton • 20 year charter, not renewed • Second National Bank 1816 • Also 20 year charter

8. How do banks create money? • Reservesare deposits that banks have received but have not loaned out. • In a fractional-reserve bankingsystem, banks hold a fraction of the money deposited as reserves and lend out the rest.

9. Banks and Money Supply • Bank A receives a $100 gold as deposit • Recorded as an asset and liability in T account Liabilities Assets gold $100 D $100

10. Banks and Money supply • Banks make money by loaning some of this deposit to others • The fraction of total deposits that a bank keeps as reserves is called the reserve ratio. • Banks decides how much to keep as reserves • What happens when bank makes a loan?

11. Banks and Money Supply • Assume RR=10% • Bank A makes a 90$ loan • Bank makes no money on deposit • Created $90 in Bank notes, Money supply has increased by $90 Liabilities Assets gold $100 deposit $100 Loan $90 Bank notes $90

12. Banks and Money Supply • What happens when person receiving the loan spends it and it is deposited in another bank? • gold and notes go down in bank A Liabilities Assets gold $100 deposit $100 - $90=$10 Bank notes $90 Loan $90 -90=0

13. Bank notes are used and deposited in another bank which may redeem notes and then make more loans • What limits the amount of notes created? • No Fed, no reserve requirement • Bank may go under • More notes issued, value of notes decrease

14. Value of Bank Notes • Depends on a number of factors • Distance from Bank • Reliability of Bank • Amount of Reserves and number of notes issued • Banks determine the amount of reserves they keep

15. Money Multiplier • The money multiplier is the reciprocal of the reserve ratio: M = 1/R • With a reserve requirement, R = 10% or .1 or 1/10, • The multiplier is 10. • The initial $100 deposit increases MS by $ 1000.

16. Problems with Fractional Reserve Banking • If reserves are less the deposits, banks could not have enough cash to pay all depositors even if bank is solvent. • Banks the issue too many notes are even more vulnerable. • Rumors can lead to runs on banks and banking panics • Bank of US

17. What was the role of 1st Bank of US? • Modeled after Bank of England • Public and Private • Accepted Deposits, printed notes that were redeemed for specie, made loans • Served as a fiscal agent for Federal Gov • Held tax receipts, tariffs, made loans to gov, paid gov bills • Allowed to have branches in all states

18. Advantages over State Banks • Large Gov deposits • Lots of Branches • Notes were more useful than state bank notes • Held more state bank notes than state banks held BUS notes • Could redeem them faster • Demand for state bank notes reduced • Charter was not renewed in 1811 due to political pressure

19. What happened? • The BUS could have acted as lender of last resort but did not • probably reduced state banks note issue • After 1811, number of state banks increased, note issue increased, reserves decreased • Panic in 1814 • 2nd BUS chartered in 1816

20. 2nd Bank of US • Unpopular as the 1st for same reason • Andrew Jackson elected in 1828 is an enemy of the bank • Attempt to recharter bank early in 1832 passes in Congress, Jackson veto bill and there are not enough votes to over ride veto

21. What happens • Number of Banks increases at first, price increase • Bank panic in 37, moderate recovery in 38 • Panic in 1939, prices fall

22. What was cause? • Soundness school • Increase in banks and reduction in reserves increased money supply • Over issued notes which caused panic • Not clear this is true. While there was an increase in notes and price , ratio of bank reserves to liabilities did not decrease

23. What caused changes in M ? • Inflow of silver from Mexico due to political instability • Capital inflow from abroad for canal etc • Chinese trade deficit, meant silver would flow to China • but China exchanged US silver for Bills of exchange on London Banks held in US, so China could by opium from British

24. What caused Panic? • Specie Circular of 1836 • Land payments had to made in specie • No evidence of reserves going west • More likely increase in interest rates in Britain and fall in US commodity prices • Not clear that the panic had large real effects GDP continues to grow even with large fall in prices

25. Banks and inflation • Did the Bank of US restrain growth in state banks and note issue? • Some evidence that it did • At same time there was an increase in Bank of US notes • What was the effect on price level?

26. 1811 1838 Prices rise after the first Bank of US loses its charter , but not after the second bank loose its charter

27. In spite of inflation and deflation during this period, GDP growth is constant. Changes in money supply and prices do not have real effects.

28. Trade in Early National Period • Trade increased from 1793-1807 • American neutrality during Napoleonic wars • Gdp per capita increased • Price of exports increased, price of imports fell due to industrial revolution in Britain • Terms to trade (Price of exports/ price of imports) improved • Trade per capita decreased • Not evenly distributed

29. Jeffersonian Embargo • Jefferson wanted to reverse British position on controlling neutral shipping • Attempted to deny British gains from trading with US • Was not successful • War of 1812 further disrupted trade

30. Gains from Embargo • Increase in firms producing products that had been imported from Europe • Increase in incorporations especially in textiles • Firms fail when trade resumes increases pressure for tariffs to protect textile industry

31. Economics of Tarrifs • Tariffs are an important source of government revenue • Some times as high as 90% • Rates of Tariffs vary but are generally high • Since volume of trade varies inversely with tariff rates there is a rate that maximizes revenue

32. Benefits producers and government Hurts consumers Tariffs

33. Market for jeans Before tariff US consumes Q2 US produces Q5 Imports Q2-Q5 S $ P1 Pw Pw+T After tariff US consumes Q3 US produces Q4 Imports Q3-Q4 Gov Rev T*(Q4-Q3) D Sf Q5 Q4 Q1 Q3 Q2 Q

34. B A CS abdghcf abd PS e ec Gov f TS abdghcfe abdcfe S $ P1 Pw+t Pw a b d c f h Sf e g D Q2 Q4 Q1 Q3 Q5 Q

35. Benefits of protection • Are there benefits of protecting an industry? • Infant Industry argument • Depends on presence of learning by doing