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Tanzania JAS: Proposed work program for Joint Analysis /Programming

Tanzania JAS: Proposed work program for Joint Analysis /Programming. DPG, June 6 2006. Context. GoT led JAS process has produced key doc on principles, but no immediate prospect of joint analysis/program replacing agency program documents

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Tanzania JAS: Proposed work program for Joint Analysis /Programming

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  1. Tanzania JAS: Proposed work program for Joint Analysis /Programming DPG, June 6 2006

  2. Context • GoT led JAS process has produced key doc on principles, but no immediate prospect of joint analysis/program replacing agency program documents • Many agencies need some form of program document in the near term => Need for short analysis/program document, as DP response to Mkukuta/JAS, prepared by end September latest

  3. Components of a DIY program doc • Part 1 JAS – existing text • Part 2 Joint country analysis • Part 3 Joint programming document • [Part 4] Optional, agency specific supplement (preferably kept to a minimum)

  4. Part 2 - Joint analysis : progress • Collective effort : 12 agencies actively contributed, about 40+ individuals • Outline agreed at DPG wide meetings in April/May • First drafts received on most sections, circulated for drafting team review 31 May • Compiled draft circulated for review to DP working groups and DPG today

  5. Joint analysis : general drafting guidelines • Main focus around Mkukuta implementation, especially: • Strengthening national systems, domestic accountability for results • Translating Mkukuta growth focus into practice • Build on Mkukuta text, draw on existing agreed texts as much as possible • Keep it short : max 15 pages total

  6. Joint analysis : next steps • Review by DPG working groups (sections for WGs proposed – but all comments welcome) • Deadline for comments 16 June • Review in July DPG meeting • Joint analysis text then folded into combined analysis program document, final draft to DPG meeting September

  7. Part 3 -Joint program doc : outline • Intro, review of lessons learnt • Managing external financing – mapping out relation of JAS and annual planning and budget process • Joint programming – summary of key issues from MTEF responses on Mkukuta financing, consistency with JAS + annex tables • Monitoring • Risk analysis : identification, mitigation, scenarios/response

  8. Total External financing , % GDP, 99/06

  9. Total External Financing, % GDP, actual 99/06 + MTEF projection 07/09

  10. Total External Financing, actual + projections

  11. MTEF external financing projections • DP projections on external financing needed annually as input to MTEF preparation - weaknesses in existing projections highlighted by Government in recent PEFAR consultations • At 40%+ budget, comprehensive realistic projections of external financing are a prerequisite of sound fiscal management – would be needed regardless of JAS, joint program doc, etc.

  12. MTEF projections (continued) • GoT looking for realistic estimates of projected disbursements for: budget support, sector aid, projects, TA, local financing by LGA, non state + projections on JAS implementation • New projections by late July can inform preparation for next cycle and provide basis for Joint Program doc • Following PEFAR consultations, MTEF template under discussion with GoT , to be distributed to DPG next week

  13. Joint programming challenges : issues for a workshop One day workshop mid July : • Cross compare draft MTEF responses, informal feedback • Identify shared programming issues eg. • financing gaps/mismatch with Mkukuta priorities, • scaling up • financing core reforms • expected fit with JAS principles • ………….

  14. Dialogue with GoT • Close coordination with other JAS processes, JAS implementation working group, DoL, etc • Dialogue on MTEF template and analysis (PER macro group) • GoT interest in joint workshop, prior to dialogue on full draft

  15. Areas of work • MTEF template/analysis • Review of lessons learnt • Risk analysis • M&E • Coordination, Editing

  16. Issues for DPG • Support for MTEF exercise from all DPs as DPG response to GoT call for better planning • Comments/guidance on proposed work program for joint analysis/program doc • Workshop : timing, scope, participation • Timetable for final draft • Volunteers to maintain inclusive DPG wide engagement • Wider stakeholder engagement

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