'Stochastic physics' presentation slideshows

Sarah Beare (nee John) Neill Bowler, Marie Dando, Anette Van der Wal, Rob Darvell

Performance of the MOGREPS Regional Ensemble. Sarah Beare (nee John) Neill Bowler, Marie Dando, Anette Van der Wal, Rob Darvell. Outline. Overview of MOGREPS Configuration Overview of probabilistic verification Results Summary and future work. MOGREPS-Regional. Regional Ensemble

454 views • 33 slides

Model uncertainty in climate forecasting from seasons to decades: the ENSEMBLES project

Model uncertainty in climate forecasting from seasons to decades: the ENSEMBLES project. Francisco J Doblas-Reyes ECMWF, Reading, UK. Outline. Description of the ENSEMBLES project. Hindcast production in ENSEMBLES: Streams 1 and 2.

456 views • 32 slides

Global Climate Prediction: Between Weather Forecasting and Climate-Change Projections

477 views • 26 slides

Lothar (T+42 hours)

Lothar (T+42 hours). 5-Day ECMWF Ensemble Prediction of Typhoon Rusa. Global NWP models cannot predict extremes of precipitation: need for coupling to LAMs. Extreme rainfall as a function of spatial scale (observational study: Olsson et al, 1999).

396 views • 26 slides

Global Climate Prediction: Between Weather Forecasting and Climate-Change Projections

268 views • 26 slides

NCEP Regional Ensemble Status and Plans

NCEP Regional Ensemble Status and Plans. Geoff DiMego and Jun Du NOAA/NWS/NCEP Environmental Modeling Center. Presentation Outline. Status Plans Challenges. Regional Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPSs) at NCEP. * See poster. Current SREF Methodology. IC aspect:

324 views • 18 slides

Lindsey Nolan William Collins Peta -Apps Team Meeting October 1, 2009

Stochastic Physics Update: Simulating the Climate Systems Accounting for Key Uncertainties in Atmospheric Convection . Lindsey Nolan William Collins Peta -Apps Team Meeting October 1, 2009. Overview. Formulation of problem Parameter Perturbations Convective Momentum Transport

230 views • 17 slides