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Market Madness: Implementing a 9.2 quintillion outcome prediction market

David Pennock. Market Madness: Implementing a 9.2 quintillion outcome prediction market . A (2-outcome) prediction market. A random variable, e.g. Turned into a financial instrument payoff = realized value of variable. 2010 the warmest year on record? (Y/N). I am entitled to:.

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Market Madness: Implementing a 9.2 quintillion outcome prediction market