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A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs

A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs

A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs to the Current State of the Art in Decision Theory. Joep Sonnemans. Theo Offerman. Gijs van de Kuilen. Peter P. Wakker. September 11, 2007 Luxemburg.

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564 views • 45 slides
A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs

A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs

A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs to the Current State of the Art in Decision Theory. Joep Sonnemans. Theo Offerman. Gijs van de Kuilen. Peter P. Wakker. September 11, 2007 Luxemburg.

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458 views • 45 slides
October 10, 2007 Fuqua School of Business, Durham NC

October 10, 2007 Fuqua School of Business, Durham NC

Adapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs to the Current State of the Art in Decision Theory. Joep Sonnemans. Theo Offerman. Gijs van de Kuilen. Peter P. Wakker. October 10, 2007 Fuqua School of Business, Durham NC.

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457 views • 45 slides
A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs to Nonexpected Utility

A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs to Nonexpected Utility

A dapting Proper Scoring Rules for Measuring Subjective Beliefs to Nonexpected Utility A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians. Joep Sonnemans. Theo Offerman. Gijs van de Kuilen. Peter P. Wakker. March 14, 2007 Nottingham.

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446 views • 44 slides
Proper Scoring Rules and Prospect Theory

Proper Scoring Rules and Prospect Theory

Joep Sonnemans. Theo Offerman. Gijs van de Kuilen. Peter P. Wakker. Proper Scoring Rules and Prospect Theory. August 20, 2007 SPUDM, Warsaw, Poland. Topic: Our chance estimates of Hillary Clinton to become next president of the US.

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347 views • 34 slides
Market Scoring Rules As Combinatorial Information Market Makers

Market Scoring Rules As Combinatorial Information Market Makers

Market Scoring Rules As Combinatorial Information Market Makers. Robin Hanson Department of Economics George Mason University. Outline: Old Tech Meets New. To gain info, elicit probs p = {p i } i , E p [x |A] Can verify state i later, N/Q = people / question

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477 views • 15 slides

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