'Model forecast' presentation slideshows

Outline

NHC Track and Intensity Models Mark DeMaria NESDIS/CIRA RAMM Team COMET Presentation May 1999. Outline. TPC/NCEP Guidance Models Track, Intensity Forecast Procedure/ Products Forecast Examples Discussion. Factors Affecting TC Motion. Zero Order - Cons. of relative vorticity

851 views • 71 slides

A first attempt to WP 5.6.2 Preliminary results of one test case

A first attempt to WP 5.6.2 Preliminary results of one test case. Matteo Buzzi, Pirmin Kaufmann, Dominique Ruffieux, Francis Schubiger MeteoS wiss. Compared model runs for forecast of 12.12.04. Model versions: Exp001 Exp002 operational aLMo (without TKE) and LM

639 views • 53 slides

Numerical Forecast Models

Numerical Forecast Models. For more info: www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu1/ic2/index.htm. The Models. WRF (currently the NAM) US model output is at NCEP or NCAR-RAP GFS (NCEP) RUC (NCEP) ECMWF (Europe) www.ecmwf.int/ NoGaps (Navy) www.nwmangum.com/NOGAPS.phtml

673 views • 52 slides

How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast? Unmasking the Black Box

How Do You Know Whether to Believe the Model Forecast? Unmasking the Black Box Stephen Jascourt* UCAR/COMET at NWS Headquarters Bill Bua UCAR/COMET at NCEP Greg Byrd UCAR/COMET at UCAR *Stephen.Jascourt@noaa.gov. Example: Model runs from 00 UTC 8 Oct 2007.

364 views • 36 slides

Deformable Registration

Deformable Registration. Sean Ziegeler DoD HPCMP PETTT Jay Shriver Jim Dykes Naval Research Labs, Code 7320. in ITK as a Model Error Metric. Overview. Model Validation Traditional Error Metrics Registration Displacement Types of Registration Synthetic Trials Results

484 views • 34 slides

Jing-Shan Hong 1 , Chin-Tsu Fong 1 , Ling-Feng Hsiao 2 , Der-Song Chen 1

1897. 1937. 1996. Highlights of the Operational WRF-Based Numerical Prediction System at Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan. Jing-Shan Hong 1 , Chin-Tsu Fong 1 , Ling-Feng Hsiao 2 , Der-Song Chen 1 1 Central Weather Bureau, Taiwan 2 Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute

506 views • 30 slides

Developing a Sand & Dust Storm Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS) in Asia Node

267 views • 25 slides

316 views • 22 slides

228 views • 22 slides

Ongoing Data Assimilation Challenges

326 views • 19 slides

Univ of AZ WRF Model Verification

Univ of AZ WRF Model Verification. Method. NCEP Stage IV data used for precipitation verification Stage IV is composite of rain fall observations and radar estimates Data has a resolution of 4km http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/ylin/pcpanl/stage4/

269 views • 14 slides

21 st May 2012 Case Study for Gode zone (Somali region) flood due to heavy rainfall

National Meteorological Agency of Ethiopia. 21 st May 2012 Case Study for Gode zone (Somali region) flood due to heavy rainfall. Gode. Chali Debele (Senior Meteorologist) Meheret Muluneh (Senior Forecaster). Contents. 1. Event 2. Forecast 3. Verification 4. Discussion 5. Conclusion.

271 views • 14 slides

IRCEL-CELINE Belgian Interregional Environment Agency (ircel.be) Frans Fierens Gerwin Dumont

IRCEL-CELINE Belgian Interregional Environment Agency (www.ircel.be) Frans Fierens Gerwin Dumont. IRCEL-CELINE ? (1). Agreement between 3 Belgian Regions (1994) Main tasks : Interregional Calibration Bench Interregional Data Processing Center Not-validated data

260 views • 10 slides

Tampa Bay Area, Florida

Paul Close Meteorologist NWS Tampa Bay Area All tropical and weekly Webinars can be found at the link below:. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/rtimages/tbw/WebBriefTool. Weekly Weather Briefing. Weather Forecast Office. Tampa Bay Area, Florida.

287 views • 10 slides

Model Calibration

Model Calibration. The forecasting model was calibrated to growth that occurred from 2000-2008. Model Forecast. The model was used to forecast development from 2008-2016.

152 views • 9 slides

OPNet

Velkommen. OPNet. Ocean Prediction Networking. OPNet. Overall objective: To strengthen and formalize collaboration among Norwegian institutes involved in research and development related to marine forecasting. Commissioned by: RCN (Research Council of Norway) Subcontractors:

78 views • 7 slides

Earth Sciences Division - Atmospheres

Comparison of ECMWF Weather Model Precipitation to TRMM Christopher Kidd, NASA GSFC / Code 612 and UMD/ ESSIC. a).

175 views • 6 slides

PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013

The Problem:. PV output fluctuates (80% dropouts in 5 sec) TEP will have 250 MW of PV by 2013 TEP needs forecasts to ramp up generators No forecasts are good enough yet. Our Solutions:. Advanced Numerical Weather Model Irradiance Network and Velocity Model Cloud movie analysis.

161 views • 6 slides