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Historical Earthquakes: Issues and Biases

Historical Earthquakes: Issues and Biases. 1. Historic vs Instrumental Catalogs. Earthquake Intensities. ~100%g. x 10 =1000. x = 2. ~0.1%g. XI. II. Bakun Method. Biases. Intensity assignments = f(time). The Owens Valley Earthquake: Previous View. MMI V.

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UCERF2 California Catalog The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2)

If we build an ETAS model based primarily on information from smaller earthquakes, will it work for forecasting the larger (M?6.5) potentially damaging earthquakes? Test the Null Hypothesis that the same stationary ETAS model explains earthquakes of all magnitudes.

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290 views • 17 slides

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Instrumental catalogs - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Historical Earthquakes: Issues and Biases

UCERF2 California Catalog The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 2 (UCERF 2)