1 / 47

Deutsche Bank Securities Annual Electric Power Conference

Deutsche Bank Securities Annual Electric Power Conference. June 14, 2005. Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results.

Download Presentation

Deutsche Bank Securities Annual Electric Power Conference

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Deutsche Bank SecuritiesAnnual Electric Power Conference June 14, 2005

  2. Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results Any statements made herein about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors that could cause actual results or events to vary is contained in the Appendix herein and in the Company’s SEC filings.

  3. Additional Information on GEXA Transaction FPL Group has filed a registration statement on Form S-4 (File No. 333-124438), including a proxy statement of Gexa Corp. (“Gexa”) and FPL Group's prospectus and other relevant documents with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) concerning the proposed transaction. You are urged to read the registration statement containing the proxy statement/prospectus (including all amendments and supplements) and any other relevant documents filed or that will be filed with the SEC because they contain or will contain important information about FPL Group, GEXA and the proposed transaction. You may obtain the registration statement containing the proxy statement/prospectus and the other documents, as well as other filings containing information about FPL Group and Gexa, free of charge at the SEC's web site, www.sec.gov. In addition, they may also be obtained for free from FPL Group by directing a request to FPL Group, Inc. 700 Universe Blvd., Juno Beach, Florida, 33408, Attention: Investor Relations and from GEXA by directing a request to GEXA Corp., 20 Greenway Plaza, Suite 600, Houston, Texas, 77046, Attention: Dave Holeman. FPL Group, GEXA and their respective directors and executive officers and other members of management and employees, may be deemed to be participants in the solicitation of proxies from the stockholders of GEXA in connection with the transaction. Information about the direct or indirect interests of FPL Group is set forth in its report on Schedule 13D filed with the SEC. Information about the directors and executive officers of FPL Group is set forth in its proxy statement for its 2005 annual meeting of shareholders and its annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended 2004 and information about the directors and executive officers of GEXA and their ownership of GEXA stock is set forth in the report on Form 10-K/A of GEXA filed April 29, 2005, the ownership reports of such persons on Schedule 13D and Forms 3 and 4 filed with the SEC and in the registration statement and the proxy statement/prospectus. You may obtain additional information regarding the interests of such potential participants by reading the proxy statement/prospectus and other relevant documents filed with the SEC.

  4. FPL Group – A Premier U.S. Electric Company… • Proven ability to operate effectively in regulated and de-regulated markets • Track record of operational excellence and continuous improvement • Among the leaders in environmental excellence • Strong financial position • Commitment to creating shareholder value 5-year Total Shareholder Return (12/31/99– 12/31/04)

  5. … With Two Strong Businesses • One of the largest U.S. electric utilities • Vertically integrated, retail rate- • regulated utility • 18,940 mw in operation • 4.2 million customers • $8.7 billion operating revenue • Successful wholesale generator • U.S. market leader in wind generation • 11,520 mw in operation • $1.7 billion operating revenue Data as of 12/31/04

  6. FPL – One of the Best Electric Utilities in the U.S. 1 Excludes the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges, neither of which can be determined at this time

  7. Strong Customer Growth… Average Customer Accounts(millions) CAGR 2.1%

  8. …Requires Significant Investment Capital Expenditures (billions) 2003-2007 cumulativeCapEx of $8.3 bn 1 1 1 1 Estimated capital expenditures from 10K for the year ended 12/31/04 filed on 2/28/05

  9. 2006 Rate Case Update Petition: • On March 22, 2005 FPL filed a rate request of $430 million • $184 million for revenue requirements associated with new plants and infrastructure • $100 million for additional storm damage reserve accrual • $100 million to cover anticipated RTO costs • $46 million misc. expenses (employee benefits, insurance, nuclear and fossil maintenance, etc.) • Additional annual increase of $123 million to cover costs of Turkey Point expansion expected in mid-2007 Requested increase includes: • A return on equity range of 11.3% to 13.3%, with a midpoint of 12.3% • ROE includes a 50 basis point performance incentive • Continuation of a 55.8% adjusted equity ratio • Depreciation studies include license extension at our nuclear facilities at St. Lucie and Turkey Point

  10. 2006 Rate Case Continued Impact on typical residential customer’s bill: • 2006 to mid-2007: less than $3.00/month • Mid-2007 and beyond: additional $1.25/month Rate Case Timeline March June - July June - August August November Intervenor, staff, and FPL rebuttal testimony Filed formal rate request Quality of service hearings Final decision by FPSC expected Rate Hearings

  11. First Base Rate Increase Request in More Than 20 years History of Changes in Base Rates(millions)

  12. Storm Reserve Recovery Update • Total restoration cost of $890 million net of insurance • Deficit of $536 million to be recovered subject to reasonableness and prudency • Deficit has been deferred • We began recovering the deficit through a monthly surcharge in February 2005 • Reasonableness of full recovery being challenged by OPC and other interested parties • Hearings held April 20 – 21 and Commission decision expected in July • Securitization legislation approved

  13. Capacity Additions and Fuel Diversity at FPL • 10-year Power Plant Site Plan (2005-2014) filed in April 2005 with the FPSC • Post-2011 clean coal alternatives being evaluated • Report on Clean Coal Generation filed with Commission in March 2005 • Currently evaluating several LNG proposals

  14. One of the Best Track Records in the Industry Outage Time per Customer (minutes) 1 • Excellent operational performance • Superior cost management • Among leaders in environmental performance • Outstanding hurricane restoration efforts • Meeting FPSC-required 20% reserve margin 2 O&M per Retail kwh(cents) Industry FPL 1 2004 for FPL; 2003 for the industry 2 Excluding the impact of three hurricanes that hit FPL’s service territory

  15. Solid Earnings and Good Growth Prospects at FPL 2005 Drivers • Good revenue growth but with some uncertainty • Addition of 1,900 mw at Martin and Manatee mid-year • Managing continued cost pressures Long-term Growth Drivers • Strong customer growth • Track record of good cost management • Continued consistent and fair regulation Historical Adjusted EPS 1 1 See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amount

  16. FPL Energy PortfolioBy Asset Type 11,785 Net mw in Operation As of 5/5/05

  17. FPL Energy – A Growing, Profitable Wholesale Generator 1 Excludes the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges, neither of which can be determined at this time

  18. U.S. Leader in Wind Energy Wind Generation Market Share • Public policy support required • Long-term contracts • American Wind • $505 million; 73% leverage • National Wind • $465 million; 86% leverage

  19. Wind is a Significant Source of Income Growth Projected Wind Generation Additions (mw) Wind Generation Additions (mw) ? ? 1 Long run potential average of 250-500 mw/year dependent on PTCs Each 100 mw adds roughly ½ to 1 cent/share first twelve months 1 Actual through 5/5/05

  20. Contracted Portfolio Profile Contract Maturity • Significant contract restructurings each of the last three years • Ongoing earnings contribution • Potential for further restructurings in portfolio Fuel Diversity 2,215 Net mw in Operation As of 5/5/05

  21. Significant Upside Potential in Merchant Assets Regional Diversity • Seabrook uprate of 84 net mw (52 mw in 2005 and 32 mw in 2006) and recontracting is expected to increase pretax margin contribution by $80 - $100 million in 2007 versus 2004 • Return to market equilibrium could add $200 - $250 million pretax gross margin for gas merchants – probably late in the decade 6,663 net mw1 1 As of 5/5/05 and including the 71 mw Seabrook uprate expected in 2005

  22. FPL Energy Contract Coverage More than 90 percent of expected 2005 gross margin hedged 1 Weighted to reflect in-service dates, planned maintenance and Seabrook refueling outages and uprates 2 Reflects round-the-clock mw 3 Includes all projects with mid- to long-term purchase power contracts for substantially all of their output 4 Includes only those facilities that require active hedging 5 Reflects on-peak mw Totals may not add due to rounding, data as of 3/31/05

  23. Excellent Growth Prospect atFPL Energy 2005 Drivers • Build-out of new wind generation • Uprate and refueling outage at Seabrook • Modest drag from Marcus Hook • Increased interest expense Long-term Growth Drivers • Wind projects • Acquisitions • Contract restructurings • Improving merchant markets Historical Adjusted EPS 1 2 1 See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amount 2 Includes the impact of the Marcus Hook contract restructuring, $(0.13)/share and the receipt of a portion of the Karaha Bodas claim, $0.02/share

  24. FPL Energy Outlook for 2007 1 ($ millions) FPL Energy - adjusted 2004 earnings2 $175 Major drivers: normalize 2004 asset sales / restructuring 35 normalize 2004 wind resource 22 Normalized 2004 earnings $23 2 new wind investments $85 – $105 2005 announced acquisitions 15 – 30 merchant market improvements 80 – 100 (including Seabrook uprate and recontracting) interest (40) – (35) other (10) – (5) FPL Energy – Potential range for 2007 earnings of $370 to $420 million3 1 Data is not based on detailed budgeting and contains some broad ranges of assumptions that go beyond what is typically used in an annual forecast. Please see Appendix for key assumptions 2 See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amounts 3 Excluding the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges, neither of which can be determined at this time

  25. FPL Group – Financially Strong and Positioned for Long-term Growth 1 Excludes the cumulative effect of adopting new accounting standards as well as the mark-to-market effect of non-qualifying hedges, neither of which can be determined at this time

  26. 1 Sound Credit Profile Reflected on Balance Sheet and Credit Ratings Total Debt toTotal Capitalization 1 See Appendix for more detailed credit statistics Total Debt to Total Capitalization as of 12/31/04 for FPL Group and 9/30/04 for the Industry Average.

  27. Growing, stable dividend 2/15: Raised quarterly dividend by 4% Increased dividend by 13% Dividend Payout 3 2 1 1 Annualized split-adjusted quarterly dividend 2 Dividend payout is based on earnings of $2.50, the mid-point of 2005 EPS estimate range of $2.45 to $2.55 given as guidance on April 26, 2005. FPL Group’s policy is to issue earnings guidance with its quarterly earnings release 3 Dividend payout is based on 2005 First Call EPS estimate

  28. Growth Prospects at FPL Group 2005 Drivers • Challenging year at FPL • Expect strong growth at FPL Energy • Dilution due to conversion of equity units Long-term Growth Drivers • Continued strong growth at FPL and FPL Energy • Strong cash flow • Disciplined approach to transactions that create shareholder value Historical Adjusted EPS 1 1 See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted amount

  29. FPL Group: A Powerful Investment + =

  30. Appendix

  31. Although the Damage Was Extensive… Jeanne Frances Charley Data as of 12/03/04

  32. … Progress Was Quickly Made During Restoration Efforts Jeanne Frances Charley Data as of 12/03/04

  33. FPL Group Schedule ofTotal Debt and Equity 1 Ratios exclude impact of imputed debt for purchase power obligations 2 Adjusted to reflect preferred stock characteristics of these securities (preferred trust securities)

  34. FPL - Reconciliation GAAP to Adjusted EPS There were no adjustments to GAAP earnings in 2002, 2003, and 2004

  35. FPL Energy - Reconciliation GAAP to Adjusted EPS

  36. FPL Group - Reconciliation GAAP to Adjusted EPS

  37. Reconciliation of GAAP to Adjusted EarningsFull Year Ended December 31, 2004 Florida Power Corporate & (millions) & Light FPL Energy Other FPL Group, Inc. Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Adjusted Earnings Net Income (Loss) $ 749 $ 172 $ (34) $ 887 Adjustments: Net unrealized mark-to-market losses associated with non-qualifying hedges - 3 - 3 Adjusted Earnings (Loss) $ 749 $ 175 $ (34) $ 890

  38. FPL Energy 2007 OutlookKey Assumptions WIND RESOURCE Assumes normal wind resource NEW WIND INVESTMENTS 1,250 - 1,750 mw by end of 2007 ANNOUNCED AND ANTICIPATED ACQUISITIONS Includes previously announced acquisitions Assumes no additional unidentified acquisitions IMPROVED MARKET CONDITIONS NEPOOL on-peak spark spreads1 $ 0.50 over current forward prices ERCOT on-peak spark spreads $ 2.25 over current forward prices PJM on-peak spark spreads $ 1.00 over current forward prices WECC on-peak spark spreads $ 1.00 over current forward prices 1 In dollars per mwh Please refer to CFO first quarter 2005 earnings remarks, Safe Harbor Statement on slides 44 – 46 herein, and SEC filings for full discussion of risks

  39. Overview of Storm Reserve Fund • Established in 1946 as an unfunded reserve and first funded in 1958 • Designed to cover non-insured storm losses and insurance deductibles • Became more significant after 1992 • due to lack of affordable insurance after Hurricane Andrew • FPL maintains commercial insurance for its power plants • Lost revenues are not recoverable • Regulated by the FPSC • sets ratemaking and accounting treatment • establishes estimated reserve, annual accrual and contributions • has no specific investment restrictions • FPL currently accrues $20 million per year for the storm reserve • rate case requests substantial increase • Current rate agreement contemplated possibility of restoration costs above reserve and recovery of deficit • Deficit of $536 million to be recovered subject to prudency hearings

  40. Cautionary Statements And Risk Factors That May Affect Future Results In connection with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (Reform Act), FPL Group, Inc. (FPL Group) and Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) are hereby filing cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements (as such term is defined in the Reform Act) made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL in this presentation, in response to questions or otherwise. Any statements that express, or involve discussions as to expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as will likely result, are expected to, will continue, is anticipated, believe, could, estimated, may, plan, potential, projection, target, outlook) are not statements of historical facts and may be forward-looking. Forward-looking statements involve estimates, assumptions and uncertainties. Accordingly, any such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the following important factors (in addition to any assumptions and other factors referred to specifically in connection with such forward-looking statements) that could cause FPL Group's or FPL's actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of FPL Group and FPL. Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and FPL Group and FPL undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. New factors emerge from time to time and it is not possible for management to predict all of such factors, nor can it assess the impact of each such factor on the business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. The following are some important factors that could have a significant impact on FPL Group's and FPL's operations and financial results, and could cause FPL Group's and FPL's actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements: • FPL Group and FPL are subject to changes in laws or regulations, including the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978, as amended (PURPA), the Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935, as amended (Holding Company Act), the Federal Power Act, the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, as amended and certain sections of the Florida statutes relating to public utilities, changing governmental policies and regulatory actions, including those of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), the Florida Public Service Commission (FPSC) and the utility commissions of other states in which FPL Group has operations, and the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), with respect to, among other things, allowed rates of return, industry and rate structure, operation of nuclear power facilities, operation and construction of plant facilities, operation and construction of transmission facilities, acquisition, disposal, depreciation and amortization of assets and facilities, recovery of fuel and purchased power costs, decommissioning costs, return on common equity (ROE) and equity ratio limits, and present or prospective wholesale and retail competition (including but not limited to retail wheeling and transmission costs). The FPSC has the authority to disallow recovery by FPL of any and all costs that it considers excessive or imprudently incurred. • The regulatory process generally restricts FPL's ability to grow earnings and does not provide any assurance as to achievement of earnings levels. • FPL Group and FPL are subject to extensive federal, state and local environmental statutes, rules and regulations relating to air quality, water quality, waste management, wildlife mortality, natural resources and health and safety that could, among other things, restrict or limit the output of certain facilities or the use of certain fuels required for the production of electricity and/or require additional pollution control equipment and otherwise increase costs. There are significant capital, operating and other costs associated with compliance with these environmental statutes, rules and regulations, and those costs could be even more significant in the future.

  41. • FPL Group and FPL operate in a changing market environment influenced by various legislative and regulatory initiatives regarding deregulation, regulation or restructuring of the energy industry, including deregulation of the production and sale of electricity. FPL Group and its subsidiaries will need to adapt to these changes and may face increasing competitive pressure. • FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations could be affected by FPL's ability to renegotiate franchise agreements with municipalities and counties in Florida. • The operation of power generation facilities involves many risks, including start up risks, breakdown or failure of equipment, transmission lines or pipelines, use of new technology, the dependence on a specific fuel source or the impact of unusual or adverse weather conditions (including natural disasters such as hurricanes), as well as the risk of performance below expected or contracted levels of output or efficiency. This could result in lost revenues and/or increased expenses. Insurance, warranties or performance guarantees may not cover any or all of the lost revenues or increased expenses, including the cost of replacement power. In addition to these risks, FPL Group's and FPL's nuclear units face certain risks that are unique to the nuclear industry including the ability to store and/or dispose of spent nuclear fuel, as well as additional regulatory actions up to and including shutdown of the units stemming from public safety concerns, whether at FPL Group's and FPL's plants, or at the plants of other nuclear operators. Breakdown or failure of an FPL Energy, LLC (FPL Energy) operating facility may prevent the facility from performing under applicable power sales agreements which, in certain situations, could result in termination of the agreement or incurring a liability for liquidated damages. • FPL Group's and FPL's ability to successfully and timely complete their power generation facilities currently under construction, those projects yet to begin construction or capital improvements to existing facilities is contingent upon many variables and subject to substantial risks. Should any such efforts be unsuccessful, FPL Group and FPL could be subject to additional costs, termination payments under committed contracts, and/or the write-off of their investment in the project or improvement. • FPL Group and FPL use derivative instruments, such as swaps, options, futures and forwards to manage their commodity and financial market risks, and to a lesser extent, engage in limited trading activities. FPL Group could recognize financial losses as a result of volatility in the market values of these contracts, or if a counterparty fails to perform. In the absence of actively quoted market prices and pricing information from external sources, the valuation of these derivative instruments involves management's judgment or use of estimates. As a result, changes in the underlying assumptions or use of alternative valuation methods could affect the reported fair value of these contracts. In addition, FPL's use of such instruments could be subject to prudency challenges and if found imprudent, cost recovery could be disallowed by the FPSC. • There are other risks associated with FPL Energy. In addition to risks discussed elsewhere, risk factors specifically affecting FPL Energy's success in competitive wholesale markets include the ability to efficiently develop and operate generating assets, the successful and timely completion of project restructuring activities, maintenance of the qualifying facility status of certain projects, the price and supply of fuel, transmission constraints, competition from new sources of generation, excess generation capacity and demand for power. There can be significant volatility in market prices for fuel and electricity, and there are other financial, counterparty and market risks that are beyond the control of FPL Energy. FPL Energy's inability or failure to effectively hedge its assets or positions against changes in commodity prices, interest rates, counterparty credit risk or other risk measures could significantly impair FPL Group's future financial results. In keeping with industry trends, a portion of FPL Energy's power generation facilities operate wholly or partially without long-term power purchase agreements. As a result, power from these facilities is sold on the spot market or on a short-term contractual basis, which may affect the volatility of FPL Group's financial results. In addition, FPL Energy's business depends upon transmission facilities owned and operated by others; if transmission is disrupted or capacity is inadequate or unavailable, FPL Energy's ability to sell and deliver its wholesale power may be limited.

  42. • FPL Group is likely to encounter significant competition for acquisition opportunities that may become available as a result of the consolidation of the power industry. In addition, FPL Group may be unable to identify attractive acquisition opportunities at favorable prices and to successfully and timely complete and integrate them. • FPL Group and FPL rely on access to capital markets as a significant source of liquidity for capital requirements not satisfied by operating cash flows. The inability of FPL Group, FPL Group Capital Inc (FPL Group Capital) and FPL to maintain their current credit ratings could affect their ability to raise capital on favorable terms, particularly during times of uncertainty in the capital markets, which, in turn, could impact FPL Group's and FPL's ability to grow their businesses and would likely increase interest costs. • FPL Group's and FPL's results of operations are affected by changes in the weather. Weather conditions directly influence the demand for electricity and natural gas and affect the price of energy commodities, and can affect the production of electricity at wind and hydro-powered facilities. • FPL Group’s and FPL’s results of operations can be affected by the impact of severe weather which can be destructive, causing outages and/or property damage, and could require additional costs to be incurred. Recovery of these costs is subject to FPSC approval. • FPL Group and FPL are subject to costs and other effects of legal and administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims, as well as the effect of new, or changes in, tax laws, rates or policies, rates of inflation, accounting standards, securities laws or corporate governance requirements. • FPL Group and FPL are subject to direct and indirect effects of terrorist threats and activities. Generation and transmission facilities, in general, have been identified as potential targets. The effects of terrorist threats and activities include, among other things, terrorist actions or responses to such actions or threats, the inability to generate, purchase or transmit power, the risk of a significant slowdown in growth or a decline in the U.S. economy, delay in economic recovery in the United States, and the increased cost and adequacy of security and insurance. • FPL Group's and FPL's ability to obtain insurance, and the cost of and coverage provided by such insurance, could be affected by national, state or local events as well as company-specific events. • FPL Group and FPL are subject to employee workforce factors, including loss or retirement of key executives, availability of qualified personnel, collective bargaining agreements with union employees or work stoppage. The issues and associated risks and uncertainties described above are not the only ones FPL Group and FPL may face. Additional issues may arise or become material as the energy industry evolves. The risks and uncertainties associated with these additional issues could impair FPL Group's and FPL's businesses in the future.

More Related