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ICREW PA4: regression modelling for bathing water prediction, and development of advanced decision support systems. ICREW Modelling Workshop Jonathan Williams (Marinetech South) Mitch Hockley (BMT). Team Representatives. Dr Jonathan Williams [email protected] Dr Mitch Hockley

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ICREW Modelling Workshop Jonathan Williams (Marinetech South) Mitch Hockley (BMT)

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ICREW PA4: regression modelling for bathing water prediction, and development of advanced decision support systems

ICREW Modelling Workshop

Jonathan Williams (Marinetech South)

Mitch Hockley (BMT)


Team Representatives

  • Dr Jonathan Williams

    • [email protected]

  • Dr Mitch Hockley

    • [email protected]


Development Trajectory

  • i-MARQ project (2002-2005)

    • EU RTD project funded under IST prog.

  • ICReW PA4 Pilot (2004-2006)

    • Part of Interreg IIIB project

  • [email protected] project (2006-2009)?

    • Integrated Project proposed to IST Risk Management call, Sept 05


Why was i-MARQ needed?

  • i-MARQ developed water quality management tools needed to help address this challenge

“Our coastal zones are of strategic importance to all Europeans,…[but] are facing serious problems of habitat destruction, water contamination, coastal erosion and resource depletion.”

COM/2000/547 to European Parliament


i-MARQ Decision Support

Decision

Visualisation

Data Management

FME

Data Fusion

Ecosystem Models


i-MARQ Challenges

  • Need to forecast water quality

    • Data mostly not real-time

  • Non-homogeneous data resource

    • Spatially rich, temporally sparse

    • Temporally rich, spatially sparse

    • Poor data quality for some key parameters

  • Lagrangian frame

    • Pollution features move with tides & currents

    • Asynchronous observations


System Schematic

User

User

FME

GIS

FME server

GIS server

Internet & messaging

WWW portals

Meta IS

Provider server

Provider server

Sensors


Updated FME nowcast for 22nd June 16:00(available 20 minutes after data entry)


Updated +12hrs forecast for 22nd June 16:00


Updated +24hrs forecast for 22nd June 16:00


ICReW Context of Project

  • One pilot action with larger Interreg project, ICReW

    • Development of Methods for Prediction of Bathing Water Quality

  • Managed by MTS, system development by BMT Cordah

  • Real application of key technologies:

    • Temporal fusion from i-MARQ

    • Spatial distribution from BMT models


Project Objectives

  • Develop a system which can:

    • Forecast the risk of adverse water quality in recreational waters

    • Indicate the profile & trajectory of contaminated waters

  • Pilot the system:

    • Compare forecasts against actual observations (2005)


Insert BMT slides here


[email protected] Proposal

  • Generic framework for:

    • Sensor networks (standardised interfaces)

    • Data management

    • Decision support systems

  • Will allow cost-effective building of decision support systems and their driving data resources:

    • Marine – beach & coastal zone management etc

    • Atmospheric – urban air quality etc

  • Plug & play approach with specialist fusion modules


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