Tip 2001 02 evaluation
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TIP 2001-02 Evaluation. Presentation of results 22 July 2002. Carlos Barahona Statistical Services Centre, University of Reading, UK. Sarah Levy Calibre Consultants, UK. Production and food security survey. All districts in Malawi

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TIP 2001-02 Evaluation

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Tip 2001 02 evaluation

TIP 2001-02 Evaluation

Presentation of results

22 July 2002

Carlos Barahona

Statistical Services Centre,

University of Reading, UK

Sarah Levy

Calibre Consultants, UK


Production and food security survey

Production and food security survey

  • All districts in Malawi

  • 5 villages per district selected at random from the TIP register

  • A total of 135 villages

  • A total of 2,952 households

  • 1,541 TIP recipients and 1,411 non-recipients


How reliable are these results

How reliable are these results?

The sample is representative. Random selection of villages and households.

The sample is large enough to provide results at national level, regional level or in clusters of districts.

A careful process of quality control was set in place at every stage of the study: from design to report writing.

The team of Malawian professionals responsible for carrying out the work have proven capacity to do the job.


Are they smallholders

Are they smallholders?

  • Land holding size (acres)

1 acre = 0.4046 ha


How much do they cultivate

How much do they cultivate?

  • Cultivated area (acres)

1 acre = 0.4046 ha


What crops do they grow

What crops do they grow?


Where do they get their income from

Where do they get their income from?


How much did they make from crops

How much did they make from crops?

MK average per household


Inputs constraint

Inputs constraint

1.5 acres = 0.6 ha – appropriate amount of fertiliser is around 60-90kg

But only 1/3 of smallholder farmers that did not receive free inputs in 2000-01 and 2001-02 seasons used ANY fertiliser on their crops

And ¾ of those that used fertiliser, used less than 10kg


Targeting the poor

Targeting the poor?

  • SP targeted poor smallholder farmers

    (not to medium-sized farmers or estates)

  • TIP tried to narrow down the targeting to ‘the poorest of the poor’

    • Unsuccessful in 2000-01

    • Unsuccessful in 2001-02


Poverty profiles of recipients and non recipients

Poverty profiles of recipients and non-recipients


Why did targeting fail for tip

Why did targeting fail for TIP?

Reason

  • Criteria are not strongly associated with poverty

  • Village authorities target themselves and their relatives first – ‘inclusion errors’

  • Even if they ‘got it right’, there would be a large number of ‘the poorest of the poor’ left out because the quota is too small – ½ or ⅓ does not relate to any poverty line – the poverty line is around 65%


Maize production in the household

Maize production in the household

2001-02

Reduction in the smallholder maize harvest: 10%


Is this the full extent of the decrease in output

Is this the full extent of the decrease in output?

  • Early harvesting

    • 64% of the 326 visited in field visits harvested early in 2002.

    • 66% of the 2,913 farmers visited in the main survey ate nsima from green maize (chitibu)

  • Storage problems associated with harvesting maize before it matures


Reasons for pre harvesting maize

Reasons for pre-harvesting maize


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