IST Concertation Meeting- IST Applications for Environment4/5 May 2000. Forest Fire Risk and Hazard Assessment: A Holistic Approach. Project Summary. FORFAIT will develop a Decision Support System (DSS) which can be used by planners, educationalists, regulators, and industry to aid
IST Concertation Meeting-
IST Applications for Environment4/5 May 2000
Forest Fire Risk and Hazard Assessment:
A Holistic Approach
FORFAIT will develop a Decision Support
System (DSS) which can be used by planners,
educationalists, regulators, and industry to aid
in decision making relating to risks from forest
fires. It will be designed to be generally applicable
across Europe, but capable of being applied on a
specific basis to assess risks to humans, the
environment and to commercial enterprise.
List of Consortium Members
List of Users
RMCProject co-ordinator, risk assessment
methodologies, support to the Polish end user.
Modelling of environmental and commercial
LPADevelopment of central engine to DSS
CESIAEarth observation methodologies for the
generation of fire ignition risk map support
to the Italian end user
ESA/ESRINPeer reviews of system specification and
project results, Earth observation
PlanetekCreation and maintenance of fire related
GIS-based information bases.
SEMAProvision and improvement of fire
TECNOMAProvision of expert knowledge on forest
INSALink to the FUEGO project, support to the
SPSGSupport of the Polish user and co-ordination
of site demonstrations.
VTTEarth observation methodologies for
the generation of historical database
of forest fires.
HITECHSupport of the Greek user and
co-ordination of site demonstrations.
Greek Ministry of User mainly interested in the planning
Agricultureand crisis simulation modes.
CoMECUser mainly interested in the planning
and crisis simulation modes.
Modes of Operation
Crisis Simulation Mode
Main Functional Elements
of the FORFAIT system
Decision Support System
for Risk and Hazard
Safety, Environmental and
Outputs from the FORFAIT system
1. Advice on the most appropriate decisions amongst
the alternatives taking account of the inherent
2. Records and reports on the decisions making
process for future reference.
3. Overlays of the predicted consequences in terms
of the levels of harm and risks on a cartographical
representation of the site of interest.
Innovative Aspects of FORFAIT
Autonomous community of Galicia
Kampinos National Park
"Vegetation observation sensing
technologies to evaluate
the forest fires risk map
and post crisis remediation plans"
System Functional Elements
Climate, Site geography & ecology, land use and management, etc
Fire potential or location
population, environment, business
Planning controls &
Earth Observational Data
& Meteorological conditions
Fire development &
Fire fighting capabilities
Actions & Effects
Humans, Environment, Business
loss of life amenity cost
Variability and Sensitivity
Planning Mode -
Annual average risk of fires
Cost benefit & option studies
Training Mode -
Behaviour of generic fire under
specified conditions - causes and effects
Crisis Simulation -
Decision making for a given
site specific fire scenario